Kepler
Si certus es dubita
Re: Ebola - all or nothing?
28 was taken.
Not sure i am comfortable with everyone using 21 as the key number.
28 was taken.
Not sure i am comfortable with everyone using 21 as the key number.
Took them a while but it is most certainly necessary when you are dealing with something that you just cannot treat well. Not sure i am comfortable with everyone using 21 as the key number. Strict observation for 21 days is fine, but I am of the opinion that there is some evidence that some sort of more loosely structured monitoring should be done for a bit longer. Would like to see some statistics about any contagion from the small percentage of survivors seen in the past after 21 days. Just hoping that there is no development of some sort of carrier state where symptoms are gone and no evidence of overt infection, but transmission is still possible.
Yeah, but Doc how can you possibly worry with the eminently qualified Ron Klain on the job?
Is there anything in your world that isn't political? Seriously... even one thing?
Pot. Kettle.
There actually are six or seven things that are Beyond Politics for me. But by Zeus, some of the wingnuts here invoke The Turrble Turrble Kenyan Muslin for everything up to why the ECAC keeps winning national championships.
Yeah, but Doc how can you possibly worry with the eminently qualified Ron Klain on the job?
Is there anything in your world that isn't political? Seriously... even one thing?
Is there anything in your world that isn't political? Seriously... even one thing?
In spite of the fact that we have been hearing the term Ebola virus since around 1976, I am not comfortable that we have enough knowledge about it to rush headlong into anything other than control and containment.
Gire’s first job was to extract from the blood serum the virus’s genetic material. Gire tested all the samples for the presence of Ebola virus. Of the forty-nine people whose blood samples were in the tubes, fourteen had been infected with Ebola.....He worked late....When he was finished, he had fourteen ... droplets of water solution, each in its own tube. In each droplet were vast numbers of broken strands of RNA....[after a series of processes and using a genetic sequencer, they compiled] all the fragments into finished genetic code.
The result was twelve full genomes of Ebola virus—the Ebolas that had lived in twelve of the fourteen people....[the research team] started the work of analyzing the code, to see how Ebola was changing.
....
[They were able to obtain additional samples from more infected people. Eventually,] They had sequenced the RNA code of the Ebolas that lived in the blood of seventy-eight people in and around Kenema during three weeks in May and June, just as the virus was first starting chains of infection in Sierra Leone. The team had run vast amounts of code through the sequencers, and had come up with around two hundred thousand individual snapshots of the virus, in the blood of the seventy-eight people, and had watched it mutate over time. They could see who had given the virus to whom. They could see exactly how it had mutated each time it grew in one person and jumped to the next.....[they] found that the virus had started in one person.
After that, the swarm mutated steadily, its code shifting as it palpated the human population. As the virus jumped from person to person, about half the time it had a mutation in it, which caused one of the proteins in the virus to be slightly different.....[eventually] it had become two genetically distinct swarms.
Can only hope that this country did act fast enough to do exactly what you listed-control and contain. Delaying any travel ban, having only a limited evaluation at 5 airports, etc-was this enough? And even if it was, was it done fast enough?Did you get a chance to read the entire New Yorker article? It's quite long, and absolutely mesmerizing. I was amazed that they were able to sequence the RNA from Ebola taken from different infected people and actually track who was infected by whom based on its mutation rate.
And at the end of the article, they reach the same conclusion you did: for now, the best we can hope to do is to control it and contain it.
Can only hope that this country did act fast enough to do exactly what you listed-control and contain. Delaying any travel ban, having only a limited evaluation at 5 airports, etc-was this enough? And even if it was, was it done fast enough?
Can only hope that this country did act fast enough to do exactly what you listed-control and contain. Delaying any travel ban, having only a limited evaluation at 5 airports, etc-was this enough? And even if it was, was it done fast enough?
If it wasn't, we'd have a world wide epidemic on our hands already, because it's not like other countries in Europe or Asia have closed their airports. The fact that we've only had one imported case and two medical providers says we should be vigilant but shouldn't panic.
I had not heard of the second case. Did that doctor in NY turn out to be positive? If so, did he travel back here before or after the 5 airports started screening? Or has someone else tested positive?
Dr, slow travel to this (or virtually any major county) has been all but eliminated for the majority of travelers for decades. Not that it means we're free and clear...