2024 Elections: One Last Chance for Democracy

[dxmnkd316]

14 Senate polls have been conducted in Pennsylvania this month, according to 538, including the most recent poll, a blatantly Republican one showing Casey-McCormick tied at 47. Even with that poll, the average of the 14 polls is 49%-44% Casey…and Cook Political Report moves it to a “toss-up?” Interesting.

There are a bunch of people questioning this move. It doesn't make any sense.

 

[psych]

There are a bunch of people questioning this move. It doesn't make any sense.

Casey averaged 48.7% in the polls in September and 48.79% in October (so far). McCormick averaged 42.68% in September and 44.07% in October (so far). That’s a 1.3% “swing” toward McCormick, which, in the world we live in, where none of the polls on 538 are Democratic-sponsored, but two Republican ones are, how true of a swing is it? Then again, I was the one yelling that Casey wasn’t in any trouble even before Biden dropped out, so maybe I’m not the one to listen to on this.

 

[Handyman]

If you want to laugh...do research into Trump's new crypto World Liberty Financial. It's not even good enough to be called a scam.

 

[Handyman]

Casey averaged 48.7% in the polls in September and 48.79% in October (so far). McCormick averaged 42.68% in September and 44.07% in October (so far). That’s a 1.3% “swing” toward McCormick, which, in the world we live in, where none of the polls on 538 are Democratic-sponsored, but two Republican ones are, how true of a swing is it? Then again, I was the one yelling that Casey wasn’t in any trouble even before Biden dropped out, so maybe I’m not the one to listen to on this.

I haven't heard anything about Casey being in trouble in quite some time. Not sure what Cook is thinking but half the time I find their decisions baffling going back at least 2 cycles.

 

[Handyman]

According to The Guardian 25% of the canvassing being done in Arizona and Nevada by Elmos PAC is lies by the canvassers. They are tracked through an app and they sit at restaurants or never leave their homes and just report they knocked.

Reuters I guess talked to someone in Wisconsin canvassing for Trump said they likely won't be able to hit their goals of knocking on 450k doors.

This is why you don't outsource this and privatize GOTV.

 

[mookie1995]

https://x.com/amuse/status/1848555636209959258?s=61&t=Tm_QfNNi1j4RxxFX2KExbw

 

[mookie1995]

If you want to laugh...do research into Trump's new crypto World Liberty Financial. It's not even good enough to be called a scam.

Is this with the emails and tweets telling people to buy some trump coin before he wins the election? They expecting this victory to get them rich??

 

[FadeToBlack&Gold]

According to The Guardian 25% of the canvassing being done in Arizona and Nevada by Elmos PAC is lies by the canvassers. They are tracked through an app and they sit at restaurants or never leave their homes and just report they knocked.

Reuters I guess talked to someone in Wisconsin canvassing for Trump said they likely won't be able to hit their goals of knocking on 450k doors.

This is why you don't outsource this and privatize GOTV.

If they were smarter, they would use demographic info to microtarget male voters without a college degree and religious nuts. He can't win if those groups don't show.

 

[rufus]

Is this with the emails and tweets telling people to buy some trump coin before he wins the election? They expecting this victory to get them rich??

I think it's something about how once you buy it, it can't be used to pay for goods or services until the issuer(Dementia Donnie) sets the terms and conditions on how it's used.

So basically, you're giving money to Donnie for something that has no use. You can't sell it, you can't trade it, you can't buy anything with it.

Hey, but you own it.

 

[Handyman]

I think it's something about how once you buy it, it can't be used to pay for goods or services until the issuer(Dementia Donnie) sets the terms and conditions on how it's used.

So basically, you're giving money to Donnie for something that has no use. You can't sell it, you can't trade it, you can't buy anything with it.

Hey, but you own it.

This is correct...and the thing is most cryptos (even fake ones) pretend to have a use for the money you are sending them. The money has a purpose it doesn't just sit in a wallet somewhere.** There is a project behind it. This one has nothing, and as rufus said, you cannot sell or trade the coin so you are stuck holding this penny stock until they decide otherwise which will be never. I am not sure that was always the case, but for sure now. They raised a bunch of money ($15 million) but it was a total bust overall as they were trying to raise AT LEAST 20x that to get the project off the ground. They were really trying to raise a billion but $300 million was what they were trying to get their cap to. Since they got nowhere near that (and never will) they likely will just let it die out.

Best part is, just like his worthless stock Trump legit has nothing to do with it...he just was given a ton of coins to allow his name (and family members) to be used to pump the crypto. They are just "Ambassadors" which makes them the "Pumpers" out there trying to get people to buy. The actual guy who created this coin is a known scammer who even made a video about how easy it is to make millions scamming tokens online.

The youtuber Coffeezilla has a lot of videos on crypto scams including a new on on Trump if you want all of the details.




**In crypto scams the money does sit in a wallet somewhere and the people who control the wallet usually clean it out right after they sell their stake. Eric did this not too long and even Barron I think was involved in one. Rug Pulls/Pump and Dumps are why crypto needs serious regulation almost every influencer around has ripped people off with them with Logan Paul being one of the biggest. Hell Elon didn't even hide he pump and dumped Doge...Doge just is controlled by someone else who has kept it going instead of cleaning it out.

