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UNH Wildcats - '10 Playoff Edition

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Re: UNH Wildcats - '10 Playoff Edition

goblue said:
Well, head-to-head, UNH went up on Maine both games in Orono, and couldn't hold the lead to a supposedly thinner team, and VT played us tough all season, and shut us out for just about 7 consecutive periods of hockey. Yet, VT looked the weakest of the 4 teams in Boston this weekend.
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On a positive note, UVM shut out UNH for 7 periods. Its doubtful they will be shut out for anymore. And Foster payed outstanding. Maybe UNH gets the 1-0 win this time.:D

Moreover, UVM looked the weakest of the 4 teams, but they played one horrible game against BC. They are in the tourney because they were one of the top 16 teams this year, beating BC twice, DU, UMD, Yale, and of course UNH. They played some of their best hockey at the Whitt, so I don't think you can use an off game against BC to guage the two losses in the QF's.

With Foster's play, I think UNH stands a good chance of moving on, at least throught the first round. Just my $.02
 
Re: UNH Wildcats - '10 Playoff Edition

goblue said:
Toughest league is disputable this year.
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I think you'll see it in the Tourney results as well.. but WHCA sends 4 teams which take up the Top 6 in PWR..(that's pretty strong) The CCHA sends 4, but ex. Miami it's almost the Polar opposite of that.

Anyway.. It's Tourney time and I can't remember when all the TOP seeds advanced on to the FF- and I'm not going to expect that it occurs this yr either.. Conf. Playoff results ex. HE were all won by non-TOP seeds. This is such a great time of yr for this sport!! Hopefully UNH can stir the pot a little!!
 
Re: UNH Wildcats - '10 Playoff Edition

jcarter7669 said:
On a positive note, UVM shut out UNH for 7 periods. Its doubtful they will be shut out for anymore.
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???

Sorry to be the party pooper here, but on what logical basis can you possibly infer the latter from the former?

Especially if they draw Cornell (with a tender looking for his fourth consecutive full game shoutout)...

jcarter7669 said:
With Foster's play, I think UNH stands a good chance of moving on, at least throught the first round. Just my $.02
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Really hope this is the way it breaks...
 
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Re: UNH Wildcats - '10 Playoff Edition

snively said:
???

Sorry to be the party pooper here, but on what logical basis can you possibly infer the latter from the former?

Especially if they draw Cornell (with a tender looking for his fourth consecutive full game shoutout)...
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GPG.....they average x GPG, meaning that for every period that goes by where they don't score, statistically they become more and more likely to score. That is the logic I am using. No its not based on fact, just statistics......

No different then a goalie with 220+ minutes of shut out hockey (Scrivens), it becomes more and more likely that the next shot will be a goal.

Just saying. It doesn't translate to a win, but when you score at 3.32 GPG and then get shut out for two in a row, just makes another shut out more improbable.


However, the more concerning thing for UNH should not be the back to back shut out to the weakest team in Boston this weekend but rather the lack of OOC wins this season.
 
Re: UNH Wildcats - '10 Playoff Edition

jcarter7669 said:
GPG.....they average x GPG, meaning that for every period that goes by where they don't score, statistically they become more and more likely to score. That is the logic I am using. No its not based on fact, just statistics......

No different then a goalie with 220+ minutes of shut out hockey (Scrivens), it becomes more and more likely that the next shot will be a goal.

Just saying. It doesn't translate to a win, but when you score at 3.32 GPG and then get shut out for two in a row, just makes another shut out more improbable.


However, the more concerning thing for UNH should not be the back to back shut out to the weakest team in Boston this weekend but rather the lack of OOC wins this season.
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By your logic shouldn't that be LESS concerning since law of averages, UNH should win an OOC, since they're due? ;)
 
Re: UNH Wildcats - '10 Playoff Edition

jcarter7669 said:
GPG.....they average x GPG, meaning that for every period that goes by where they don't score, statistically they become more and more likely to score. That is the logic I am using. No its not based on fact, just statistics......

No different then a goalie with 220+ minutes of shut out hockey (Scrivens), it becomes more and more likely that the next shot will be a goal.

Just saying. It doesn't translate to a win, but when you score at 3.32 GPG and then get shut out for two in a row, just makes another shut out more improbable.


However, the more concerning thing for UNH should not be the back to back shut out to the weakest team in Boston this weekend but rather the lack of OOC wins this season.
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In stats, your argument is called 'reversion to the mean'. ;)

That granted, was anyone all that surprised by the third period's performance last week (or the OT's), given that of the prior five?
 
