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Boston University 2010-11 part II - The Hunt For Red November

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Re: Boston University 2010-11 part II - The Hunt For Red November

Winning usually takes care of a lot of problems but I guess to a certain extent, we'll also be relying on other teams losing. If BU wins out the rest of the season with the exception of the BC game, I think they're in good shape for an at large. Just win!
 
Re: Boston University 2010-11 part II - The Hunt For Red November

Back to actual hockey for a second... I was looking at :

BU: UML, @UMass, PC, @PC, UVM, UVM, @NU, NU
MC: @NU, UMass, @UNH, UNH, @UMass, UMass, @Maine, @Maine, PC, @PC
Maine: @UNH, @UNH, UVM, UVM, @UML, @UML, MC, MC, @UMass, @UMass


I was just wondering and trying to figure out the Pairwise rankings. Doesn't BU year end schedule actually hurt them since they don't seem to be playing any top (TUC) teams. They are currently 14th, and even if they beat BC Monday, I dont see how that helps them since BC is already 3-0 against them H2H. So while the EOY schedule sets them up nicely for a HE QF home series, I dont think it set them up for an At Large Bid. I admit I dont have the advanced Math degree necessary to decipher the PW system, but it already looks like BU has to win the HE tourney to get a bid?

thoughts?

Winning games against TUCs helps more than winning games against non-TUCs, but winning games against non-TUCs still helps. If BU finished with that 9-1 record mookie posted earlier, they would almost certainly get in without having to win HE unless every other bubble team finished that strong, too, which I don't see happening.
 
Re: Boston University 2010-11 part II - The Hunt For Red November

Back to actual hockey for a second... I was looking at :

BU: UML, @UMass, PC, @PC, UVM, UVM, @NU, NU
MC: @NU, UMass, @UNH, UNH, @UMass, UMass, @Maine, @Maine, PC, @PC
Maine: @UNH, @UNH, UVM, UVM, @UML, @UML, MC, MC, @UMass, @UMass


I was just wondering and trying to figure out the Pairwise rankings. Doesn't BU year end schedule actually hurt them since they don't seem to be playing any top (TUC) teams. They are currently 15th, and even if they beat BC Monday, I dont see how that helps them since BC is already 3-0 against them H2H. So while the EOY schedule sets them up nicely for a HE QF home series, I dont think it set them up for an At Large Bid. I admit I dont have the advanced Math degree necessary to decipher the PW system, but it already looks like BU has to win the HE tourney to get a bid?

thoughts?

With the new TUC rules in the PWR (any team with a .500 or better RPI is a TUC), there are now more teams that are TUC's, and it's not a pre-determined number. Currently, there are ~35. NU, PC, and UMass are all within range of joining that group, which can help us immensely. Of course, winning games is going to help either way, since it will ultimately bolster our RPI, which is the most heavily weighted factor in the PWR process. BC may be the last regular season game vs. a TUC, and while we have no shot at winning the pair with them, it can help our TUC record, which could use some improving. We also need to root for Brown to lose a bunch so they can drop that ugly 0-1-1 from our TUC. Either way, just win.
 
Re: Boston University 2010-11 part II - The Hunt For Red November

Winning games against TUCs helps more than winning games against non-TUCs, but winning games against non-TUCs still helps. If BU finished with that 9-1 record mookie posted earlier, they would almost certainly get in without having to win HE unless every other bubble team finished that strong, too, which I don't see happening.

if you go 9-1 down the stretch, BU at 21-8-7 is without question in the tourney and maybe a low 2 seed
 
Re: Boston University 2010-11 part II - The Hunt For Red November

if you go 9-1 down the stretch, BU at 21-8-7 is without question in the tourney and maybe a low 2 seed

I'd love to see 9-1 (especially if that "1" isn't in the Beanpot), but I think (a) that's a long-shot and (b) it won't take that to make the tourney. There aren't any gimmies and at least some of the games might be 50/50 at best. The Mullins Center hasn't been that hospitable the last few years, for instance.

That said
 
Re: Boston University 2010-11 part II - The Hunt For Red November

9-1 with a goal differential of zero after nine one goal wins and a 9 goal loss to BC
 
Re: Boston University 2010-11 part II - The Hunt For Red November

Optimism is nice and the rest of the schedule is a lot easier than what we've been going through. However, there is no certainty with this team. I could see this team going 9-1 as easily as I could see them going 3-4-2. The wins against Maine were nice and it showed that Millan looks to be back in amazing form and the Terriers can glide by in a game resting on that. But the Maine games did not inspire much confidence in other areas. Everything about the team still seems in flux and nothing is consistent, except how bad they are on the power play and horrible SOG totals.

I would feel better if the Maine games showed similar stats or that the Terriers hustled as much as the Black Bears but from all indication based on the radio and live hockey blog, that does not seem true. As with last year: wins, losses, Parker rants, dismissals, nothing seems to get the Terriers motivated to start the game and play hard from start to finish. Once that changes, I'll feel better about the rest of the season.
 
Re: Boston University 2010-11 part II - The Hunt For Red November

I was just wondering and trying to figure out the Pairwise rankings. Doesn't BU year end schedule actually hurt them since they don't seem to be playing any top (TUC) teams.

