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BU 2021-22: Albie's Great Adventure

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Hear, hear on the above. It would probably be true that we would be the hottest 2nd semester team ever not to make the NCAAs. But history tells us that is not likely to happen.

The thing that worries me is the lack of more than 1 ECAC or HE team in the top 13 to guard the possibility of 2 non qualifying teams taking spots with Atlantic Hockey.
 
New hea playoff structure is taking away potential wins in the first or second rounds too. No more best of 3s will play out differently for some teams who need to pad the resume.
 
To inject a little bit of reality into the recent euphoria...ALL of the "catchable" teams above us won tonight (UConn, Merrimack, Northeastern) as well as the one right behind us (Providence). The BEST thing that happened was that the "games played" evened out, so nobody has a game in hand over us anymore. The downside is we are now 6th. So forget 3-1 with a loss to BC or anything else...if we don't win out we're probably likely not getting any more home games past the first round. All this proves what many of us have said all along (especially since the PWR was instituted)...the games in October and November mean just as much and you can't keep putting yourself behind the eight ball every year with slow starts.
 
Looks like we got the results we needed this weekend to remain in 14 in the PWR with Clarkson and Lowell splitting. We even gained a few RPI points. It’s in our hands now.

Euphoria? Maybe, but we are winning hockey games in bunches. Yes, I agree that top 4 will be a challenge. However, all the games for other teams will be tough down the stretch as well. Northeastern has a pair with UConn and Merrimack. BC and UMass could be competitive, as well as UNH -Merrimack. Really anything goes. Don’t forget we are the hot team and have put it together over months. No one else in the league has done that.

In any case, it’s going to be fun down the stretch. No one could have said that on Thanksgiving. I’ll take our position right now and I’m going to take the optimistic outlook. On to BC!!
 
BU93 said:
Looks like we got the results we needed this weekend to remain in 14 in the PWR with Clarkson and Lowell splitting. It’s in our hands now.
Click to expand...

It IS a weird season, though. ZooMass is NINTH in the PWR (17-10-2) and we are hanging by a thread, tied for 14th (17-10-3). Yet, we are 2-0-1 vs ZooMass this year, so go figure. They are SIX "pairs" ahead of us. I am not about to delve into all of the idiosyncrasies of how the calculations are done, but apparently our OOC record has hurt us a lot. I don't know about "in our hands." The only way you can interpret that is that we essentially can't lose another game this year, which is a tall order, IMO. ANY regular season loss from hereon in is going to knock us out of home ice in the second round. ANY loss after the regular season will, by definition, end our season according to the "new" playoff format, since EVERY round is now a single-elimination. So I guess I will take the "cautiously optimistic" outlook, which basically means it's difficult to be too confident when you leave yourself NO margin for error.
 
I would imagine what is helping UMass is two wins over AIC who is at least respectable in the PWR and the fact they played Minnesota State and Michigan twice each. They lost all four of those games but playing them is worth some PWR points.
 
chickod said:
It IS a weird season, though. ZooMass is NINTH in the PWR (17-10-2) and we are hanging by a thread, tied for 14th (17-10-3). Yet, we are 2-0-1 vs ZooMass this year, so go figure. They are SIX "pairs" ahead of us. I am not about to delve into all of the idiosyncrasies of how the calculations are done, but apparently our OOC record has hurt us a lot.
Click to expand...
Actually, it is the new formula that counts overtime wins as just 55% of a win that is hurting BU. Their 2-0-1 record vs UMass is seen more as 1-0-2. Using the CHN customizer to change the OT win and tie to regulation wins bumps BU up to 12th and UMass down to 14th. Furthermore, flipping any BU regulation loss to a win only moves BU up to 13th, while flipping one of the two OT losses to wins leaves them 14th.

