2020 NCAA Hockey Tournament - What If: A Simulation of the 2019-2020 Postseason

[jjmc85]

Hockey East Quarterfinals

Northeastern @ Massachusetts - Game 3:
This Battle in the Bay State (commonwealth?) held not only bragging rights, but a spot in the Hockey East Semifinals at the Garden for the winner. Massachusetts started off strong, taking a 2-0 lead midway through the first period on goals by John Leonard and Bobby Trivigno. Northeastern would come back strong however, getting a late goal in the first by Tyler Madden and an early second period powerplay goal by Grant Jozefek to tie the game at 2-2. The netminders took over at that point, as Northeastern's Craig Pantano and Massachusetts' Matt Murray traded save-after-save to keep the game tied at 2 heading into the third. The final frame was one to remember for the home crowd, as John Leonard continued his tremendous season with his second goal of the game early in the period to give the Minutemen a 3-2 advantage. UMASS added to their lead minutes later on Matthew Kessel's blast from the near boards that beat a screened Pantano and gave Massachusetts a 4-2 lead. Murray continued his strong play from the second, and stopped each of Northeastern's 12 shots on goal in the last twenty, and the Minutemen held on for a 4-2 victory and a 2-1 series win.

Relieved. I hope UMass goes with Murray Friday night at the Garden. He’s earned it IMO

 

[huskyfan]

Re: 2020 NCAA Hockey Tournament - What If: A Simulation of the 2019-2020 Postseason

Well, ****. Michigan Tech's season is over.

 

[leswp1]

Re: 2020 NCAA Hockey Tournament - What If: A Simulation of the 2019-2020 Postseason

And scores from out east are starting to come in...

AHA Quarterfinals

Robert Morris @ Sacred Heart - Game 3:
The Sacred Heart Pioneers hosted the Robert Morris Colonials in a winner-take-all Game 3 of their Atlantic Hockey Quarterfinal series. The Pioneers' Josh Benson played exceptional in the first period, stopping all 11 shots he faced. Meanwhile, the Colonials Justin Kapelmaster was equally up to the task, thwarting each of the 8 shots on goal mustered by SHU in the opening frame. Both goaltenders continued their strong play into the second period, but Sacred Heart broke the stalemate late in the middle stanza on a powerplay goal by Matt Tugnutt. The Pioneers doubled their advantage just before the second intermission when Mike Lee bombed a slapshot past Kapelmaster's blocker to give SHU a 2-0 advantage after 40 minutes. Robert Morris pulled back within one just over four minutes into the third period on Nick Jenny's wrister from the point. Robert Morris had a golden opportunity to level the score midway through the final period after Sacred Heart's Alex Bates was called for roughing. Unfortunately for RMU, Benson stopped each of their three chances on the powerplay. As the clock ticked to zero, Sacred Heart fended off a late Colonial-charge, and when the final horn sounded, it was Sacred Heart winning the game and the series 2-1.

Air Force @ RIT - Game 3:
While it appeared that the Falcons and the Tigers were set to engage in a classic do-or-die battle, it would not be. The RIT Tigers dominated from the opening faceoff, scoring three first period goals, by Jake Hamacher, Caleb Moretz, and Dan Willett. At the other end of the ice, RIT netminder Logan Drackett saw only 6 shots on net, stopping them all, giving RIT a 3-0 cushion after one. Drackett stymied Air Force in the second period as well, stopping all 8 shots on goal, while Shawn Cameron tallied the fourth goal of the night for the Tigers. Air Force had a chance to get back in the game early in the third period following a bench minor for too many men, but instead of a Falcons goal, it would be Alden Dupuis scoring shorthanded to give the Tigers a commanding 5-0 advantage. That is how the game would end, with RIT punching its ticket to the Atlantic Hockey Semifinals.

