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College Football 2021: Cash is King

Man, the greed of advertising makes watching games tough. Watching the UM-MSU game, and the first half has taken over 2 hours, mostly because the commercials are FOREVER. This is hell.
 
If neither teams had coaches, Michigan would’ve won easily. That pretty much says everything about Jim Harbaugh. Dude plays for field goals and field position in every big game.
 
MichVandal said:
Man, the greed of advertising makes watching games tough. Watching the UM-MSU game, and the first half has taken over 2 hours, mostly because the commercials are FOREVER. This is hell.
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I follow the local D3 team, Brockport State. No commercial timeouts. No replay reviews. Even though D3 has not gotten into the more passing than running strategy, they still probably run more than D1.

I went to a game earlier this year which took just 2:25 to play. I kid you not. And it was a good, mostly close game.
 
FadeToBlack&Gold said:
As my dad likes to say, Harbaugh learned it from Bo, the master of overly conservative play-calling.
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Yes, but.... The next to last drive, where they were getting into position to score, on third down, they went for the TD. Which I thought was an inappropriate play at the time- they had plenty of time to burn, and just needed 3 yards. The primary play should have been a first down.

Give the "ability" of the D, they should have been trying to score with less than 20 seconds left.

In the end, it was mistakes that cost Michigan as much as coaching did- early in the game, an easy first down- possible TD was dropped, later a holding call took a first and 10 inside the 15 back, the hot freshman put the ball on the ground twice, etc. Let alone a D that let only 3 rushing TD's all season allowed 5. One of the pregame predictions would be that the team that made the fewest mistakes would win, and that very much happened.

Hopefully, this will stop the discussion between the two QB's, as the one that was largely criticized had a pretty darned good game (other than the late INT), including some pretty explosive plays, where the one everyone wants delivered the key turn over to allow State to score the winning TD.

It's interesting that there's actual QB development in one, whereas the "vaunted" D still can't fix it's issues.
 
Trying to track ... only noting conferences with changes ...

Big 12
Subtractions: Oklahoma, Texas

Additions: BYU, Central Florida, Cincinnati, Houston

Future look (12): Baylor, BYU, Central Florida, Cincinnati, Houston, Iowa State, Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, TCU, Texas Tech, West Virginia

SEC
Subtractions: none

Additions: Oklahoma, Texas

Future look (16): Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, LSU, Mississippi State, Missouri, Oklahoma, Ole Miss, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Texas A&M, Vanderbilt

American
Subtractions: Central Florida, Cincinnati, Houston

Additions: Alabama-Birmingham, Charlotte, Florida Atlantic, North Texas, Rice, Texas-San Antonio

Future look (14): Alabama-Birmingham, Charlotte, East Carolina, Florida Atlantic, Memphis, Navy, North Texas, Rice, SMU, South Florida, Temple, Texas-San Antonio, Tulane, Tulsa

Sun Belt

Sun Belt subtractions: none

Sun Belt additions: Southern Miss, Old Dominion, Marshall

Sun Belt future look (13): Appalachian State, Arkansas State, Coastal Carolina, Georgia Southern, Georgia State, Louisiana, Louisiana-Monroe, Marshall, Old Dominion, South Alabama, Southern Miss, Texas State, Troy

Rumor (10/29/21): Add James Madison (FCS)

Conference USA
C-USA subtractions: Alabama-Birmingham, Florida Atlantic, Charlotte, Marshall, North Texas, Old Dominion, Rice, Southern Miss, Texas-San Antonio.

C-USA additions: none

C-USA future look (5): Florida International, Louisiana Tech, Middle Tennessee, UTEP, Western Kentucky

Rumor (11/2/21): Add Liberty (indy), NMSU (indy), SHSU (FCS), Jacksonville State (FCS)



No changes: B1G, ACC, PAC-12, MAC, MWC.
 
The Sicatoka said:
Trying to track ... only noting conferences with changes ...

Big 12
Subtractions: Oklahoma, Texas

Additions: BYU, Central Florida, Cincinnati, Houston

Future look (12): Baylor, BYU, Central Florida, Cincinnati, Houston, Iowa State, Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, TCU, Texas Tech, West Virginia

SEC
Subtractions: none

Additions: Oklahoma, Texas

Future look (16): Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, LSU, Mississippi State, Missouri, Oklahoma, Ole Miss, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Texas A&M, Vanderbilt

American
Subtractions: Central Florida, Cincinnati, Houston

Additions: Alabama-Birmingham, Charlotte, Florida Atlantic, North Texas, Rice, Texas-San Antonio

Future look (14): Alabama-Birmingham, Charlotte, East Carolina, Florida Atlantic, Memphis, Navy, North Texas, Rice, SMU, South Florida, Temple, Texas-San Antonio, Tulane, Tulsa

Sun Belt

Sun Belt subtractions: none

Sun Belt additions: Southern Miss, Old Dominion, Marshall

Sun Belt future look (13): Appalachian State, Arkansas State, Coastal Carolina, Georgia Southern, Georgia State, Louisiana, Louisiana-Monroe, Marshall, Old Dominion, South Alabama, Southern Miss, Texas State, Troy

Rumor (10/29/21): Add James Madison (FCS)

Conference USA
C-USA subtractions: Alabama-Birmingham, Florida Atlantic, Charlotte, Marshall, North Texas, Old Dominion, Rice, Southern Miss, Texas-San Antonio.

