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Minnesotans Arguing About the Weather IV: Niño or Niña, My Joints Stopped Trying

The Rapidan dam south of Mankato has failed. The videos aren't great.

edit: didn't know this but the river flows north and Mankato authorities said the flood walls are more than ample to protect from this failure.
 
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walrus said:
Hope none of you guys are downstream of that dam
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Pretty much all of us are in the cities are. That river joins the Minnesota which flows north and joins the Mississippi in the twin cities which in turn is joined by the St Croix on the east side of the cities - all of which are nearing flood stage but are manageable.

That said, I don't think we're in much danger downstream. There's the 169 bridge in St Peter that I peeked at earlier on the traffic cams to check water levels and the water is like 2' below the bridge right now. So that could be something to watch tonight.

Otherwise I'd say it's just the small parks and riverbanks along the route between the dam and the MSP airport. Maybe Harriet Island too - I thought I heard that was already having issues before this dam.
 
On another topic, keep an eye on the far, far eastern portion of Minnesota, along with western and central Wisconsin. Could be some fireworks...
 
dxmnkd316 said:
I was thinking closer to Stillwater and Afton. Every subsequent model run has pushed it further ENE for the last several runs. We'll get something but not the big stuff I don't think.
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About two hours ago, we were at 50-50 for getting t-storms from 11p-4a. Ow we’re just at 50% for a short stint around 11. I like that.
 
Looks like there are some stuff is starting up in like north branch. But it's looking more and more like the heaviest storms will be closer to north-central, central, and northeastern Wisconsin.
 
Makes sense given our geography. Mountains to the west to dry out parcels that come from the west, cold air from the north, and hot wet air from the south. All depending on where the jet stream dips. And no large bodies of water to mediate things.
 
We turned the air off today for the first time in probably a month outside the hours of roughly 4 a.m. to noon.
 
dxmnkd316 said:
Makes sense given our geography. Mountains to the west to dry out parcels that come from the west, cold air from the north, and hot wet air from the south. All depending on where the jet stream dips. And no large bodies of water to mediate things.
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And there’s always the god-forsaken factor.
 
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