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College Football 2022: “Here’s a twenty, bury two.”

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And wazzu beat Wisconsin. Heck, last week Idaho scored more in Pullman than the badgers did today. (My brother pointed that out, as he was there)
 
MichVandal said:
And wazzu beat Wisconsin. Heck, last week Idaho scored more in Pullman than the badgers did today. (My brother pointed that out, as he was there)
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Badgers will likely lose a lot of games this year. They play in the weak half of the B10, but the 4 best weak sisters in their conference are all on the road. And Minnie may have a team for once.
 
Slap Shot said:
For Gophers fans old enough to remember Lou Holtz leaving I might be one of a small few that doesn't have any hatred for Notre Dame. I won't root for them but I think college football is better when they're competing in and losing big games.
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We've lost our share of big games in the last 25 years. I don't remember competing in many of them though. At least this season I won't have to watch them get smoked in a NY6 or playoff game. Freeman is the first head coach at Notre Dame to lose his first 3 games. Of course he is also the first head coach who is forced to coach with one arm tied behind his back.
 
The Big Ten can't allow Nebraska and Iowa to play. Combining the Huskers' defense and Hawkeyes' offense is like dividing by zero and will result in a black hole that consumes us all.
 
state of hockey said:
GA Southern wins in Lincoln. Heckuva day for the sun belt conference.
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FcWAvAXWIAADEyA
 
Idaho really made it a game against the Hoosiers. For an 0-2 FCS team, the Vandals are either not bad, or WSU and IU really suck.
 
MichVandal said:
Idaho really made it a game against the Hoosiers. For an 0-2 FCS team, the Vandals are either not bad, or WSU and IU really suck.
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Outside of the Covid year, Indiana has sucked for decades in football. They have to be in the top 5 for worst P5 conference football programs of all-time.
 
psych said:
Outside of the Covid year, Indiana has sucked for decades in football. They have to be in the top 5 for worst P5 conference football programs of all-time.
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They are.

1. Wake Forest
2. Indiana
3. Northwestern
4. Kansas State
5. Iowa State
6. Kansas
7. Oregon State
8. Vanderbilt
9. Duke


 
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Kepler said:
They are.

1. Wake Forest
2. Indiana
3. Northwestern
4. Kansas State
5. Iowa State
6. Kansas
7. Oregon State
8. Vanderbilt
9. Duke
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Very interesting. Although, I don't know if purely looking at winning percentage is necessarily the best way to determine the worst programs. Using college hockey as an example, is Boston College the best college hockey program because it has the top winning percentage? Is Clarkson better historically than Cornell because of the same? Are Princeton and Massachusetts the worst "Big 4" programs in history? Although, it certainly adds a piece to the puzzle, I don't believe it is the end all be all.

For college football, in addition to winning percentage, I would look at other factors, such as conference titles, bowl games, top 10 seasons, etc. And I would select a "champion" for each conference to get my bottom 5.

Let's start with the programs that have won 2 or fewer conference titles in the last 50 years:

ACC: Virginia (2), Boston College (1), Wake Forest (1), Duke (1)
B1G: Rutgers (1), Purdue (1), Indiana (0), Minnesota (0)
Big 12: Oklahoma State (2), Kansas State (2), Texas Tech (1), Kansas (0), Iowa State (0)
Pac 12: California (2), Washington State (2), Oregon State (1)
SEC: Kentucky (0), Ole Miss (0), Mississippi State (0), Missouri (0), USC (0), Vanderbilt (0)

Now let's rank these teams by the number of Top 10 seasons (using AP/Coaches Polls) in the last 50 years, and eliminate the top team from contention:

ACC: Boston College (2), Virginia (0), Wake Forest (0), Duke (0) - Boston College eliminated
B1G: Purdue (1), Minnesota (1), Rutgers (0), Indiana (0) - Purdue eliminated*
Big 12: Kansas State (6), Oklahoma State (4), Kansas (2), Iowa State (1), Texas Tech (0) - Kansas State eliminated
Pac 12: Washington State (5), California (2), Oregon State (1) - Washington State eliminated
SEC: USC (3), Missouri (2), Kentucky, (1), Ole Miss (1), Mississippi State (0), Vanderbilt (0) - USC eliminated

Then let's rank the remaining teams by the number of bowl games played in the last 50 years, and keep only the bottom two teams in contention:

ACC: Virginia (21: 8-13), Wake Forest (14: 9-5), Duke (8: 3-5) - Virginia eliminated
B1G: Minnesota (20: 9-11), Indiana (12: 3-9), Rutgers (11: 6-5) - Minnesota eliminated
Big 12: Oklahoma State (28: 18-10), Texas Tech (27: 13-14), Iowa State (15: 5-10), Kansas (9: 5-4) - Oklahoma State and Texas Tech eliminated
Pac 12: California (16: 10-6), Oregon State (12: 7-5)
SEC: Mississippi State (22: 12-10), Missouri (22: 11-11), Ole Miss (19: 14-5), Kentucky (17: 9-8), Vanderbilt (8: 3-4-1) - Mississippi State, Missouri, and Ole Miss eliminated

Then let's compare the bottom two in each conference by winning percentage:

ACC: Wake Forest (41.9%) vs Duke (48.8%)
B1G: Indiana (42.1%)vs Rutgers (49.3%)
Big 12: Iowa State (45.7%) vs. Kansas (46.9%)
Pac 12: California (55.0%) vs. Oregon State (47.2%)
SEC: Kentucky (50.2%) vs Vanderbilt (48.7%)

Using each of these metrics, (with winning percentage as the final tiebreaker) the "Champions" under this analysis are:

ACC: Wake Forest**
B1G: Indiana
Big 12: Iowa State
Pac 12: Oregon State
SEC: Vanderbilt

Ultimately, this lines up fairly well compared with overall winning percentage. The only "swap" is Iowa State for Kansas State.

*I broke the tie between Purdue and Minnesota by looking at the better results in the statistic above (conference titles in last 50 years). The Boilermakers edged out the Gophers 1-0, so Purdue was eliminated.
** Wake Forest and Duke tied 1-1-2 in the metrics, but Wake Forest is the ACC "Champion" based on their winning percentage.
 
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