 

[Handyman]

https://x.com/amuse/status/1848555636209959258?s=61&t=Tm_QfNNi1j4RxxFX2KExbw

It has already been explained to you, Polymarket predictions are not a thing. It would be like saying "the outcome of Sundays game is already determined because Vegas has moved the line". Actually that isn't even true because Vegas is regulated and those numbers are based on quantifiable bets usually within Las Vegas. (or the US at least)

Polymarket is a crypto money laundering scheme offshore (because in the US gambling on the election is illegal) run by people who support Trump. (Peter Thiel) It has no basis in reality other than to say "Various rich people are putting their money on this". If you know someone with $25 million in BTC you can move the line right now...that is what happened last week when it "shifted". Look at the comments even they are getting wise to it and they are dumb cultists who think Elon is a genius.

Either you are trolling (badly) or you are not listening. Either way, stop trusting Elon and is Acolytes when it comes to this. Elon has thrown at least $200 million into various schemes to help Trump on top of the bribing he is doing to get votes out there. He needs Trump to win or he is in for a world of hurt come 2025 and he knows it. (he actually admitted it on the Tucker podcast) He is trying to fool people into believing Trump is going to cruise so when he doesn't he can cry foul...hence why he is risking a lawsuit by talking about Dominion. None of this real stop pretending you are an idiot.

It is possible Trump might win...but Polymarket has zero to do with it and if it ends up being right it is an accident. To jump off French Rage's point, it is as correlative as the octopus picking the Stanley Cup.

 

[Deutsche Gopher Fan]

Mookie just itching for someone to tell him Donnie gonna win

 

[Jimjamesak]

So Harris has announced a rally in Houston on Friday.

Either they’re really happy with their internal numbers in other states or they’re making a huge mistake.

 

[Handyman]

So Harris has announced a rally in Houston on Friday.

Either they’re really happy with their internal numbers in other states or they’re making a huge mistake.

Well it might also be about shoring up some down ballot races for the House...I mean they have spent the past month circling the battleground states I don't think 1 day is going to make a difference here or there. (plus they have a town hall tomorrow on CNN) Early voting in the battlegrounds is probably making them feel pretty solid. I mean a million+ early voters in Michigan, majority women, is a very good start.

And from what little I have been able to see as I avoid anxiety inducing stuff as much as possible, that seems to also be the case in other states as well.

Totally a guess by me, and I do not even pretend to be an expert (and I very rarely stay at Holiday Inns anymore) but I would guess internal polling plus the early voting in Michigan/Pennsylvania/North Carolina/Georgia (especially where the votes are coming in from) has them looking at where they can goose some Dem turnout elsewhere and force the GOP to have to defend and waste their meager resources. They see Trump in California and his upcoming Madison Square Garden rally (does he have the balls to stiff MSG? We know Arnold Palmer did ) trying to save The House so Mike Johnson will be in power when January 6th happens and the Harris Campaign is going to try and offset that. Plus, it could be very helpful for Colin Allred in his close race with Cruz. Walz is still running around like a crazy man so her taking one day in Texas won't hold her back all that much and if it gives boost to the Dems running in Texas it could be the difference.

 

[Jimjamesak]

Well it might also be about shoring up some down ballot races for the House...I mean they have spent the past month circling the battleground states I don't think 1 day is going to make a difference here or there. (plus they have a town hall tomorrow on CNN) Early voting in the battlegrounds is probably making them feel pretty solid. I mean a million+ early voters in Michigan, majority women, is a very good start.

And from what little I have been able to see as I avoid anxiety inducing stuff as much as possible, that seems to also be the case in other states as well.

Totally a guess by me, and I do not even pretend to be an expert (and I very rarely stay at Holiday Inns anymore) but I would guess internal polling plus the early voting in Michigan/Pennsylvania/North Carolina/Georgia (especially where the votes are coming in from) has them looking at where they can goose some Dem turnout elsewhere and force the GOP to have to defend and waste their meager resources. They see Trump in California and his upcoming Madison Square Garden rally (does he have the balls to stiff MSG? We know Arnold Palmer did ) trying to save The House so Mike Johnson will be in power when January 6th happens and the Harris Campaign is going to try and offset that. Plus, it could be very helpful for Colin Allred in his close race with Cruz. Walz is still running around like a crazy man so her taking one day in Texas won't hold her back all that much and if it gives boost to the Dems running in Texas it could be the difference.

Yeah, the realistic answer is that they’re trying to shore up some House races and give Allred a boost.

The crazy answer of W making an appearance is more fun.

 

[Handyman]

If HW was alive I would bet money he would be there...W wants to stay out of it and since we already made our deal with the devil (Cheney) I am not sure I could handle the idea of W coming around. If he did though Cruz would go down hard.

 

[Chuck Murray]

Funny to see how the "saving democracy" theme isn't even believed unconditionally by a majority of grass roots Dems ...

 

[Jimjamesak]

If HW was alive I would bet money he would be there...W wants to stay out of it and since we already made our deal with the devil (Cheney) I am not sure I could handle the idea of W coming around. If he did though Cruz would go down hard.

Yeah W would probably be more harm than good but it would be funny.

Also Eminem is introducing Obama tonight at a rally in Detroit.

 

[Scarlet]

Also Eminem is introducing Obama tonight at a rally in Detroit.

You know who's from Houston? Beyonce.

 

[Handyman]

You know who's from Houston? Beyonce.