What's really hurt them is this is a down season for Hockey East and it has impacted all HE teams. UConn is 15th at 17-12; UML is 16th at 17-9-3; NU is 18th at 20-10-1; PC is 19th at 19-13-2; MC is 20th at 17-12-3. As a test I changed the first OOC game loss I saw for each to a regulation win:
UML loss at ASU to win
NU loss at Quinnipiac to win
PC loss vs Minnesota State to win
MC loss at Colgate to win
CT loss at OSU to win
BU loss vs Sacred Heart to win

[TABLE="width: 377"]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl71, bgcolor: #f1e7d5"]Rk[/TD]
[TD="class: xl72, bgcolor: #f1e7d5"]Team[/TD]
[TD="class: xl73, bgcolor: #f1e7d5"]PCWs[/TD]
[TD="class: xl73, bgcolor: #f1e7d5"]RPI[/TD]
[TD="class: xl73, bgcolor: #f1e7d5"]Rk[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl74, bgcolor: white"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, bgcolor: white"]Michigan[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]58[/TD]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white"]0.6105[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl75, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]Minnesota State[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]57[/TD]
[TD="class: xl70, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]0.5962[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]2[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl74, bgcolor: white"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, bgcolor: white"]Denver[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]55[/TD]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white"]0.5906[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]3[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl75, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]4[/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]Western Michigan[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]55[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]0.5808[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]4[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl74, bgcolor: white"]5[/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, bgcolor: white"]Minnesota[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]54[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]0.5761[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl75, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]6[/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]Massachusetts[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]53[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]0.5716[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]6[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl74, bgcolor: white"]7[/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, bgcolor: white"]North Dakota[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]51[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]0.5695[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]7[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl75, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]8[/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]Boston University[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]50[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]0.5623[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]8[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl74, bgcolor: white"]9[/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, bgcolor: white"]Quinnipiac[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]50[/TD]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white"]0.5621[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]9[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl75, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]10[/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]Minnesota-Duluth[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]49[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]0.5615[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]10[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl74, bgcolor: white"]11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, bgcolor: white"]St. Cloud State[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]48[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]0.5577[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]11[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl75, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]12[/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]Mass.-Lowell[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]47[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]0.5575[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]12[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl74, bgcolor: white"]13[/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, bgcolor: white"]Connecticut[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]46[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]0.5569[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]13[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl75, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]14[/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]Notre Dame[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]45[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]0.5555[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]14[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl74, bgcolor: white"]15[/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, bgcolor: white"]Michigan Tech[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]44[/TD]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white"]0.5543[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]15[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl75, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]16[/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]Northeastern[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]43[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]0.5537[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]16[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl74, bgcolor: white"]17[/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, bgcolor: white"]Providence[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]43[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]0.5505[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]17[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl76, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]18[/TD]
[TD="class: xl77, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]Merrimack[/TD]
[TD="class: xl78, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]41[/TD]
[TD="class: xl78, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]0.5458[/TD]
[TD="class: xl78, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]18[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]


BU benefited the most, jumping 6 places, while UML moved up 4 places, and UConn, NU, PC and MC all moved up 2 places.

J.D. said:
I would imagine what is helping UMass is two wins over AIC who is at least respectable in the PWR
Click to expand...
If UMass had lost either AIC game they would be 13th in the PWR.

Sean
 
Saw we jumped to 13th in the poll.

What also hurts that our last 4 games are against teams in the second half of the PWR (BC@33 Maine@52). A loss would dramatically impact us, and a win won't be a big riser. Neither series will be easy. BU vs BC is always going to bring the best out of both teams and Maine is never easy to beat in Orono. This season Maine has yet to be swept in regulation @ Alfond. Hopefully the long time off helped BU's bodies and not cool their hot streak. Excited for Friday.
 
Sean Pickett said:
Actually, it is the new formula that counts overtime wins as just 55% of a win that is hurting BU. Their 2-0-1 record vs UMass is seen more as 1-0-2. Using the CHN customizer to change the OT win and tie to regulation wins bumps BU up to 12th and UMass down to 14th. Furthermore, flipping any BU regulation loss to a win only moves BU up to 13th, while flipping one of the two OT losses to wins leaves them 14th.