ECAC Quarterfinals

Yale @ Quinnipiac - Game 3:
Game 3 of the Battle for Connecticut saw the Yale Bulldogs and the Quinnipiac Bobcats skate to an entertaining match with a spot in Lake Placid on the line. The Bobcats struck first midway through the opening stanza on Wyatt Bongiovanni's wrister from the slot the beat Yale goalie Corbin Kaczperski stick-side. Yale responded, and with just over a minute left in the first period knotted the game on Curtis Hall's one-timer from the near circle. Hall gave the Bulldogs the lead early in the second period on another beautiful one-timer from the bottom of the far circle that just beat Bobcat goaltender Keith Petruzzelli's outstretched glove. However, the Bobcats would respond, and midway through the game William Fallstrom slammed home a rebound to knot the score at 2-2. The game remained tied until just six minutes left in the third, when Nick Jermain grabbed a loose puck out of the corner and fed Karlis Cuskte for a howitzer from the point that didn't give Kaczperski a chance. The goal gave Quinnipiac a 3-2 lead heading into the final minutes of regulation. The Bulldogs ferociously fought to level the score, but Petruzzelli held off their charge, and when the horn sounded to end the game, Quinnipiac edged out Yale 3-2 to advance to the ECAC Semifinals.

Hockey East Quarterfinals

Northeastern @ Massachusetts - Game 3:
This Battle in the Bay State (commonwealth?) held not only bragging rights, but a spot in the Hockey East Semifinals at the Garden for the winner. Massachusetts started off strong, taking a 2-0 lead midway through the first period on goals by John Leonard and Bobby Trivigno. Northeastern would come back strong however, getting a late goal in the first by Tyler Madden and an early second period powerplay goal by Grant Jozefek to tie the game at 2-2. The netminders took over at that point, as Northeastern's Craig Pantano and Massachusetts' Matt Murray traded save-after-save to keep the game tied at 2 heading into the third. The final frame was one to remember for the home crowd, as John Leonard continued his tremendous season with his second goal of the game early in the period to give the Minutemen a 3-2 advantage. UMASS added to their lead minutes later on Matthew Kessel's blast from the near boards that beat a screened Pantano and gave Massachusetts a 4-2 lead. Murray continued his strong play from the second, and stopped each of Northeastern's 12 shots on goal in the last twenty, and the Minutemen held on for a 4-2 victory and a 2-1 series win.

Boston University @ Massachusetts Lowell - Game 3:
Another all-Massachusetts showdown in Hockey East this evening in the pivotal game 3 of the Terriers' and Riverhawks' Hockey East Quarterfinal series. Lowell's Matt Brown put the Riverhawks ahead early on a wraparound goal that snuck through BU's Senior netminder Sam Tucker's five-hole. UML continued its strong start notching two more goals in the first period, by Chase Blakmun and Andre Lee, to take a 3-0 advantage. However, the game was not over. BU capitalized on an early powerplay opportunity in the second period when Patrick Harper's wrister found the back of the net. Harper added his second goal of the night midway through the game to pull the Terriers within a goal at 3-2. The key point in the game occurred just before the end of the second period. Harper had a partial breakaway and his wrister beat Tyler Wall, but rang off the goal post. The Riverhawks then gained possession, and with just over ten seconds left in the period, Colin O'Neill launched a wrister from the bottom of the near circle that trickled over Tucker's shoulder and into the net to give Lowell a 4-2 lead. Lowell seized on that momentum shift and came out flying to start the third, and on the period's first shot, Brown lit the lamp with his second goal of the game to give UML a 5-2 advantage. BU continued to fight on, and a late goal by Patrick Curry pulled the Terriers within two with just over two minutes to play. BU notched another tally with just over thirty seconds to play when David Farrance's wrister from the blueline weaved its way through bodies to find the net and the Lowell crowd held their breaths. Fortunately for the Riverhawks, BU was unable to muster another opportunity to tie the game, and when the final horn buzzed, it was Massachusetts Lowell advancing to the Hockey East Semifinals with a 5-4 win.

w000t! again!! Sorry Scarlet! and the wrap around should be Lee- running joke up where we sit that he always tries but it never goes in. Poetic justice would have him score one in simulated game....

Thanks for this. mr les is looking at me weird because I let out a little cheer when I read who won.

 

[MavHockey14]

Re: 2020 NCAA Hockey Tournament - What If: A Simulation of the 2019-2020 Postseason

Glad the boys got it done. Go Mavs!

 

[Slap Shot]

Re: 2020 NCAA Hockey Tournament - What If: A Simulation of the 2019-2020 Postseason

I demand a recount!!

 

[purpleinnebraska]

Glad the boys got it done. Go Mavs!

The bubble must have been exceptionally tight this year if one loss could hurt Bemidji that much. Would have been a wild weekend.

