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College Football 2016-17: Destination Tampa

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Re: College Football 2016-17: Destination Tampa

As for the playoff, it looks like we can eliminate Utah, West Virginia, and Louisville from the mix, leaving:

ACC: Clemson. If the Tigers win out, they make the Playoff.

B1G: Ohio State/Michigan winner is likely in, unless they lose to Wisconsin in the B1G Championship Game. If the Badgers win out and beat either OSU/Michigan in the B1G Championship game, they have a strong argument to make the Playoff.

SEC: Alabama. If the Tide beat Auburn OR Florida, they are likely in. The only scenario where they don't make it is if they lose both.

Pac 12: Washington. The Huskies make the Playoff if they win out. Colorado also still has an outside shot, but would require: (1) Buffs win out; AND two of the following: (2a) Clemson Loss; (2b) Oklahoma Loss; (2c) Nebraska wins B1G Championship Game over Ohio State/Michigan.

Big 12: Oklahoma. If the Sooners beat Oklahoma State, they will be on the doorstep, hoping for: (1) Clemson loss; (2) Nebraska wins B1G Championship Game over Ohio State/Michigan; (3) Alabama loses out; OR (4) 2-loss Pac 12 Champion. Oklahoma State I suppose still has a slim piece of hope, but would likely require: (1) Cowboys beat Oklahoma; and two of the following: (2a) 3-loss Pac-12 Champion not named USC; (2b) Clemson loses ACC Title Game; (2c) Nebraska wins B1G Championship Game over Ohio State/Michigan.

I would rank the teams' chances of making the playoff (note: not necessarily how good the teams are or where they will be ranked), as follows:
1. Alabama
2. Clemson
3. Michigan/Ohio State winner
4. Washington
-----------------------------
5. Oklahoma
6. Wisconsin
7. Penn State
8. Colorado
9. Oklahoma State

Anyone else that still has a shot?
 
Re: College Football 2016-17: Destination Tampa

ShirtlessBob said:
Final: 38-13 Clemson
Click to expand...

I wish the Tigers had 38...I would have won the over for the Tigers (set at 35.5).

Alas, a pretty emphatic 35-13 victory for the Tigers. Wake Forest is a decent team, but I think Clemson was pretty motivated after last week. A rivalry home game against USC next week, followed by the ACC Championship game...two more W's and Clemson will be back in the Playoff.
 
Re: College Football 2016-17: Destination Tampa

Fighting Sioux 23 said:
As for the playoff, it looks like we can eliminate Utah, West Virginia, and Louisville from the mix, leaving:

ACC: Clemson. If the Tigers win out, they make the Playoff.

B1G: Ohio State/Michigan winner is likely in, unless they lose to Wisconsin in the B1G Championship Game. If the Badgers win out and beat either OSU/Michigan in the B1G Championship game, they have a strong argument to make the Playoff.

SEC: Alabama. If the Tide beat Auburn OR Florida, they are likely in. The only scenario where they don't make it is if they lose both.

Pac 12: Washington. The Huskies make the Playoff if they win out. Colorado also still has an outside shot, but would require: (1) Buffs win out; AND two of the following: (2a) Clemson Loss; (2b) Oklahoma Loss; (2c) Nebraska wins B1G Championship Game over Ohio State/Michigan.

Big 12: Oklahoma. If the Sooners beat Oklahoma State, they will be on the doorstep, hoping for: (1) Clemson loss; (2) Nebraska wins B1G Championship Game over Ohio State/Michigan; (3) Alabama loses out; OR (4) 2-loss Pac 12 Champion. Oklahoma State I suppose still has a slim piece of hope, but would likely require: (1) Cowboys beat Oklahoma; and two of the following: (2a) 3-loss Pac-12 Champion not named USC; (2b) Clemson loses ACC Title Game; (2c) Nebraska wins B1G Championship Game over Ohio State/Michigan.

I would rank the teams' chances of making the playoff (note: not necessarily how good the teams are or where they will be ranked), as follows:
1. Alabama
2. Clemson
3. Michigan/Ohio State winner
4. Washington
-----------------------------
5. Oklahoma
6. Wisconsin
7. Penn State
8. Colorado
9. Oklahoma State

Anyone else that still has a shot?
Click to expand...

I think you have the B1G championship game scenario wrong, will most likely be either Michigan or Pedophiles from the east unless MSU beats PSU. I think CU has more than an outside shot as well if they win out. Assuming UW wins in the Apple Cup CU will have beaten all the ranked teams in the PAC except USC, and the committee may give some consideration to the fact they were ahead at UM until Liufao was injured. They would have a pretty strong resume to compare against other 2 loss teams.
 
