Re: College Football 2016-17: Destination Tampa
The implications being laid out by ESPN this morning is really interesting. Brings teams that were holding on with a thread to more of a rope.
One claim (which I don't buy, yet) is the winner of OSU-UM is in, and then suggesting if that's OSU, then the winner of PSU and UW would also get in. Which seems crazy to me.
For sure, though, Clemson is the ACCs only chance, the Big 12 is back in the conversation, the Udub is in a better place, etc.
Seems like the only sure thing at this point is Alabama. And with all the talk of the power of the SEC, they are the only ones. It would take a loss to Auburn AND Florida to change the conversation about 'bama. And even then, with so many 2 loss teams being talked about....
Agreed, a lot of interesting scenarios.
ACC: Clemson is the only team with a legitimate chance. If the Tigers win out, they're in. The only minimal chance I see would be if Clemson were to lose to Wake Forest tomorrow, Louisville would go to the ACC title game. If they were to win that, and enough other craziness happens...maybe the Cardinals can sneak in, but it would take a crazy set of scenarios.
B1G: Realistically, you have Ohio State (win out and in), Michigan (win out and in), Penn State (win out and the U of M beats OSU), and Wisconsin (win out) all with chances to make the Playoff.
Big 12: Oklahoma and West Virginia (if either were to win out) each have a shot, but it would take the right set of scenarios playing out, likely including: (1) Michigan or Ohio State winning out and winning the B1G; AND (2) a 2-loss Pac12 Champion.
Pac 12: Washington (win out) has the easiest path, but Colorado could sneak in if they were to win out and have some results go their way.
SEC: Alabama seems like the only option.
I would rank the teams' chances of making the playoff (note: not necessarily how good the teams are or where they will be ranked), as follows:
1. Alabama
2. Clemson
3. Michigan/Ohio State winner
4. Washington
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5. Oklahoma
6. Wisconsin
7. Penn State
8. West Virginia
9. Colorado/Utah
10. Louisville/Oklahoma State/anyone else?