It is interesting how different people view this topic and the consequences of allowing some CHL kids to play NCAA. Face it; the US is now an exporter of hockey talent. US born kids are actually taking CHL roster spots from Canadian kids. Just look at the number of California kids playing in the WHL these days. While some are worried about over-age Canadians taking NCAA roster spots, a case may be made for changing the rule to allow more American kids to play NCAA hockey.
I am not in favor of allowing all CHL players to play NCAA hockey. First, if you sign an NHL contract or receive remuneration from either your CHL team or an NHL team, you are clearly a professional. The Hunter brothers paying for your sister’s college is no different from USC and Reggie Bush. I would also limit eligibility to kids who play in the CHL under 18 (or turn 18 during the season). I am most concerned about the really impressionable young kids (15-17) who are told that they are going to be 6’3, 215 lbs and play in the NHL at age 20. These kids lack the maturity and perspective required to realistically assess the probability of these things happening. What happens when, come draft year, they are only 5’10”, 175 lbs? These young kids (and their parents) also fail to understand just how good, “good” is. I would like to see these kids have an opportunity to play NCAA hockey. If these kids are left to linger in the CHL, even with CIS educational money, they are not likely to obtain a college education. On a 25-man CHL roster only one player is expected to make the NHL and only four are expected to obtain a university degree. At age 18, many will find a university degree more appealing (or necessary) than they did at 15 or 16.
Allowing some of these kids to retain eligibility will probably change college hockey less than many expect. First, with respect to outbound concerns, how many kids are going to be able to find CHL roster spots. Plenty of USHL, high school, and prep school kids have the skill to play major junior hockey, but I am not sure that they would all be able to find places to play in the CHL. I am sure that there must be some pressure on GMs to take the local Canadian kids. Consequently, you are still going to see quality kids electing to stay and play in the states before college. With respect to inbound issues, people are overstating the size of the pool of players that would realistically consider playing NCAA hockey. First, subtract out the kids that are over 18 or that have signed an NHL contract. Next, subtract out the kids who can’t hack it academically or have no interest in attending college (I am willing to guess that this percentage is MUCH greater than it is in the USHL). Lastly, subtract out the Canadian kids who would be happy to stay and play CIS hockey when their CHL days are over (not everyone, after all, wants to “go away” to college). The threat of hordes of Canadians taking roster spots from American kids is thus grossly overstated. Certain schools won’t recruit ex-CHL players anyway due to existing protectionist pressures.
Under such a system, I can imagine that many NHL teams would steer many of their later-round picks (the “project players”) towards NCAA hockey after their draft year. So while we may continue to loose out on the Millers, Murphys or Gibsons, the NCAA will benefit from gaining some less physically mature, skill players.