Of course. The Republicans will throw everything into the negotiations over the debt ceiling. And they'll get none of it. There won't be any deal by the 17th. And there won't be and default on the 17th or after, at least not in the foreseeable future. I do agree that the country does need to get a handle on the debt overall.
If I say to my family that we're not going to charge more than $5000 on a credit card, and then the balance hits $5000, and I say, ok, we're not going to charge more than $10,000 on the credit card, the problem is not the argument my wife and I have over the move from $5000 to $10,000. And we're not going to default as we go past that $5000 number. The problem is that at some point we will hit a number that we can't service, and then we will default.
Same with the country. Whatever the debt ceiling is now, if we go past that number we're not going to default, whether we agree to raise that ceiling or not. If default were a real threat as we cross that divide, we ought not even be talking about raising it. But somewhere down the line there will be a number. We're not close yet, but someday we will be.