???
granted, our boys are 0-3-0 vs #5 bc (but hey, bc is beating everyone).
0-1-0 vs #8 rpi
2-1-0 vs #7 uhn
1-0-0 vs #6 bucky
1-0-1 vs #10 notre dame
0-1-2 vs #12 mack
1-0-2 vs #20 maine

just need a couple more #32 bron losses to drop that 0-2-0 out of tuc :(
 
Re: Boston University 2010-11 part II - The Hunt For Red November

They've had three bad losses this season, and by "bad" I mean unexpected. PC, which was on the road, and NU, which was at home (they beat them on the road and have the rubber game coming up) and then UML-- again, at home. I considered the NU loss at home unexpected because they had won on the road the night before against the same team, and the UML loss unexpected because they had beaten the same team on the road and at home earlier in the season.

Sure, losing to PC on the road is bad, but it's not as if a good team can't have a bad night on the road. Brown, anyone?

Their other league losses on the road were both by one goal, and to BC and UNH.

They've got all of five losses, three on the road, two at home, all in the league-- so a difference of one game between home and road losses. All three league losses on the road were by a single goal, and two were against the top two teams in the league this year.

How is that indicative of this year's Merrimack team having a high degree of difficulty on the road?

They haven't beaten anyone of real consequence on the road this year, but neither have they struggled, getting a tie on the road at UVM, at BU, and a tie at Niagara. Everything else is a W. Last I remember, playing for the win at home and a tie on the road was an acceptable regular season strategy.

They've got all of five losses, three on the road, One might well discount their wins over Atlantic teams, but at least they didn't lose to Atlantic teams, which some Hockey East programs did this season.

Having said that, their finish is certainly tougher than BU's, but mostly because BU went to Alfond and got the job done. Merrimack has to prove they can do the same. They've won season series where they had the home advantage, and how to keep pace they've got to win on the road against Maine and UNH.

If they get swept at UNH and Alfond then I think it's fair to say MC is having trouble winning on the road, but it hasn't happened yet.
:eek:

You coulda just said... "Currently in conference, we're 7-2-1 at home and 2-3-2 on the road. You may be on to something there FiveHole!" ;) :p
 
Re: Boston University 2010-11 part II - The Hunt For Red November

:eek:

You coulda just said... "Currently in conference, we're 7-2-1 at home and 2-3-2 on the road. You may be on to something there FiveHole!" ;) :p

I don't believe you are on to anything, though. They've played fewer league games on the road than at home, and two of their three losses were by one goal to the top two teams. .750 at home in ten games is pretty good. .500 on the road, in the league, in seven games, is not bad, and out of the conference the home and road records are more similar.

If and when 2-3-2 becomes 2-6-2, you'd be on to something.

Next time, though, I'll add a TL;DR summary for you, though :)
 
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Re: Boston University 2010-11 part II - The Hunt For Red November

I don't believe you are on to anything, though. They've played fewer league games on the road than at home, and two of their three losses were by one goal to the top two teams.

If and when 2-3-2 becomes 2-6-2, you'd be on to something.

Next time, though, I'll add a TL;DR summary for you, though :)

take it elsewhere buddy.
 
Re: Boston University 2010-11 part II - The Hunt For Red November

That was the TL;DR summary for that entry.
 
Re: Boston University 2010-11 part II - The Hunt For Red November

Excuse me? Take what?

your argument with the BC fans over your record. we keep this thread to arguing with them about relevant things like Parker's latest trip to the dugout, whether Gerbe slashed anyone/dove lately, and the occasional confused Northeastern fan.
 
Re: Boston University 2010-11 part II - The Hunt For Red November

Sorry to take this back to actual hockey but just wondering ... with Millan playing well and the team getting into the stretch run, are we going to see Rollheiser at any point? I expected that he would be in net against Harvard but it didn't happen. Was that a statement from Parker? And if Rollheiser spends the rest of the season on the bench, do you think he will be back for his senior year? Fed. League? Hammer? Anyone?
 
Re: Boston University 2010-11 part II - The Hunt For Red November

your argument with the BC fans over your record. we keep this thread to arguing with them about relevant things like Parker's latest trip to the dugout, whether Gerbe slashed anyone/dove lately, and the occasional confused Northeastern fan.

You mean there are other threads? Ones where people can discuss their own teams? Wonders never cease
 
Re: Boston University 2010-11 part II - The Hunt For Red November

Sorry to take this back to actual hockey but just wondering ... with Millan playing well and the team getting into the stretch run, are we going to see Rollheiser at any point? I expected that he would be in net against Harvard but it didn't happen. Was that a statement from Parker? And if Rollheiser spends the rest of the season on the bench, do you think he will be back for his senior year? Fed. League? Hammer? Anyone?

I can't see him getting another start unless Millan gets fatigued or completely falls apart. Parker showed he's willing to stick with Millan even after a bad game when he started him against ND one day after the Brown loss. Obviously that worked out well. I don't think it's any sort of statement against Rollheiser so much as it's the fact that Millan is playing like one of the best goalies in the country right now. Every game from here on is too important to mess with that.

As for next season... I honestly have no idea. Parker said Millan was the No. 1 goalie even before this season started, so I'd find it hard to believe he won't enter next season as the No. 1 again. If that's the case, I wouldn't at all be surprised if Rollheiser takes a serious look at his options. I haven't heard anything about him doing that, though, so that's pure speculation on my part.
 
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