Re: 2012 Elections Pt II: Bachmann Turned Me Into a Newt! A Newt?
now that Gingrich has flamed out, I was wondering if there's any candidate left that hasn't had their turn in the spotlight as the anti-Romney. Santorum was the flavor of the week already, right? Is that it then?
Interesting about Santorum; check this out from the NBC/Wall Street Journal poll:
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All of the GOP candidates are a net-negative in favorability ratings, with Santorum getting the best marks -- 26 percent positive, 27 percent negative.
Gingrich gets the worst -- 26-32.
Romney scores 31-36, and it’s worth noting that Bob Dole, John McCain, and George W. Bush were all net-positives at the same time in their fights for the nomination. The exception of a recent major party nominee being a net-negative at this point -- John Kerry, who was 22-26 in January 2004.
“Romney’s numbers are net-negative, which is unusual,” McInturff said.
Hart added, “It’s hard to make the case that anything but injury has come off the Republican brand off Congress and electorate.”
The congressional approval rating is near record lows of 13 percent, and more people say the GOP has brought the wrong kind of change (31 percent) in Congress than the right kind (12 percent). That represents a drop for the Republicans from a year ago, right after they took control of the House as a result of the sweeping 2010 elections. In January 2011, 25 percent thought Republicans would bring the right kind of change versus 20 percent who thought they would bring the wrong kind.
Those attitudes are also far worse than right after Democrats took control of the House in 2006 (42-15 percent) and Republicans regained a majority in 1994 (37-11 percent).
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Santorum is viewed the most favorable by the electorate (basically break even). I wondered about this previously, as in has anybody ever emerged from the primaries with an unfavorable rating. I would have thought Gore, but it turns out it was Kerry - should have remembered him first. I'm not sure how you can boost your favorability rating as a candidate when you're already well known (Newtie and Mittens). Santorum on the other hand probably does have some room to grow hypothetically.