Donald Trump has said that if he is elected president he may abandon a guarantee of protection to fellow Nato countries.
Speaking to the New York Times, Mr Trump said the US would only come to the aid of allies if they have "fulfilled their obligations to us".
Dangerous. It signals to Putin, China, and now Turkey that they can feel free to invade others and if its at all dicey they'll get away with it. And even if he didn't plan to defend these countries, he'd (and possibly we'd) be in a world of hurt as he tried to justify extended implications on the geopolitical environment and US concerns, and possibly involve us in a war in hindsight anyways. As far as that goes, its much safer to say nothing.
But he's in 100% full stop populist mode. Major departure from past GOP policies (or those of really any modern, major politician).
Yeah, this transcends party. Every administration since the formation of NATO has reiterated the collective defense clause, and for that matter what is the worth of any treaty with the US if we reserve the right to shirk?
I can't imagine that goes well for him with anyone. Even pacifists think we should renegotiate treaties to include provisos concerning the use of force, not just unilaterally abrogate such treaties as exist.
If Russia stomps the Ukraine, is it in our national interest to commit troops? Looking back on 20/20 hindsight, maybe NATO should have stopped at the Germany/Poland bolder.
If Russia stomps the Ukraine, is it in our national interest to commit troops? Looking back on 20/20 hindsight, maybe NATO should have stopped at the Germany/Poland bolder.
Something just made a big BOOM! in downtown Ankara. Off to the BBC to see what's happening.
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Just a fire.
If Russia stomps the Ukraine, is it in our national interest to commit troops? Looking back on 20/20 hindsight, maybe NATO should have stopped at the Germany/Poland bolder.
To back up what others have said, Ukraine is not in our sphere of interest. Neither is much of Asia or Africa. But we will stretch this concept if its the belligerent country is manageable (see desert storm). Its Ukraine's position outside why we have put heavy economic pressure on Russia for its invasion of Ukraine. OTOH, Europe proper is in our sphere of interest due to heavy economic and cultural ties with US citizens. This delineation is clear to all...and historically all have respected it. Hence, knowledge of what's not OK has resulted in protection from evolving dictatorships and peace in the first world. Regarding fudging on this idea in Europe proper, we learned our lessen with Hitler in the sudetenland. (Full disclosure: I have significant business interests in Riga).
This is why Trump is going to lose by more than people are currently predicting. Those old school country club neo-cons aren't going to vote for him. Frankly one this one point the Sanders crowd is sorta correct. Hillary is in some respects closer to the ancient Reaganite foreign policy crowd than Trump is (mind you, I don't think Ronbo would have launched the 2nd Iraq War either). People who actually value sanity in the WH aren't voting for Trump (or Johnson for policy reasons). Now there aren't a ton of this crowd left, and they aren't going to swing the election one way or the other, but it fits into the way this race is playing out. Trump appeals to non-educated older white males and little else.
Among NATO nations, Poland is not in the traditional Western European-US sphere (they and US Catholics think they are but nobody else does)...
Those old school country club neo-cons aren't going to vote for him
dunno. anyone who as read a history book (oh ok, sure. anyone over the age of 32 then) still carries big polish guilt. we like them and will go to the mat for them this time if needed. period.
Nah, that's a very brief moment of historical sentiment. They're like Greece and Armenia -- they're an anomaly that doesn't really fit anywhere. Ideally all the blocs would respect their neutrality and guard them from the others. But Poland doesn't have great luck with being guarded by committee.
and it's not brief. it carried through to lech and the shipyards and solidarity. all the way to Saint JP2.
300 yrs from now when we are in the foreign policy thread you can group poland in with armenia historical
but not yet..