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RPI Engineers 2018-2019

Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

Ralph Baer said:
48 saves by Lovisa Selander in a 1-1 tie against Yale. She needs 188 in 10 games.
Click to expand...

41 saves in a 1-0 shutout of Brown. Now she needs just 147 in 9 games, 16.33 per game. She gave up one goal in 90 shots over the weekend -- not bad. ;)
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

Lovisa will smash the record. I predicted another Swedish goaltender wanting to follow in the footsteps of Lovisa and joila a Norwegian. Who knew it would be so soon?
 
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Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

Lovisa Selander has moved into first place in the NCAA in save percentage (.948), second in total saves (727) and first in saves per game (33).

In the 23 year history of the Patty Kazmaier award three goaltenders have won: Ann-Renee Desbiens (Wisconsin 2017); Jessie Vetter (Wisconsin 2009) and Ali Brewer (Brown 2000). All were great goaltenders, but all had the benefit of playing on dominant teams.
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

hab said:
Lovisa Selander has moved into first place in the NCAA in save percentage (.948), second in total saves (727) and first in saves per game (33).

In the 23 year history of the Patty Kazmaier award three goaltenders have won: Ann-Renee Desbiens (Wisconsin 2017); Jessie Vetter (Wisconsin 2009) and Ali Brewer (Brown 2000). All were great goaltenders, but all had the benefit of playing on dominant teams.
Click to expand...
A better comparison might be someone like Chanda Gunn who finished in the top 3 for the Kaz with a losing record, and a higher goals against and a lower save percentage than Selander has. Mankato's Shari Vogt made the final 10 that year as a goalie for a non-dominant team, although she finished a couple games over .500. It wasn't like there weren't offensive options: Krissy Wendell didn't make the top 3 even though she led Minnesota to the title with 78 points.

I think Selander should at least make the top 10, but as the years have gone on, IMO the voting has swung more and more toward high-scoring forwards.
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

ARM said:
as the years have gone on, IMO the voting has swung more and more toward high-scoring forwards.
Click to expand...

They're even stingier toward defensemen with Ruggiero still the only one winning in 2004. I could be wrong, but I think Megan Bozek is the only other defensemen finalist in 2013. That was a tough year for a defenseman to win.
 
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Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

bluffrinkrat said:
They're even stingier toward defensemen with Ruggiero still the only one winning in 2004. I could be wrong but I think Megan Bozek is the only other defensemen finalist.
Click to expand...
Tara Mounsey, Courtney Kennedy, and Ronda Curtin were all D. Lara Stalder two years ago was hard to classify, because she played both F and D at different times.
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

I should have been clearer. I was just referring to the top 3 finalists. So Stalder then, too.
 
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Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

Mid-"weekend" update! Taking three points on the road was a perfectly fine outcome (let's not look too closely at how we got the points), but there's no time to rest. We simply have to beat Union on Tuesday. We'll probably make the playoffs regardless, but that's a game we have to win, and hopefully we don't make Lovisa stop another 45 shots to get there.

I haven't run the simulations on the effect the coming weekend will have yet, but my gut says that anything more than 1 point will be a net positive. If we dare to dream of a home playoff series, we need to over-perform current expectations by 4 or 5 points, and that would likely start with 3 or 4 points in Central NY.

RPI KRACH (RRWP): 63.96 (0.4109)

MCTs (Mean/Median/Mode/Range):
Points - 22.30 / 23 / 23 / 15 - 32
Rank - 6.04 / 6 / 6 / 2 - 10
Playoffs - 98.7% (Home - 3.1%)
Most likely opponent - at Colgate (31.1%)

Conference Rankings:
  1. Princeton
  2. Cornell
  3. Clarkson
  4. Colgate
    —————
  5. SLU
  6. RPI
  7. Quinnipiac
  8. Harvard
    —————
    —————
  9. Yale
  10. Brown
  11. Dartmouth
  12. Union

This Tuesday's Playoff Implications:
Code: 
@Union - Mayor's Cup
| W |>99%|
| T | 98%|
| L | 96%|

RPI Points vs. Position:
Code: 
   |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12
----------------------------------------------------------------------------    
15 |                                             0.0   0.0   0.0            
16 |                                       0.0   [B]0.1   0.1[/B]   0.0            
17 |                                 0.0   0.1   [B]0.6[/B]   0.4   0.0            
18 |                                 0.0   0.4   [B]1.4[/B]   0.4                  
19 |                                 0.4   2.4   [B]2.8[/B]   0.3                  
20 |                           0.0   1.9   [B]4.6[/B]   2.2   0.1                  
21 |                           0.5   [B]6.6[/B]   6.2   1.1   0.0                  
22 |                           2.0   [B]9.5[/B]   3.5   0.2   0.0                  
23 |                     0.0   5.4  [B]10.3[/B]   1.3   0.0                        
24 |                     0.1   [B]6.7[/B]   6.1   0.2   0.0                        
25 |                     0.3   [B]7.3[/B]   2.9   0.0                              
26 |               0.0   0.5   [B]4.4[/B]   0.9   0.0                              
27 |               0.0   0.9   [B]2.4[/B]   0.2                                    
28 |               0.0   [B]0.7   0.7[/B]   0.0                                    
29 |               0.0   [B]0.4[/B]   0.1   0.0                                    
30 |               0.0   [B]0.1[/B]   0.0                                          
31 |         0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0                                          
32 |               0.0   0.0                                                
33 |
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">The <a href="https://twitter.com/MACGoaltending?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@MACGoaltending</a> women's goalie of the week was lights out in net this weekend, stopping 89 of the 90 shots she faced.<br><br>Her 41-save shutout on Saturday was the 10th of her career, tying her for fourth in school history.<br><br>Congratulations, Lovisa Selander! <a href="https://t.co/0fH0J84pzl">pic.twitter.com/0fH0J84pzl</a></p>— ECAC HOCKEY (@ecachockey) <a href="https://twitter.com/ecachockey/status/1089946940723339265?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 28, 2019</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