 

[SonofSouthie]

Re: 2020 NCAA Hockey Tournament - What If: A Simulation of the 2019-2020 Postseason

Reality or simulated it still sucks to BU.

 

[John J. MacInnes]

Re: 2020 NCAA Hockey Tournament - What If: A Simulation of the 2019-2020 Postseason

So let me get this straight - a grand total of ONE lower seed advanced from the weekend, and it's the skunks.

Even simulation can get you riled up.

 

[theprofromdover]

Re: 2020 NCAA Hockey Tournament - What If: A Simulation of the 2019-2020 Postseason

Reality or simulated it still sucks to BU.

 

[Ralph Baer]

Re: 2020 NCAA Hockey Tournament - What If: A Simulation of the 2019-2020 Postseason

ECAC Quarterfinals

Yale @ Quinnipiac - Game 3:
Game 3 of the Battle for Connecticut saw the Yale Bulldogs and the Quinnipiac Bobcats skate to an entertaining match with a spot in Lake Placid on the line. The Bobcats struck first midway through the opening stanza on Wyatt Bongiovanni's wrister from the slot the beat Yale goalie Corbin Kaczperski stick-side. Yale responded, and with just over a minute left in the first period knotted the game on Curtis Hall's one-timer from the near circle. Hall gave the Bulldogs the lead early in the second period on another beautiful one-timer from the bottom of the far circle that just beat Bobcat goaltender Keith Petruzzelli's outstretched glove. However, the Bobcats would respond, and midway through the game William Fallstrom slammed home a rebound to knot the score at 2-2. The game remained tied until just six minutes left in the third, when Nick Jermain grabbed a loose puck out of the corner and fed Karlis Cuskte for a howitzer from the point that didn't give Kaczperski a chance. The goal gave Quinnipiac a 3-2 lead heading into the final minutes of regulation. The Bulldogs ferociously fought to level the score, but Petruzzelli held off their charge, and when the horn sounded to end the game, Quinnipiac edged out Yale 3-2 to advance to the ECAC Semifinals.

Oh well, RPI faces Cornell in the semis.

 

[Critical Thinker]

Re: 2020 NCAA Hockey Tournament - What If: A Simulation of the 2019-2020 Postseason

WCHA Semifinals



Bowling Green @ Bemidji State - Game 3:
With both teams' seasons likely on the line the Falcons and the Beavers squared off in Bemidji to decide who would take this WCHA Semifinals series. Once again, the goalkeepers stole the show. Bemidji's Zach Driscoll and Bowling Green's Eric Dop combined to stop all 31 shots on net in the first two periods, leading to a tense final stanza. After forty minutes of scoreless hockey, Bemidji struck first six minutes into the third period, when Charlie Combs corralled a rebound and lifted a backhander over Dop's leg to put the Beavers ahead 1-0. The two sides exchanged powerplay opportunities in the middle of the period, to no avail, but with just over five-and-a-half minutes to play, Bowling Green's T.J. Lloyd ripped a slapshot from the point that beat a screened Driscoll to tie the game at 1-1. It appeared the game was headed for overtime, but with just under a minute to play, Bemidji's Elias Rosen found a streaking Adam Brady with a beautiful feed through the neutral zone. Brady split the Falcons' defenders and lifted a wrister over Dop's glove and into the back of the net to give Bemidji State a 2-1 lead. That would be all Driscoll would need, and the Beavers advanced to the WCHA Championship.

This hurt just as much as reading that our season ended the first time.

 

[Sol Diablo]

Re: 2020 NCAA Hockey Tournament - What If: A Simulation of the 2019-2020 Postseason

The bubble shrinks...

1 North Dakota
2 Mankato
3 Cornell
4 Boston College
5 Minnesota-Duluth
6 Denver
7 Penn State
8 Clarkson
9 Massachusetts
10 Ohio State
11 Michigan
12 Maine
13 Mass.-Lowell
14 Arizona State
15 Bemidji State
===
AQ AIC
===
16 Western Michigan
17 Quinnipiac

Is this the KRACH or Pairwise ratings change?

 

[Fighting Sioux 23]

Re: 2020 NCAA Hockey Tournament - What If: A Simulation of the 2019-2020 Postseason

Is this the KRACH or Pairwise ratings change?

