Re: Yale Hockey 2014-2015. 138 miles to the ultimate goal.
There is one very unprobable set of wins and loses that would allow Yale and Harvard to both make the NCAA's but the chances are slim and almost none. It depends on a Harvard win over Q and Vermont running the table.
I don't think this is accurate. In fact, if Vermont runs the table and leapfrogs into the NCAAs via autobid while BU is already in, then it makes it incredibly hard for Yale to make it even if Harvard wins the ECAC. The Pairwise Predictor seems to validate this.
On the other hand, there are many scenarios where QPac, Harvard, and Yale ALL make it, but as I said on a previous page, they all depend on Harvard winning ECAC and BU winning HE (not Vermont). Vermont can lose immediately, or to BU in the HE final, and still have this outcome, as long as several of the other leagues have a top-2 favorite win the title. Examples:
Harvard wins ECAC, but Vermont loses immediately vs UML, BU wins HE
RESULT: QPac, Harvard, Yale are all IN
http://www.uscho.com/rankings/pairwise-predictor/pwp_55064c18e6ebd/
Harvard wins ECAC, Vermont beats UML, loses to BU in HE final
RESULT: QPac, Harvard, Yale are all IN
http://www.uscho.com/rankings/pairwise-predictor/pwp_5506d41c70c91/
For these two examples, there are lots of permutations where you can change the outcomes of NCHC, WCHA, AHA, etc in many different ways and still get these 3 ECAC teams in. The short story is, if Harvard wins the ECAC and BU wins Hockey East, things get very exciting for the ECAC as a conference.
Then there is the example I posted earlier that another poster uncovered, where Harvard doesn't win, QPac does, and Yale still makes it, but the wiggle room for the other conferences is not so abundant.
http://www.uscho.com/rankings/pairwise-predictor/pwp_550655ecb5cfe/