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Presidential Election Prediction Thread

Somehow that may have been the founders intent. To allow a somewhat equal representation of the states. No?

To want something else is to not want the united states of america

Do you think the founders envisioned a country where one state is literally 65x bigger than the smallest in terms of population?
 
Right, if you only count the Northeast and the west coast, that is certainly true.

Here is a great website for voter turnout data: http://www.electproject.org/home/voter-turnout/voter-turnout-data

It leads you to state websites.

IL had no link.
CA: HRC 5.6 million, DJT 3.0 million
NY: HRC 4.1 million, DJT 2.6 million
For those two states, because of rounding, HRC 9.7 million, DJT 5.7 million. or 4.0 million more.

Nationally: HRC 60.3 million, DJT 59.9 million. or 0.4 million less. So even if you look only at NY and CA, then in the rest of the country Trump has 3.6 million more votes.

You mean if you ignore the votes of 20% of the population, you'll get different results? No shiat, Sherlock.
 
Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

Do you think the founders envisioned a country where one state is literally 65x bigger than the smallest in terms of population?

The 1790 census numbers:
Massachusetts 378,787
New Hampshire 141,885
Rhode Island 68,825
Connecticut 237,946
New York 340,120
New Jersey 184,139
Pennsylvania 434,373
Delaware 59,096
Maryland 319,728
Virginia 691,737
North Carolina 393,751
South Carolina 249,073
Georgia 82,548

They had just under 12x at the time.
 
The 1790 census numbers:
Massachusetts 378,787
New Hampshire 141,885
Rhode Island 68,825
Connecticut 237,946
New York 340,120
New Jersey 184,139
Pennsylvania 434,373
Delaware 59,096
Maryland 319,728
Virginia 691,737
North Carolina 393,751
South Carolina 249,073
Georgia 82,548

They had just under 12x at the time.

So the difference today is higher by a factor of five. That's not insignificant.
 
Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

So the difference today is higher by a factor of five. That's not insignificant.

I'm just data reporting with that. I really had no idea. I guess the 12x doesn't surprise me. It should show that they realized there'd be differences (VA v. DE).
 
I'm just data reporting with that. I really had no idea. I guess the 12x doesn't surprise me. It should show that they realized there'd be differences (VA v. DE).

Yah
Doesn't matter the size now vs then. They were aware of it and in their infinite wisdom created what they did that way
 
Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

Also consider at that time VA had 19.3% of the country's population.
CA today is 12.2%. So they are not now TOO big that they should merit extra consideration
 
Also consider at that time VA had 19.3% of the country's population.
CA today is 12.2%. So they are not now TOO big that they should merit extra consideration

19% out of 13 colonies versus 12% out of 50 states.

Clearly applied math is not mookie's strong point.
 
19% out of 13 colonies versus 12% out of 50 states.

Clearly applied math is not mookie's strong point.

Mookie is not seeing anything dramatic enough to defy original intent. Their wisdom was stood up for 240yrs for a reason. Certainly enough to not be challenged from a state employed lawyer from cowtown.
 
Mookie is not seeing anything dramatic enough to defy original intent. Their wisdom was stood up for 240yrs for a reason. Certainly enough to not be challenged from a state employed lawyer from cowtown.

Your act is bad and you should feel bad. You've got a lot of catching up to do if you really want to become the next Old Pio.
 
Your act is bad and you should feel bad. You've got a lot of catching up to do if you really want to become the next Old Pio.

Oh

Only you can throw around names at others here? Use the stupid card?

Didn't see that memo....
 
Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

Somehow that may have been the founders intent. To allow a somewhat equal representation of the states. No?

Agreed. The whole idea here is to protect our republic from the dangers of "too much democracy". Where the underrepresented are crowded out.
 
Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

Mookie is not seeing anything dramatic enough to defy original intent. Their wisdom was stood up for 240yrs for a reason. Certainly enough to not be challenged from a state employed lawyer from cowtown.

Would it work for mookie if a popular vote for president was the founders wanted? Per wiki:

"Some delegates, including James Wilson and James Madison, preferred popular election of the executive. Madison acknowledged that while a popular vote would be ideal, it would be difficult to get consensus on the proposal given the prevalence of slavery in the South"

Playing hardball in the 18th century has worked out quite well for the south in the 21st century.
 
Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

Somehow that may have been the founders intent. To allow a somewhat equal representation of the states. No?

To want something else is to not want the united states of america

Even if we allocated all of a states electorates to the winner of the overall popular vote in the presidential election, the smaller states would still be "over represented" as the ratio of senator/congress to population as compared to the larger states.
 
Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

Do away with the Electoral College and you'll never again see a Presidential candidate in the grey counties in this link.

http://www.businessinsider.com/half-of-the-united-states-lives-in-these-counties-2013-9

OK, I'll be devil's advocate. If nobody lives in them, why does that matter? Shouldn't the candidates go where people live? It's We the People, not We the Amber Waves of Grain.

Or is there something about the people who live in cities that is less worthy of attention. Something. Wait a bit, it'll come to me...
 
Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

Even if we allocated all of a states electorates to the winner of the overall popular vote in the presidential election, the smaller states would still be "over represented" as the ratio of senator/congress to population as compared to the larger states.

Maybe we should keep the Senate but redraw the states every hundred years. I don't know about you, but I'd love to cut California down to size. And while geographical diversity is still a (much diminished) thing economically, I would love to hear a compelling reason why we shouldn't combine ND, SD and NE, or MT, ID, WY. If you want to tell me they are in some respects different, I give you Brooklyn vs Potsdam, or San Francisco vs Bakersfield.

The other way to ensure that everyone is represented equally is to get rid of the states, get rid of the Senate, and simply have a House with 435 exactly equal districts redrawn every election by a computer program.

There is plenty of stuff we could do now that they couldn't do in 1789.
 
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Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

Maybe we should keep the Senate but redraw the states every hundred years. I don't know about you, but I'd love to cut California down to size. And while geographical diversity is still a (much diminished) thing economically, I would love to hear a compelling reason why we shouldn't combine ND, SD and NE, or MT, ID, WY. If you want to tell me they are in some respects different, I give you Brooklyn vs Potsdam, or San Francisco vs Bakersfield.

The other way to ensure that everyone is represented equally is to get rid of the states, get rid of the Senate, and simply have a House with 435 exactly equal districts redrawn every election by a computer program.

There is plenty of stuff we could do now that they couldn't do in 1789.

state's rights
 
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