Questions on the finer points of the game.
Scouting an Opponent: I understand the importance of measuring a goalie via save percentage, minutes played, and shut outs. And maybe it is the fairest way to gauge a player’s skill in that position. But I am also untrained with regards to what a coach looks at while considering an opponent’s defensive weaknesses at every level. Surely McShane must be doing that this week as he prepares our team for Babson.
I am asking, because clearly Jamie Murray had a great game Saturday (he faced 42 UMass shots versus 24 SOG by Babson). And while these playoff game stats (as do his cumulative season stats) say a great deal about Murray, don’t they also speak volumes about how little he was protected by the rest of Babson’s defense? I am not discounting when a goalie gets into “their zone”—as Murray seemed able to stand up against a barrage of UMass shots.
Its just that I took a look at the last ten games that Babson has played—and on average Murray has faced 26.5 shots per game. I ran the same exercise against the two Norwich goalies in the last ten games—and combined they only faced an average of 14.9 shots per game. Big difference. Meanwhile over that ten game stretch, both NU and Babson fired off an average of about 31 shots at their opponent’s goal.
Save percentages seem to be a great measurement tool—-if one is measuring a similar number of chances. That is why I ask. It just seems that if a
“Goalie A” is facing an average of 25 SOG and turns away 98% of them—is he really doing better only because his defense weaker….while on the flip side;
“Goalie B” with the same 98% save percentage but only facing a dozen shots per game is doing so simply because his defense is doing a better job breaking up plays, blocking shots, driving opponents into the corners, etc.
Yes, it all sounds all very chicken and egg, e.g. which comes first great defense or great goalies? Hopefully both I am sure. I do believe there are great goalies based on consistency over time by the usual stats. But I also wonder if great goalies are created by weak defensive. I am not sure there is an answer and whether getting in with some solid licks against a goalie comes with scouting and watching films of an opponent’s other defensemen like football coaches look for weak cornerbacks they can focus on to complete passes against.
Staying out of the Box: Doesn’t the amount of time a team spends in the box impacts results? UMass has always seemed more that willing to take penalties. This year within the ECAC-E they seem willing to give up almost of a quarter of its time on the ice time with penalties (13.35 minutes per game) versus NU which is just a tad above 8 minutes. However, NU is playing this weekend against the second most disciplined team in the ECAC-E: Babson (8.8 minutes in the box)…while UMass is home watching on TV thinking about the two PPG that Babson scored on them to win their quarterfinal game.