Re: Wisconsin vs Total Recall
I've seen cited in three different places a statistic that says 38% of union households voted for Walker on Tuesday.
Edit: ah, on further reading, that statistic appears to include private-sector union households too. I can certainly see why private-sector union members would favor Walker's reforms! In NJ, Sweeney (head of a private-sector union) has been a valuable ally to Christie in his public-sector union reform efforts....the public-sector unions are sucking up the money that private-sector unions need spent on infrastructure repair, one of the best sources of private-sector union jobs.
I think there are a lot of reasons why union members, or members of a union household, may have voted for Walker. I know that some of the more "progressive" talking heads were getting a little wound up about it, but to be surprised by this number shows a pretty large lack of understanding of how unions work.
First, union members don't vote 100% democrat, just like Romney won't get 100% of the Mormon vote and Obama didn't receive 100% of the African American vote. While the majority may vote as anticipated, there will always be a distinct minority that seem to vote against their "interests."
Second, it's easy to anticipate that people who otherwise opposed Walker's changes, as union members, still dislike the idea of recalls, and the endless election cycle.
Third, and maybe most significant, when was the last time you saw a union ratification election come in 100% to 0%? Never. In fact, if the unions get certified at all, it's usually by just the slimmest of margins. That means that somewhere between 40% and 50% of these union members are actually in the group under protest, and possibly still very unhappy about it. As anyone who has ever been involved in union organizing, strikes, collective bargaining or the like, will tell you, "solidarity for all" is a joke. Give me 51% and we'll call it a day.