What's really hurt them is this is a down season for Hockey East and it has impacted all HE teams. UConn is 15th at 17-12; UML is 16th at 17-9-3; NU is 18th at 20-10-1; PC is 19th at 19-13-2; MC is 20th at 17-12-3. As a test I changed the first OOC game loss I saw for each to a regulation win:
UML loss at ASU to win
NU loss at Quinnipiac to win
PC loss vs Minnesota State to win
MC loss at Colgate to win
CT loss at OSU to win
BU loss vs Sacred Heart to win

[TABLE="width: 377"]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl71, bgcolor: #f1e7d5"]Rk[/TD]
[TD="class: xl72, bgcolor: #f1e7d5"]Team[/TD]
[TD="class: xl73, bgcolor: #f1e7d5"]PCWs[/TD]
[TD="class: xl73, bgcolor: #f1e7d5"]RPI[/TD]
[TD="class: xl73, bgcolor: #f1e7d5"]Rk[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl74, bgcolor: white"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, bgcolor: white"]Michigan[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]58[/TD]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white"]0.6105[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl75, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]Minnesota State[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]57[/TD]
[TD="class: xl70, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]0.5962[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]2[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl74, bgcolor: white"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, bgcolor: white"]Denver[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]55[/TD]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white"]0.5906[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]3[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl75, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]4[/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]Western Michigan[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]55[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]0.5808[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]4[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl74, bgcolor: white"]5[/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, bgcolor: white"]Minnesota[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]54[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]0.5761[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl75, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]6[/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]Massachusetts[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]53[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]0.5716[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]6[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl74, bgcolor: white"]7[/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, bgcolor: white"]North Dakota[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]51[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]0.5695[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]7[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl75, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]8[/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]Boston University[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]50[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]0.5623[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]8[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl74, bgcolor: white"]9[/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, bgcolor: white"]Quinnipiac[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]50[/TD]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white"]0.5621[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]9[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl75, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]10[/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]Minnesota-Duluth[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]49[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]0.5615[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]10[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl74, bgcolor: white"]11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, bgcolor: white"]St. Cloud State[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]48[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]0.5577[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]11[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl75, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]12[/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]Mass.-Lowell[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]47[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]0.5575[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]12[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl74, bgcolor: white"]13[/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, bgcolor: white"]Connecticut[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]46[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]0.5569[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]13[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl75, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]14[/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]Notre Dame[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]45[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]0.5555[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]14[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl74, bgcolor: white"]15[/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, bgcolor: white"]Michigan Tech[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]44[/TD]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white"]0.5543[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]15[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl75, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]16[/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]Northeastern[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]43[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]0.5537[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]16[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl74, bgcolor: white"]17[/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, bgcolor: white"]Providence[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]43[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]0.5505[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, bgcolor: white"]17[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl76, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]18[/TD]
[TD="class: xl77, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]Merrimack[/TD]
[TD="class: xl78, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]41[/TD]
[TD="class: xl78, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]0.5458[/TD]
[TD="class: xl78, bgcolor: #edf6ea"]18[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]


BU benefited the most, jumping 6 places, while UML moved up 4 places, and UConn, NU, PC and MC all moved up 2 places.

If UMass had lost either AIC game they would be 13th in the PWR.

Sean
Click to expand...

Great analysis - it really shows how razor thin a team's margin for error is when living on the bubble/not playing a strong schedule/out of conference opponents. I think getting a couple of Western power games a season makes sense for so many reasons including the above.
 
I miss Todd's Who's In Who's Out posts.

Saw something quickly on Twitter that HE posted the probability of where teams might finish and had BU as finishing anywhere between 1st and 8th. Now mind you, I said I saw it quickly so I may have misread it. I do not think there is any combinations of BU wins and other teams' losses that would make BU the RS champ. Of course, now that I've said that, I'm assuming that someone here will be able to pull together a What If situation for this very thing. Have at it!!
 
