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Bracketology

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Re: Bracketology

kdaddy said:
My guess is it won't be because they won it is that a league with 4 teams is allowed to exist and have more than 1.
Click to expand...

A valid point..... but again, the landscape and attitude of many of the member institutions is part of the reason teams:

1) Left the CHA for other conferences
2) Went to way of the dinosaur and are no more
3) Would not consider joining the CHA

All of which are factors in why the CHA was at four teams this year and why as of the end of the NCAA season, will be no longer!
 
Re: Bracketology

The updated PWR

1 Denver U (WC)
2 Miami (CC)
3 Wisconsin (WC)
4 Boston Coll (HE)
5 North Dakota (WC)
6 St Cloud (WC)
7 Bemidji State (CH)
8 Yale (EC)
9 Ferris State (CC)
10 Cornell (EC)
11 New Hampshire (HE)
12 Northern Mich (CC)
13 AK-Fairbanks (CC)
14 Vermont (HE)
---
15 Mass-Lowell (HE)
16 Minn-Duluth (WC)
17 Michigan (CC)
18 Mich State (CC)
19 Maine (HE)
20 Boston Univ (HE)
21 CO College (WC)
22 NE-Omaha (CC)
23 Minnesota (WC)
24 Union (EC)
25 RIT (AH)

Teams in bold are done for the season.
Teams in italics have already clinched a berth.

Last in: Alaska, Vermont
Last out: Lowell, Minn-Duluth

The brackets:

Code: 
[B]Albany			Worcester		Fort Wayne	St. Paul[/B]
Denver			Boston College		Miami		Wisconsin
Yale			North Dakota		Bemidji State	St. Cloud
Ferris St		NMU			Cornell		UNH
Huntsville		Alaska			AHA Champ	Vermont

The TUC line:
Code: 
21	[B]NE-Omaha	0.5206[/B]
22	Union	        0.5200
23	Maine	        0.5181
24	Boston Univ	0.5175
25	RIT	        0.5123
---
26	[B]NorthEastern	0.5118[/B]
27	[B]Mass-Amherst	0.5117[/B]
28	Ohio State	0.5116
29	St Lawrence	0.5075
30	MSU-Mankato	0.5065
 
Re: Bracketology

Does Michigan have to win the tourney next weekend to get in? Or would a win over Miami/championship game loss be good enough? Or vice-versa?
 
Re: Bracketology

redwings8831 said:
Does Michigan have to win the tourney next weekend to get in? Or would a win over Miami/championship game loss be good enough? Or vice-versa?
Click to expand...

Michigan would be on the bubble at 15 if they lost the CCHA title game (depending on other results).
 
Re: Bracketology

Priceless said:
A cursory look inside the PWR tells us...

Teams that have secured berths:

Denver 1-2
Miami 1-2 (going to Fort Wayne)
Wisconsin
Boston College
North Dakota
Bemidji State
St. Cloud

Teams that do not have to win their conference tournaments to still receive an at-large bid:

New Hampshire
Yale
Cornell
Alaska
Ferris State
Northern Michigan
UMD
Lowell
Michigan State
UMass
UNO
Vermont
Boston University
Colorado College
Minnesota

Everyone else must win their autobid.
Click to expand...

redwings8831 said:
Does Michigan have to win the tourney next weekend to get in? Or would a win over Miami/championship game loss be good enough? Or vice-versa?
Click to expand...

.
 
Re: Bracketology

Priceless said:
A cursory look inside the PWR tells us...

Teams that have secured berths:

Denver 1-2
Miami 1-2 (going to Fort Wayne)
Wisconsin
Boston College
North Dakota
Bemidji State
St. Cloud

Teams that do not have to win their conference tournaments to still receive an at-large bid:

New Hampshire
Yale
Cornell
Alaska
Ferris State
Northern Michigan
UMD
Lowell
Michigan State
UMass
UNO
Vermont
Boston University
Colorado College
Minnesota

Everyone else must win their autobid.
Click to expand...

Teams in bold are out. I haven't run the scenarios on BU, but they'll be very close. Also haven't run the numbers for Cornell, but I doubt they're in yet.
 
Re: Bracketology

Priceless said:
The TUC line:
Code: 
21	[B]NE-Omaha	0.5206[/B]
22	Union	        0.5200
23	Maine	        0.5181
24	Boston Univ	0.5175
25	RIT	        0.5123
---
26	[B]NorthEastern	0.5118[/B]
27	[B]Mass-Amherst	0.5117[/B]
28	Ohio State	0.5116
29	St Lawrence	0.5075
30	MSU-Mankato	0.5065
Click to expand...

I thought you said UMass-Amherst was the last TUC team?
 
Re: Bracketology

Priceless, why do you show DU going to Albany? Just curious ... read back a few pages and didn't see why.

GFM
 
Re: Bracketology

gfmorris said:
Priceless, why do you show DU going to Albany? Just curious ... read back a few pages and didn't see why.

GFM
Click to expand...

I think it comes down to the number of flights. DU has to fly anywhere, and if they go to Albany, everyone else is in busing distance.
 
Re: Bracketology

Eaglefan06 said:
I thought you said UMass-Amherst was the last TUC team?
Click to expand...

They were...then other games went final and they weren't :p

RIT's win was just enough to lift them up. The difference between 25 and 28 is .0007 RPI. If RIT loses in the AHA semis, the TUC line is going to be very interesting.
 
Re: Bracketology

Not that UAH has any bearing on where they play, but for travel would be good if they ended up in Fort Wayne I think?
 
Re: Bracketology

gfmorris said:
Priceless, why do you show DU going to Albany? Just curious ... read back a few pages and didn't see why.

GFM
Click to expand...

There are a few reasons.
Flights - Denver is getting on a plane, and as far as the NCAA is concerned, it doesn't matter where that plane lands.
The committee won't say this, but it would be nice to get an ECAC team in Albany. The 1/8 bracket does this.
Tickets aren't a primary concern, but attendance is going to suck in either St. Paul, Albany or both. Wisconsin's pod can save St. Paul but if you switch them, both sites will be wastelands. One quick fix is to flip UNH for Ferris State, but they'd only do this if they were really concerned about attendance and history shows us they are not.
 
Re: Bracketology

Priceless said:
There are a few reasons.
Flights - Denver is getting on a plane, and as far as the NCAA is concerned, it doesn't matter where that plane lands.
The committee won't say this, but it would be nice to get an ECAC team in Albany. The 1/8 bracket does this.
Tickets aren't a primary concern, but attendance is going to suck in either St. Paul, Albany or both. Wisconsin's pod can save St. Paul but if you switch them, both sites will be wastelands. One quick fix is to flip UNH for Ferris State, but they'd only do this if they were really concerned about attendance and history shows us they are not.
Click to expand...

So what does it take for Miami to pull ahead of DU?
 
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