Re: College Football 2016-17: Destination Tampa

jerphisch said:
I think you have the B1G championship game scenario wrong, will most likely be either Michigan or Pedophiles from the east unless MSU beats PSU. I think CU has more than an outside shot as well if they win out. Assuming UW wins in the Apple Cup CU will have beaten all the ranked teams in the PAC except USC, and the committee may give some consideration to the fact they were ahead at UM until Liufao was injured. They would have a pretty strong resume to compare against other 2 loss teams.
Click to expand...

To be fair, I don't think I posted a B1G Championship Game scenario...but maybe I should clarify my Ohio State/Michigan winner likely in unless they get beat by Wisconsin in the B1G Championship Game statement. I agree that it will likely be Michigan or Penn State vs. Wisconsin. I see 2 ways Ohio State makes the Playoff: (1) They beat Michigan, PSU loses to MSU, and OSU wins the B1G Championship Game; OR (2) Ohio State beats Michigan and PSU beats MSU. I see only 1 way Michigan makes the Playoff: (1) They beat OSU AND win the B1G Championship Game. I don't see a 2-loss, non-conference champion making the Playoff...barring some absolutely insane results elsewhere. Therefore, I believe the Ohio State/Michigan winner is likely in unless they get beat by Wisconsin in the B1G Championship Game.

As for Colorado, they would have a decent resume, and I agree that they would match up well against other 2-loss teams. However, they will not surpass Alabama. If Clemson wins out, the Buffs will not surpass the Tigers. CU won't pass a B1G Champion Michigan or Ohio State; or a 1-loss non-Big Champion Ohio State. Further, I don't see Colorado passing a 2-loss B1G Champion Wisconsin. The only B1G scenario that I can see CU passing the B1G schools is if Nebraska beats Ohio State or Michigan. Finally, the Buffs will have a hard time surpassing a Big 12 Champion Oklahoma. Therefore, I believe the Buffs would need to win out, and then have two of the following three scenarios play out: (1) Clemson loss; (2) Oklahoma Loss; and/or (3) Nebraska wins B1G Championship Game over Ohio State/Michigan. FWIW, I'm a CU alum, so I would love to see them make the Playoff (provided its not at the expense of Clemson). I just see it is an outside shot.
 
Re: College Football 2016-17: Destination Tampa

Stanford wins its 7th Big Game in a row, tying its own record in the series from 1995-2011. Stanford David Shaw is 18-2 against USC/UCLA/Cal, Cal's Sonny Dykes in 0-11. McCaffrey sets the the school single game rushing record with 284 yards and passing Toby Gerhart for 3rd all-time for Stanford.
 
Re: College Football 2016-17: Destination Tampa

Spartanforlife4 said:
Too bad they don't make teams forfeit games anymore. Then MSU would be 14-0 and could claim a national title.

Now they're just 13-1 with a loss in a game with no winner.
Click to expand...

Similarly in 2012 Stanford finishes 11-1 and is possibly in the NCG. Lennay Kekua is rolling over in her grave!
 
Re: College Football 2016-17: Destination Tampa

So Notre Dame's undefeated regular season went the same way as Lennay Kukua.
 
Re: College Football 2016-17: Destination Tampa

Pairwise is

1. Bama
2. OSU
3. Michigan
4. Clemson
5. PSU
6. Nebraska

Wisconsin is 10, Washington 13. Formula doesn't like home losses very much and isn't a fan of Washington's schedule.
 
Re: College Football 2016-17: Destination Tampa

Jimjamesak said:
I gotta think if Washington, Clemson, and the OSU/Mich winner win out that'll be the Top 4.
Click to expand...

Agreed. I have to believe the committee is hoping for this scenario. Assuming Bama doesn't lose out, the playoff would feature the only 0- or 1-loss teams from the Power 5 conferences.
 
Fighting Sioux 23 said:
Fair enough. Poor choice of words on my part.

If you win the coin toss, you can elect to: (1) Defer to the 2nd Half; (2) Receive the kickoff; (3) Kickoff; or (4) select which end you want to defend.

If you defer, in the second half you can elect to: (1) Receive the kickoff; (2) Kickoff; or (3) select which end you want to defend.

How I've seen it happen is Team A wins the toss and elects to defer to the 2nd half. Team B then elects to kickoff. Team A doesn't score in the first half.

Team A then elects to receive the kickoff in the second half, and doesn't score in the second half. Result: Team A never kicks the ball off to Team B.

As you pointed out though, Team A could also elect to defend a certain end in the 2nd half, and then Team B elects to Kickoff.

I'm sure there are a few other possibilities as well.
Click to expand...
Iowa won the toss and chose the side of the field due to 40 MPH winds.
 
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