Re: World Soccer XXIV: The Road to Rio
Still a little Azteca magic left it seems.
Certainly appears so. That was one of the best goals I've seen while actually watching a game live on TV.
So, heading into Tuesday, here's what needs to happen for Mexico to be eliminated:
1) Costa Rica beat Mexico, preferably with a clean sheet
2) Panama squeaks out a win against the US
If that happens, then Mexico and Panama finish with 11 points. If both games are decided by 1 goal, then they also finish even on goal differential, leaving goals scored as the final tiebreaker. Currently, Panama has scored 8 goals to Mexico's 6. Moreover, Panama would need at least 1 goal to force this scenario. As a result, Panama cannot get to this scenario with anything less than 9 goals. That means for Mexico to win the tiebreaker (again, in this scenario), they would need to outscore Panama by 2 goals in order to draw even in goals forced. Consequently, if Panama beat the US 1-0, Mexico would have to lose to Costa Rica 3-4 to draw even in this tiebreaker, and 4-5 to win it. Point being, if Mexico loses and Panama wins on Tuesday, Panama will very likely take over the #4 spot, eliminating Mexico. Of course, I don't see both results happening (or perhaps either), so it suffices to say that Jimenez's bicycle kick likely saved Mexico's chances at having a chance to make it to the World Cup.