Re: UNH Wildcats - '10 Playoff Edition

jcarter7669 said:
No different then a goalie with 220+ minutes of shut out hockey (Scrivens), it becomes more and more likely that the next shot will be a goal.
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Technically, the closest approximation here is that it's equally likely to any other shot taken against him (all else being equal). Law of independent trials. ;)
 
Re: UNH Wildcats - '10 Playoff Edition

If I flip a fair coin and it lands heads 100 times consecutively, what are the odds of heads next toss?
Richard, I was surprised, disappointed, and frustrated at the performance. I am glad the team's regular season performance earned them a spot in the tourney, and I'm sure we'll see 100% effort from them, which is all we can expect. This is a better ending to the season than I anticipated after the first eleven games. I hope there's tv.
 
Re: UNH Wildcats - '10 Playoff Edition

JohnB said:
No one honestly believes this UNH team is anything but a one and out regardless of brackets do they? seriously.
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Without even looking at brackets, I think UNH may do some damage this season. There's talent and there should be a lot of desire....dont be shocked to see them make the FF...I wont be.....guys like Butler may take them there....you guys got speed, snipers and solid goaltending....key ingredients. Best of luck.;)
 
Re: UNH Wildcats - '10 Playoff Edition

In my mind every Hockey East team, BC included, can be beaten.

They have all shown a lack of defense at times. They have all had periods when they had no ability to score... Either of these faults can trip up any of these teams...BC, UNH and Vermont.

Still, maybe one, two or all three of them can put solid efforts together to get to the Frozen Four. Best of luck to UNH and Vermont.

As for BC...may they lose in the first round!

Maybe Barry Melrose was right to completely ignore their accomplishments.

;)
 
Re: UNH Wildcats - '10 Playoff Edition

UNHhockey29 said:
So we are headed to Albany to play Cornell.
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We're looking forward to seeing you guys on Friday! I don't think the game will be anything like what we saw in Durham a few months ago.

If anything, your boys will be pretty fired up to avenge that performance and do some damage in the later rounds. Should be a great game!
 
Re: UNH Wildcats - '10 Playoff Edition

The selection show announcer mentioning hot teams being the ones to advance was on the mark. We are not a hot team.

Record
January: 5 - 2 - 1
February: 3 - 2 - 2
March: 1 - 3 - 1

Goals for/against
January: 29 - 20
February: 25 - 23
March: 12 - 12

A repeat of last year's 1st round regional win is possible and it is much more fun watching the tournament with a strong rooting interest. Time to see if Comcast will let me purchase the Sports Entertainment Pack a la carte for $7.95 or if they insist on packaging it for substantially more.

Go 'cats!
 
Re: UNH Wildcats - '10 Playoff Edition

I honestly like this draw better than BC,N. dakota, UNH, alaska...

i could be wrong there...I just like the Cornell match up vs N. Dakota..We have played Cornell already and we just came off a long layoff.

go cats
 
Re: UNH Wildcats - '10 Playoff Edition

After watching the team's reaction to their quarterfinal loss against Vermont, I would not be surprised in the least to see them come out on fire against Cornell. That being said, I hope there's lots of tape being watched from the January game against the Big Red, because we fell prey to their standard MO: change EVERYTHING in the second intermission and catch the opponent off guard. (I have this description from an avid Cornell fan - I have very few games to base this on) If we come out and spend it all the first two periods, Cornell will steamroll right over us. I haven't seen us come out flat in the third very often this year, but post-season is so often a very different story for UNH. I enter the coming weekend with hope, but with only the expectation to come out of it with pride in my team.
 
Re: UNH Wildcats - '10 Playoff Edition

Lets hope an overachieving UNH can show up just like in 2003 when they put 3 behind one of the best tenders in the country at the time. No more saviano/collins so it might be tougher.
 
Re: UNH Wildcats - '10 Playoff Edition

Pet_Donkee said:
I honestly like this draw better than BC,N. dakota, UNH, alaska...

i could be wrong there...I just like the Cornell match up vs N. Dakota..We have played Cornell already and we just came off a long layoff.

go cats
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Totally agree - Cornell is a very good team and it will take a huge effort to beat them, but I was dreading a ND rematch all season and am glad it will not happen. In the end - no bracket's are easy, so let's just see what happens.
 
Re: UNH Wildcats - '10 Playoff Edition

I Like our chances , against cornell , they are in my eyes the weakest of all the two seeds , alot is said about there goalie , but they are a defence minded team , there is alot of presure on them to win essentialy in there back yard , not going to make much of the game back in january . If UNH can be disciplined for three periods they win , yes they will score.
 
Re: UNH Wildcats - '10 Playoff Edition

Priceless said:
I have the Wildcats in St Paul playing St. Cloud... :p
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That would be dreadful. I don't want to have to watch UNH give SCSU their first tourney win.

bicycleed said:
As always there a lot of naysayers until you win the top prize and there can be only one. These players have nothing to prove to the fans as they have exceeded projections. They have something to prove to themselves and fellow teamates and this is why they particpate in a sport they enjoy. Good Luck UNH
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