My question is this. RPI woman's hockey team is having one of their best seasons to date. Yes I agree, far from a powerhouse team but exceeding expectations by a long shot. Yet when you look at the attendance numbers at being at the bottom of the pack, it would be somewhat disheartening to the players. Just wondering why other schools support their female hockey programs better than RPI. One would think that since the woman's hockey program is the only div 1 program for female sports at RPI, attendance would be much higher. Just a comment!!
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

99hockey said:
My question is this. RPI woman's hockey team is having one of their best seasons to date. Yes I agree, far from a powerhouse team but exceeding expectations by a long shot. Yet when you look at the attendance numbers at being at the bottom of the pack, it would be somewhat disheartening to the players. Just wondering why other schools support their female hockey programs better than RPI. One would think that since the woman's hockey program is the only div 1 program for female sports at RPI, attendance would be much higher. Just a comment!!
Click to expand...

Regardless of the program attendance ALWAYS LAGS an improving season. Men's, women's, hockey, football, basketball all follow that trend.
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

Ralph Baer said:
41 saves in a 1-0 shutout of Brown. Now she needs just 147 in 9 games, 16.33 per game. She gave up one goal in 90 shots over the weekend -- not bad. ;)
Click to expand...

A surprisingly high 29 saves in a 2-1 win over Union in the Mayor's Cup means that Selander needs 118 in 8 games, 14.75 per game.
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

RPI wins the Mayors Cup again, 2-1 over Union. Even the Dutchwomen outshoot the Engineers, but can only get one past Selander. RPI now moves ahead of SLU into fifth, and somewhat improbably, could move into fourth with a win over the Raiders on Friday.
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

hab said:
RPI now moves ahead of SLU into fifth, and somewhat improbably, could move into fourth with a win over the Raiders on Friday.
Click to expand...
If this was a movie ("The Natural" maybe? "Miracle" is too obvious, and the USA didn't start out low enough), then you guys would win the NCAA title this year.
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

ARM said:
If this was a movie ("The Natural" maybe? "Miracle" is too obvious, and the USA didn't start out low enough), then you guys would win the NCAA title this year.
Click to expand...

Or maybe, the worst hockey movie ever made "Mystery Alaska". I hear the Rangers are coming to Troy.
"This is hockey, okay. It's not rocket surgery".
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

Not gonna post the whole thing, but we're up to a 99.3% chance to qualify, with a 3.8% chance of hosting.

This Weekend's Playoff Implications:
Code: 
       |      Cg      |
_______|  W |  T |  L |
|  | W |100%|>99%|>99%|
|Cr| T |>99%|>99%|>99%|
|  | L |>99%|>99%| 99%|

Note: Two wins would not actually clinch the playoff spot, but the the simulation didn't find a situation where 21 points left us outside the bracket in 10,000 runs.

RPI Points vs. Position:
Code: 
   |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12
----------------------------------------------------------------------------    
17 |                                       0.0   [B]0.3[/B]   0.2   0.0            
18 |                                 0.0   0.2   [B]0.7[/B]   0.2                  
19 |                                 0.2   1.6   [B]2.3[/B]   0.3                  
20 |                           0.0   1.3   [B]3.6[/B]   2.0   0.1                  
21 |                           0.4   [B]6.0[/B]   5.9   1.1   0.0                  
22 |                     0.0   1.8   [B]9.2[/B]   3.5   0.2                        
23 |                     0.0   6.0  [B]11.0[/B]   1.4   0.0                        
24 |                     0.0   [B]7.4[/B]   6.6   0.3   0.0                        
25 |                     0.3   [B]8.7[/B]   3.2   0.0                              
26 |                     0.6   [B]5.5[/B]   1.0                                    
27 |               0.0   1.2   [B]2.9[/B]   0.2                                    
28 |               0.0   [B]0.9[/B]   0.8   0.0                                    
29 |               0.0   [B]0.6[/B]   0.2   0.0                                    
30 |         0.0   0.0   [B]0.2[/B]   0.0                                          
31 |         0.0   0.0   0.0                                                
32 |               0.0   0.0                                                
33 |         0.0   0.0
 
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