Scarlet said:
I miss Todd's Who's In Who's Out posts.

Saw something quickly on Twitter that HE posted the probability of where teams might finish and had BU as finishing anywhere between 1st and 8th. Now mind you, I said I saw it quickly so I may have misread it. I do not think there is any combinations of BU wins and other teams' losses that would make BU the RS champ. Of course, now that I've said that, I'm assuming that someone here will be able to pull together a What If situation for this very thing. Have at it!!
Click to expand...
brassbonanza posted a link to the Hockey East page on playoffstatus.com which shows that yes, BU can finish between 1st and 8th, with 2nd through 6th the most likely. I'm not going to do a full analysis, but if BU wins their remaining games in regulation they'll finish with 47 points. To finish first would also take the following:
UMass to drop at least 5 points (BU holds the tiebreaker)
UML would be unable to catch BU
UConn to drop at least 3 points (BU holds the tiebreaker)
Merrimack to drop at least 1 point (BU would tie MC if both win out, but the tiebreaker is currently unknown)
NU to drop at least 4 points (NU holds the tiebreaker)
If I have read the tiebreaker criteria correctly BU would win a three way tie between BU, UMass and UConn.

Out of those 4 requirements for BU to win the regular season UMass dropping 5 points appears to be the least likely. Still, it does show BU is very much in the battle for a first round bye and home ice in the quarterfinals.

Sean
 
Sean Pickett said:
brassbonanza posted a link to the Hockey East page on playoffstatus.com which shows that yes, BU can finish between 1st and 8th, with 2nd through 6th the most likely. I'm not going to do a full analysis, but if BU wins their remaining games in regulation they'll finish with 47 points. To finish first would also take the following:
UMass to drop at least 5 points (BU holds the tiebreaker)
UML would be unable to catch BU
UConn to drop at least 3 points (BU holds the tiebreaker)
Merrimack to drop at least 1 point (BU would tie MC if both win out, but the tiebreaker is currently unknown)
NU to drop at least 4 points (NU holds the tiebreaker)
If I have read the tiebreaker criteria correctly BU would win a three way tie between BU, UMass and UConn.

Out of those 4 requirements for BU to win the regular season UMass dropping 5 points appears to be the least likely. Still, it does show BU is very much in the battle for a first round bye and home ice in the quarterfinals.

Sean
Click to expand...

To add to this point - BU controls its own destiny right now for up to the 4th slot and both the first round bye and home ice.
 
brassbonanza said:
To add to this point - BU controls its own destiny right now for up to the 4th slot and both the first round bye and home ice.
Click to expand...
I didn't want to go down the rabbit hole and do the full Todd, but I will expand on this.If the teams ahead of BU all win out in regulation the standings would be:

[TABLE="width: 181"]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl65"]Finish[/TD]
[TD]Team[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65"]Points[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD]UMass[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]52[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD]UConn[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"] [/TD]
[TD]Northeastern[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD]Boston U.[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]47[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"] [/TD]
[TD]Merrimack[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]47[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]6[/TD]
[TD]UMass-Lowell[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]46[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]7[/TD]
[TD]Providence[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]39[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]


However, Northeastern plays two games vs both Merrimack and UConn, so all three teams can't win out. If NU splits with both then the standings would be:

[TABLE="width: 181"]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl65"]Finish[/TD]
[TD]Team[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65"]Points[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD]UMass[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]52[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD]Boston U.[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]47[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"] [/TD]
[TD]UConn[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]47[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD]UMass-Lowell[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]46[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD]Northeastern[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]44[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"] [/TD]
[TD]Merrimack[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]44[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]7[/TD]
[TD]Providence[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]39[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]


In this case BU would be seeded second as they win the tiebreaker vs UConn. If NU swept UConn and was swept by Merrimack the standings would be:

[TABLE="width: 181"]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl65"]Finish[/TD]
[TD]Team[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65"]Points[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD]UMass[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]52[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD]Boston U.[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]47[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"] [/TD]
[TD]Merrimack[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]47[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD]UMass-Lowell[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]46[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD]Northeastern[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]44[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"] [/TD]
[TD]UConn[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]44[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]7[/TD]
[TD]Providence[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]39[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]


Again BU would be the #2 seed as they would win the tiebreaker with Merrimack (unless the league uses regulation wins, however regulation/overtime wins do not appear to be differentiated). If NU was swept by UConn and swept Merrimack the standings would be:

[TABLE="width: 181"]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl65"]Finish[/TD]
[TD]Team[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65"]Points[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD]UMass[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]52[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD]UConn[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]3[/TD]
[TD]Boston U.[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]47[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD]UMass-Lowell[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]46[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD]Northeastern[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]44[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]6[/TD]
[TD]Merrimack[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]41[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]7[/TD]
[TD]Providence[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]39[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]


In this case BU would be the #3 seed. If NU was swept by both UConn and Merrimack the standings would be:

[TABLE="width: 181"]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl65"]Finish[/TD]
[TD]Team[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65"]Points[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD]UMass[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]52[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD]UConn[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]3[/TD]
[TD]Boston U.[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]47[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"] [/TD]
[TD]Merrimack[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]47[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD]UMass-Lowell[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]46[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]6[/TD]
[TD]Providence[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]39[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]7[/TD]
[TD]Northeastern[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]38[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]


Again BU would be the #3 seed as they would win the tiebreaker with Merrimack. Of course, the 6 points between NU/UConn and NU/MC could also be split 4/2 or 5/1 instead of 6/0 or 3/3. If NU and UConn split 4/2 or 5/1 the team that earned fewer points would finish below BU. If Merrimack drops any points to NU they would finish below BU and if it was MC 5/NU 1 both would finish below BU.

Which is an extremely longwinded way to say all BU needs to do is win out in regulation and they will host a quarterfinal game at Agganis.

Sean
 
hydrant said:
Saw that Commesso returned yesterday. Who gets the start Friday?
Click to expand...

So, you probably start the Richter Award semi finalist and US Olympic goalie who was playing excellently before he left for China. But, how do you not give the guy who was 4-0 with 2 shutouts and the Beanpot Champion and Hockey East goalie of the week a start? Good problem to have. Let’s give them a start each. Vinny on Friday at BC to keep him in rhythm, and Drew at home on Saturday to have the crowd welcome him back.
 
BU93 said:
So, you probably start the Richter Award semi finalist and US Olympic goalie who was playing excellently before he left for China. But, how do you not give the guy who was 4-0 with 2 shutouts and the Beanpot Champion and Hockey East goalie of the week a start? Good problem to have. Let’s give them a start each. Vinny on Friday at BC to keep him in rhythm, and Drew at home on Saturday to have the crowd welcome him back.
Click to expand...

I look at these games as must wins for the ncaa tournament so you play your best. Vinnie has been great but I don’t leave the thoroughbred in the barn for the big races.
 
Lemonade said:
I look at these games as must wins for the ncaa tournament so you play your best. Vinnie has been great but I don’t leave the thoroughbred in the barn for the big races.
Click to expand...

I think that’s the way it will play out and would agree with that decision without hesitation. I just think Vinny has certainly earned some great respect. He does have a 1.60 GAA and a .930 save percentage this year (albeit in a limited role) and had a shutout in an absolutely HUGE game.
 
BU93 said:
I just think Vinny has certainly earned some great respect. He does have a 1.60 GAA and a .930 save percentage this year (albeit in a limited role) and had a shutout in an absolutely HUGE game.
Click to expand...
TJ Semptimphelter played fabulously in his 2 Beanpot games, but he also gave up 4 goals to Vermont before the Beanpot and BC after the Beanpot. So, yes, give Duplessis credit and respect, but go with Commesso.

Sean
 
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