All Oswego needed was a tie against Potsdam to be the #1 seed. I think with Gertsakis back, we could've managed at least a tie against Potsdam. And we'd have a slightly better chance at a win that Friday night. But we'll never know.
Please tell me which of my predictions were incorrect. I don't remember making any predictions at all. I merely stated what would happen in many different scenarios and explained the likelihood of those scenarios. The scenario of Oswego losing to Potsdam was of low likelihood. The two teams could play each other 100 times and Oswego would win 90 times. That just happened to be one of the 10% of the time that Potsdam would win. It was a very unlikely event to occur, and yet occur it did.
I'm not in the business of trying to tell the future. I'm simply stating probabilities so people understand the context in which these games are played. It can help explain many things. For instance, why in the last Plattsburgh game Oswego was perfectly happy to skate to a tie instead of taking unnecessary risks near the end of the game. That gamble ended up not paying off, unfortunately, but it was still the correct bet.
Merely stating facts here. Based off of everyone's records right now, the most likely scenario is that Oswego will still get into the NCAA tournament even if they lose the SUNYAC championship. This game of course will be absolutely essential in determining Oswego's seeding in the NCAA tournament, which will determine a first round bye and/or whether we have a home game. Plattsburgh is most likely playing to keep their season alive. In most scenarios, if Oswego wins on Saturday, Plattsburgh's season would be over.
What will actually happen on Saturday? Two very good teams are going to play each other and it's going to be exciting as all get out. I predict that I'm going to be nervous until the final buzzer sounds. That's about all I can predict.