Re: Raids on Collge Hockey Programs
Look at this last month's activity. The top end talent is already abandoning NCAA hockey. I think it is also a mistake to assume that the "lower level" (your words) CHL players will not add skill to and improve the NCAA. The more the NCAA improves, the more high-end talent it will be able to attract. Also, even after a CHL kid is drafted, he can't really get into an NHL team's "system" until he his twenty (when he becomes eligible to play in the AHL). Until that point his options are the big club or the CHL. Just how fast is that fast track, really? In addition, you shouldn't ignore other considerations that factor into the decision of where a high-end nineteen or twenty-year-old chooses to play. Something tells me that the girls in Madison, Ann Arbor and Oxford look a tad bit better than the ones in Lethbridge or Moose Jaw. Hell, some kids might actually want to play in front of their friends and family. At any rate, the more you normalize the CHL the less allure it will have.
The biggest obstacle to changing the rule is the old guard coaches. Guys like Red or York have spent the last twenty years developing extensive recruiting networks throughout the Tier II ranks. I can guarantee you that they do not want to be beholden (for purposes of recruiting) to the same CHL coaches they have been covertly bashing for the last twenty years. I would cut off eligibility for CHL players at 18 in part to give the USHL, BCHL and AJHL some comparative advantage vis-a-vis the CHL and to keep them as relevant as possible.
Consider too whether we can meaningfully expand (i.e. not just Penn State) NCAA D-1 hockey without increasing the pool of truly qualified players.
The top end talent wouldn't be playing in the NCAA regardless of the ban, they would already be in the NHL system. The fact that you can't play in the NCAA until you have completed high school is why much of the top end talent isn't in the NCAA path, by the time they are 18 or 19 the NHL teams want to see how they perform in their system. These teams don't generally draft players in the first or second round with the expectation that they wouldn't be in the AHL until 22 and the NHL by 23. The fact that at by the time that a player is in the sophomore or junior year of HS they can be playing in the CHL which is a direct step to the NHL/AHL is what gives the CHL the advantage.
Removing the restrictions on CHL players would effectively remove any top 3 draft picks from ever playing in the NCAA, it would skill the cream of the players in the NCAA leaving just the lower end players, hurting the overall quality of the NCAA game.
Look at this last month's activity. The top end talent is already abandoning NCAA hockey. I think it is also a mistake to assume that the "lower level" (your words) CHL players will not add skill to and improve the NCAA. The more the NCAA improves, the more high-end talent it will be able to attract. Also, even after a CHL kid is drafted, he can't really get into an NHL team's "system" until he his twenty (when he becomes eligible to play in the AHL). Until that point his options are the big club or the CHL. Just how fast is that fast track, really? In addition, you shouldn't ignore other considerations that factor into the decision of where a high-end nineteen or twenty-year-old chooses to play. Something tells me that the girls in Madison, Ann Arbor and Oxford look a tad bit better than the ones in Lethbridge or Moose Jaw. Hell, some kids might actually want to play in front of their friends and family. At any rate, the more you normalize the CHL the less allure it will have.
The biggest obstacle to changing the rule is the old guard coaches. Guys like Red or York have spent the last twenty years developing extensive recruiting networks throughout the Tier II ranks. I can guarantee you that they do not want to be beholden (for purposes of recruiting) to the same CHL coaches they have been covertly bashing for the last twenty years. I would cut off eligibility for CHL players at 18 in part to give the USHL, BCHL and AJHL some comparative advantage vis-a-vis the CHL and to keep them as relevant as possible.
Consider too whether we can meaningfully expand (i.e. not just Penn State) NCAA D-1 hockey without increasing the pool of truly qualified players.