C-USA additions: none

C-USA future look (5): Florida International, Louisiana Tech, Middle Tennessee, UTEP, Western Kentucky

Rumor (11/2/21): Add Liberty (indy), NMSU (indy), SHSU (FCS), Jacksonville State (FCS)



No changes: B1G, ACC, PAC-12, MAC, MWC.
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Middle Tennessee State and Western Kentucky are going to the MAC allegedly
 
bronconick said:
Middle Tennessee State and Western Kentucky are going to the MAC allegedly
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That would put C-USA to 3 with 4 potential invites (Liberty, NMSU, SHSU*, Jacksonville State*) for seven, but two are FCS* move-ups. Yeesh.

First, I always figured the Sun Belch (OK, Belt) to die and be picked apart like ravens on a dead skunk on a backroad outside Lynchberg, TN. Looks like C-USA is the skunk.

Next, even if C-USA draws four and gets back to seven, they're on life support. Seven is slippery slope. C-USA needs to make a bold move. I have an idea but it's a little ... bold (C-USA North: UND, NDSU, UMt, MtSU, USD, SDSU, Idaho). Think of my C-USA North as the "western MAC".
 
The Sun Belt looks halfway decent there. It feels like the AAC is starting a long descent, moreso considering it used to be a big boy as the Big East.
 
French Rage said:
The Sun Belt looks halfway decent there. It feels like the AAC is starting a long descent, moreso considering it used to be a big boy as the Big East.
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Sun Belt future look (13): Appalachian State, Arkansas State, Coastal Carolina, Georgia Southern, Georgia State, Louisiana, Louisiana-Monroe, Marshall, Old Dominion, South Alabama, Southern Miss, Texas State, Troy

Possible add: MTSU, WKU, James Madison ... for 16. Maybe divisions something like ...

West: ArkSt, ULa, ULa-M, USA, USM, TxSt, Troy, MTSU
East: Appy, Coastal, GaSo, GaSt, Marshall, ODU, WKU, JMU


C-USA will go "thud" before the American. The American will land on it. The American ain't the BEast; the BEast is long gone.
 
The Sicatoka said:
Sun Belt future look (13): Appalachian State, Arkansas State, Coastal Carolina, Georgia Southern, Georgia State, Louisiana, Louisiana-Monroe, Marshall, Old Dominion, South Alabama, Southern Miss, Texas State, Troy

Possible add: MTSU, WKU, James Madison ... for 16. Maybe divisions something like ...

West: ArkSt, ULa, ULa-M, USA, USM, TxSt, Troy, MTSU
East: Appy, Coastal, GaSo, GaSt, Marshall, ODU, WKU, JMU


C-USA will go "thud" before the American. The American will land on it. The American ain't the BEast; the BEast is long gone.
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Looks like WKU and MTSU are MAC bound, announcement is supposedly coming Fri or Sat.
 
TalonsUpPuckDown said:
Looks like WKU and MTSU are MAC bound, announcement is supposedly coming Fri or Sat.
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The sound you hear is C-USA going flatline ... even if their four invites come aboard. They need a bolder, survival, move.


For those of you wondering what is causing all this uproar and turmoil: The FBS TV deal is due to be reworked in 2025 (which will probably include expanded FBS playoffs because that issue will stay DOA until then). All this realignment? It's all about the Benjamins, bay-bee! Gotta be in position to get what you can when you can.
 
The Sicatoka said:
That would put C-USA to 3 with 4 potential invites (Liberty, NMSU, SHSU*, Jacksonville State*) for seven, but two are FCS* move-ups. Yeesh.

First, I always figured the Sun Belch (OK, Belt) to die and be picked apart like ravens on a dead skunk on a backroad outside Lynchberg, TN. Looks like C-USA is the skunk.

Next, even if C-USA draws four and gets back to seven, they're on life support. Seven is slippery slope. C-USA needs to make a bold move. I have an idea but it's a little ... bold (C-USA North: UND, NDSU, UMt, MtSU, USD, SDSU, Idaho). Think of my C-USA North as the "western MAC".
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None of the Big Sky schools are leaving the Big Sky, not even Idaho.
 
Jimjamesak said:
None of the Big Sky schools are leaving the Big Sky, not even Idaho.
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If the MWC invited Montana and Montana State they'd be gone. But that's not happening for the foreseeable.

The most favorable (i.e. likely) path out of FBS is what I propose. Will they take it is a whole other question. I think they might surprise folks. Why? FCS bleed-down. It's happening.

JMU, SHSU, J-State all have FBS invites in hand. If NDSU got an invite (not likely, geography's a b!+c#) they'd be gone. But my posit gives NDSU that path. NDSU takes the path, Montana takes it also is my expectation.
 
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None of the Big Sky schools have an average attendance that would allow them to move up to FBS, it’s the reason why Idaho dropped back down.
 
Jimjamesak said:
None of the Big Sky schools have an average attendance that would allow them to move up to FBS, it’s the reason why Idaho dropped back down.
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Au contraire mon frere: Montana and Montana State do. NDSU does.

I count at least 9 FBS not averaging 15k in 2019 and another 4 within 1000 of falling under 15k.

And most of the MAC is using the "once every two seasons at 15k" rule. They have one big sell rivalry home game to get the average up and over 15k every other season.

And then there's the "tickets sold" rule (instead of "actual attendance") some are getting by on. EMU uses it: the Alumni Association buys enough tickets at minimum price to make the average 15k every other year.

And then there's a "use a neutral site as a home game" rule: Use a big stadium where you have alumni base (or where folks want to weekend) and call it a "home" game to boost the attendance total. (NDSU had done this in MSP a couple times, not that they had to.)

All that said, the 15k attendance rule is squishy at best.

Idaho moved down because football got booted from the Sun Belt conference and had about no other choice for a conference home: it was FBS indy, BSC (go FCS), or drop FB.


http://fs.ncaa.org/Docs/stats/footba...dance/2019.pdf
 
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