Pairwise.

I just your earlier post as well. KRACH is used in the simulator as one of the pieces to determine who will win the matchup. The results of those matchups are then put in the Pairwise calculator, and the NCAA Tournament selection will be based on the simulated AQs from each conference, and then using the Pairwise rankings. I hope that clarifies things a bit.

 

[ticapnews]

Re: 2020 NCAA Hockey Tournament - What If: A Simulation of the 2019-2020 Postseason

Is this the KRACH or Pairwise ratings change?

Pairwise.

The question that we'll have to resolve is when it comes to seeding the NCAA tournament, should we factor in attendance or just go straight ladder brackets? Obviously we're simulating the games - and the arenas would all be empty anyway - but in the normal tournament (perceived) attendance would be factored into where teams go. I can go either way.

 

[Fighting Sioux 23]

Re: 2020 NCAA Hockey Tournament - What If: A Simulation of the 2019-2020 Postseason

Pairwise.

The question that we'll have to resolve is when it comes to seeding the NCAA tournament, should we factor in attendance or just go straight ladder brackets? Obviously we're simulating the games - and the arenas would all be empty anyway - but in the normal tournament (perceived) attendance would be factored into where teams go. I can go either way.

My thoughts would be to seed it as normal (including attendance swaps). The purpose of the simulation is to provide a "what if" the season hadn't been cancelled. Had the season continued as normal, the committee would have made swaps for attendance/travel purposes. To that end, my vote would be to seed as normal.

 

[leswp1]

Re: 2020 NCAA Hockey Tournament - What If: A Simulation of the 2019-2020 Postseason

Reality or simulated it still sucks to BU.

My thoughts would be to seed it as normal (including attendance swaps). The purpose of the simulation is to provide a "what if" the season hadn't been cancelled. Had the season continued as normal, the committee would have made swaps for attendance/travel purposes. To that end, my vote would be to seed as normal.

Do we all get to argue about how it is 'fixed', not fair and otherwise sucks the choices they made?? that is some of the best stuff

 

[ticapnews]

Do we all get to argue about how it is 'fixed', not fair and otherwise sucks the choices they made?? that is some of the best stuff

I'll start a "My team was screwed!" thread when the field is set

 

[Scarlet]

Re: 2020 NCAA Hockey Tournament - What If: A Simulation of the 2019-2020 Postseason

w000t! again!! Sorry Scarlet! and the wrap around should be Lee- running joke up where we sit that he always tries but it never goes in. Poetic justice would have him score one in simulated game....

Thanks for this. mr les is looking at me weird because I let out a little cheer when I read who won.

No apologies les! I was entertained and saddened at the same time reading that because I honestly believe that is EXACTLY how I feel that game would’ve gone. And congrats!

 

[leswp1]

Re: 2020 NCAA Hockey Tournament - What If: A Simulation of the 2019-2020 Postseason

No apologies les! I was entertained and saddened at the same time reading that because I honestly believe that is EXACTLY how I feel that game would’ve gone. And congrats!

I wasn't- we had been so excellent at finding a way to try to lose.

 

[Ed Trefzger]

Re: 2020 NCAA Hockey Tournament - What If: A Simulation of the 2019-2020 Postseason

And scores from out east are starting to come in...

Air Force @ RIT - Game 3:
While it appeared that the Falcons and the Tigers were set to engage in a classic do-or-die battle, it would not be. The RIT Tigers dominated from the opening faceoff, scoring three first period goals, by Jake Hamacher, Caleb Moretz, and Dan Willett. At the other end of the ice, RIT netminder Logan Drackett saw only 6 shots on net, stopping them all, giving RIT a 3-0 cushion after one. Drackett stymied Air Force in the second period as well, stopping all 8 shots on goal, while Shawn Cameron tallied the fourth goal of the night for the Tigers. Air Force had a chance to get back in the game early in the third period following a bench minor for too many men, but instead of a Falcons goal, it would be Alden Dupuis scoring shorthanded to give the Tigers a commanding 5-0 advantage. That is how the game would end, with RIT punching its ticket to the Atlantic Hockey Semifinals.

I hypothetically lost my voice on Dupuis' shorty.

During the regular season, RIT was 14-4-1 when Moretz got at least a point.