Re: Covfefe-19 Part 9: Shelter In Place is Temporary, but Wu-Tang is Forever
Can I hear your argument again? I remember you sticking out as not only someone who was extremely skeptical not only of a large number of people dying, but also an extremely high number of people getting infected in the first place. People threw out, based on what they’d read from experts, 45-70% of the population getting covid-19. You were skeptical and said it was basically fear mongering. And now, as its looking more and more likely that those numbers aren’t so crazy anymore, it was inevitable because were not one of those countries who made it work based on geography and demographics? It’s certainly possible you’ve explained your complete shift in stance on this crisis. Maybe you even wrote somewhere it wasn’t fear mongering. Hell, you don’t even have to explain yourself and your shift. It’s a college hockey message board. I just find your starting viewpoints on this virus, to the current ones you hold, as the largest shift of the 11 people on here who regularly post.
I think what you should really do is spend a little time and go back and read my posts on the subject. I don't post that much, and I've never deleted one, so it'll be easy for you to do.
I don't believe I've ever suggested that it was "fear mongering" or anything of the sort. I also don't think I ever suggested the virus was a hoax or was otherwise skeptical of the virus. I didn't even do what so many of you
think I did, come in here and claim there is no way the virus would ever kill 20,000 people in this country.
In mid-March I was having a discussion with some posters about what may or may not be an appropriate response to this virus in terms of shutting down the country. I didn't even take a position on whether the country should be shut down, or to what extent. I simply asked whether there were any number of deaths where we might view the "cure" as being worse than the condition. I indicated that if I knew the deaths were going to be a million or more, obviously we need to take steps to try to minimize that. Then the discussion turned to what if it were 100,000 deaths, or something like that.
At that point, someone, (maybe slapshot?) asked me if I had a guess. I said I thought the number would be less than 20,000 deaths in the country, but in that same post pointed out that it was, a) a guess, and b) an uneducated one at that.
At the time there were something like 40 deaths in the country total, and steps were starting to be taken. I thought, given that it was a respiratory virus, there was some chance that like MERS and SARS, it might be contained before hundred thousand people were killed. It turns out not to be the case, and my guess was wrong.
But if you think I said I was skeptical or we were engaged in fear mongering, by all means, please cite to my post where I said that.
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