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Biden v Dump 1: If not now, when? If not us, who?

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Reading some AK politics Twitter posts it sounds like Sarah Palin is gearing up to challenge Murkowski and Lisa is worried about that. But this also pretty much guarantees a well funded Dem challenger as well. Like I said, if Ballot Measure 2 passes, which will mean a jungle primary then a Top 4 general with RCV, she’s got a shot. But in a three way race she’s absolutely f-ed.
 
Jimjamesak said:
Reading some AK politics Twitter posts it sounds like Sarah Palin is gearing up to challenge Murkowski and Lisa is worried about that. But this also pretty much guarantees a well funded Dem challenger as well. Like I said, if Ballot Measure 2 passes, which will mean a jungle primary then a Top 4 general with RCV, she’s got a shot. But in a three way race she’s absolutely f-ed.
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Does Palin have any credibility left in AK?
 
Deutsche Gopher Fan said:
I predict the unnamed dem opponent of these two useless stooge women will get a nice funding boost next week
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It’ll be interesting to see, especially since we’ll have a Governor race then too. Depends on what happens in November too. Berkowitz getting revenge porn’d throws a wrench into things.
 
dxmnkd316 said:
One thing I will say, as much as I hate to, it is who comes out and votes. A lot (all?) of these sites model based on Bayesian a approach. The past is used as the first iteration and results from today are fed into it and y(n+1) is spit out. If the turnout is so outside of historical norms for the youth vote, there isn’t a model out there that will capture that.

Again, daydreaming, but this is going to be another year where the pollsters and analysts learn a lot. They’ll have to actually be careful with what they learn I suspect. Trying to apply this year’s turnout, spreads, etc. to any other year is going to be very perilous.
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Well I would think the smart people would use this as the outlier. They will use it to maybe tweak their baseline but it is still just one data point amongst many. any poll that overcorrects based on this years turnout will be not survive long.
 
Trump says we are not going to have a Socialist President...ESPECIALLY A FEMALE SOCIALIST PRESIDENT! I dont remember a female being up for President on my ballot so I am going to say he is correct.

Biden was right Trump forgot who he is running against. Now that the HB stuff died he seems to have forgotten all about the Biden's.

https://twitter.com/MeidasTouch/status/1319762010968502272

The best part is that rally was I believe at the Villages. The people they bussed in to be there look way too young to be at a retirement community ;-)
 
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