Kepler
Si certus es dubita
Re: Campaign 2016 - Primary season! Duck (questions) season!
I agree with the thesis but none of that polling data means anything yet. We won't know where we stand in the general polling until the GOP settles on its guy. Until then, even the head to heads of Republicans vs Hillary are really more a reflection of feelings about Republicans against one another.
before the implosion, Rubio beat Hillary in head-to-head hypotheticals, where Cruz and Trump got pounded. (average of polls on realclearpolitics.com) Assuming Rubio is a cardboard cutout stand-in for "moderate establishment Republican."
edit: I see at the moment Cruz is actually up by a point on Hillarybut Trump still trails her by a good bit.
I agree with the thesis but none of that polling data means anything yet. We won't know where we stand in the general polling until the GOP settles on its guy. Until then, even the head to heads of Republicans vs Hillary are really more a reflection of feelings about Republicans against one another.