Re: Eastern D-III hockey -- where do we go from here???
You seem to be saying that if AHA and NE10 agreed to schedule only each other, that the top teams in those leagues would end up with inflated PWRs due to the reduced competition.
I suppose that's true, but there are more reasons than PWR considerations that AHA teams wouldn't give up their OOC games to the NE10.
Powers &8^]
Not quite
In a scenario that has a D1/2 National Championship, a game between an AHA school and an NE10 school counts just the same as a game between the WCHA and HEA.
Let's look @ the RPI for D1 --
25% your winning %
21% your opponent's winning %
54% your opponent's opponents winning %
Now for the Pair Wise Ranking - which is used to seed teams into the NCAA tournament...
RPI
Record vs. teams under consideration (10 games min)
Common Opponents
Head to Head
The TuC is defined as the top 25 in RPI.
Unless an AHA or NE10 team looks outside into HEA, CCHA, or WCHA, it is doubtful that Common Opponents or Head2Head will come into play against the "power" conferences.
So the whole key to the PWR for them would be the RPI and you can gerrymander that by selective scheduling against the right opponents and conferences.
If RIT is 12-1-0 coming into a game against 9-3 St. Anselm, it would mean just the same as if NoDak (12-1) and Michigan (9-3) played. Just because everyone knows that the WCHA and CCHA would wipe the planet against the AHA and NE10 does not decrease the statistical impact of the game -- and D1 is all about the numbers.
I'm not the stats wiz (I believe Prof is), but if the NE10 and AHA play almost exclusively against themselves in the OOC, AND each league has a good stratification of haves and have nots, it would seem logical that they would have good RPI/PWR numbers and could have a few teams as TuC's.
I have a hunch that the NCAA will do nothing to address the current situation other to ensure that the rich schools get richer and the rest of us get thrown a bone now and then.
BTW, anyone hear anything on the Interlock?????