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The PPACA Thread Part IV - Repeal & Replace, or Something...

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Re: The PPACA Thread Part IV - Repeal & Replace, or Something...

Remember if they don't pass this bill it blows a big hole in their tax cut plans. Big incentive for Rand Paul to change his mind.
 
Re: The PPACA Thread Part IV - Repeal & Replace, or Something...

ScoobyDoo said:
Remember if they don't pass this bill it blows a big hole in their tax cut plans. Big incentive for Rand Paul to change his mind.
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Rand will definitely flip. The guy is a sellout. Remember when he announced he was running for President in front of an Air Craft carrier. Really keeping that MIC in check there huh Wolf in Sheep's Clothing :D
 
mookie1995 said:
can some congressperson file a bill for 'freedom under car insurance repeal' (***'irs)? mookie doesn't want to be forced to buy car insurance. mookie doesn't like to have to subside bad drivers. mookie never wrecks his car and the burden of paying car insurance impacts his welfare.
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Move to a state that doesn't require car insurance.


At least, that's how NC Republican Congressman Robert Pittenger explained it to me.
 
Re: The PPACA Thread Part IV - Repeal & Replace, or Something...

aparch said:
Move to a state that doesn't require car insurance.


At least, that's how NC Republican Congressman Robert Pittenger explained it to me.
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"People who lead good lives don't get into car accidents." -- Mo Brooks (R-AL)
 
Re: The PPACA Thread Part IV - Repeal & Replace, or Something...

It is interesting that Republicans dont know what insurance means yet many Republican voters work/own/manage insurance companies.
 
Re: The PPACA Thread Part IV - Repeal & Replace, or Something...

The ratings shifting is good enough news less than 24 hours later. That is what happens when you pass legislation that has like a 17% approval rating ;)
 
Re: The PPACA Thread Part IV - Repeal & Replace, or Something...

mookie1995 said:
that deep analysis is almost as fast and shoddy as the passage of the bill :p (are any congresspeople up for election today?? :) )
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The reporting may be shoddy but Cook is the real deal. Before 538 they were the best analysts of the Beltway. Also they're not just cherry-picking on this vote, they update their ratings all the time based on everything from votes and economic trends to dead girl / live boy stories. They've been quite accurate over the years.

Frankly, if the only effect of this vote is to move 20 seats one step to the left the GOP should be partying like it's 1994. As the story drags on, I think it has the potential to really damage the Republicans in the marginal districts. If the uncertainty starts spreading into markets (it is after all 1/9th of the entire US economy) then this could be the start of a long but steady slide towards 11/18.
 
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Re: The PPACA Thread Part IV - Repeal & Replace, or Something...

FlagDUDE08 said:
Same analyst that thought Hill-dawg had a 98% chance of winning the Presidency?
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I'm going to try to put this to bed.

Nate gave Hillary a 93% chance of winning election the day before Comey became Putin's errand boy. It is true that the margin was still about 88% on Election Day, but 88% means more than 1 time in 10 Trump wins.

There were problems with the polling in the run up to the election but the problems were with the polling, not the poll analysis. The analysts did math. The math still works; the same probability functions are why basically all complicated technology works.

Tuna fish is still tuna fish if a .00002 grams in a can is, uh, not tuna.
 
Re: The PPACA Thread Part IV - Repeal & Replace, or Something...

All this is blah blah blah unless people actually vote, which we're not going to know until Nov of 18.

Republicans are making a strategic gamble. Its not far fetched. The gamble is that while only 17% of people approve this legislation, all of those people will vote. On the other side, the Dems will be too lazy to show up. Under that theory, you can pass massive tax breaks for the rich and completely deregulate Wall St because only their people are going to show up in the mid-terms. This isn't completely unrealistic. Dems didn't turn out in 2010 and 2014 even though Obama was relatively popular amongst his base.
 
Re: The PPACA Thread Part IV - Repeal & Replace, or Something...

Kepler said:
Frankly, if the only effect of this vote is to move 20 seats one step to the left the GOP should be partying like it's 1994. As the story drags on, I think it has the potential to really damage the Republicans in the marginal districts. If the uncertainty starts spreading into markets (it is after all 1/9th of the entire US economy) then this could be the start of a long but steady slide towards 11/18.
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yah, rover's analysis on nov 7 was a rolling majority of D seats winning all branches and many states. :D
 
Re: The PPACA Thread Part IV - Repeal & Replace, or Something...

mookie1995 said:
yah, rover's analysis on nov 7 was a rolling majority of D seats winning all branches and many states. :D
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Are you sure I don't share a name with your favorite porn star? :eek: I seem to be on your mind today... :D
 
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