So, just a weekend to watch other games. I took a look at our RPI related to the last team in the NCAAs over the last 11 tournaments. We stand right now at .5432 in the 14 position. The average to make the tournament over the 11 year period was .5355, with a high of .5430 and a low of .5261. So, if we can maintain our current number, we’re probably in good shape.
For this weekend I went through some likely scenarios and found the most likely ones leave us in 14 or 15. The key series this weekend is Clarkson. If they split with Colgate and Cornell, we remain in 14 and they go to 17. If they sweep those 2 teams they jump us into 14 and we go to 15.
With what is left for us on the schedule and a potential RPI:
4 wins - .5515
3 wins - .5448 (split with Maine)
3 wins - .5430 (split wit BC)
All of these keep us in 14 (ignoring other results)
All of those historically keep us in.
Of course, we don’t know our playoff matchups, but we obviously need to win games especially against teams below us. If we lost a game in UMass, it’s probably not as harmful.
The easy way is to of course win the Hockey East Championship, but I think there are other realistic avenues based on history.