Re: Union College Dutchwomen 2013-2014
It's always dangerous to try to assess a team's true talent level based off of its best performance. The temptation is to view it as a potential level that can always be reached and that any deviations from it are errors, coaching deficiencies, or just bad days. The reality is that it doesn't work like that. No team can play at its best all the time and weaker teams tend to have higher variance in their performances (which is a result of the fact that even the worst Division 1 team is still far out on the right hand side of the overall talent distribution). This mistake causes fewer problems for a college team that isn't making roster decisions based upon how close to winning a championship the way that pro teams do but it can still lead to disappointment for fans.
That said, it certainly seems that Union is better than they were last year. It's just that they aren't really as close to Clarkson as one game might make it seem. Shoot for a playoff spot next year.
The Clarkson game puts a great cap on the season; this game was the season.The talent is there. The heart is there. Nothing I've seen has convinced me that the the problem is something other than the coaching.
It's always dangerous to try to assess a team's true talent level based off of its best performance. The temptation is to view it as a potential level that can always be reached and that any deviations from it are errors, coaching deficiencies, or just bad days. The reality is that it doesn't work like that. No team can play at its best all the time and weaker teams tend to have higher variance in their performances (which is a result of the fact that even the worst Division 1 team is still far out on the right hand side of the overall talent distribution). This mistake causes fewer problems for a college team that isn't making roster decisions based upon how close to winning a championship the way that pro teams do but it can still lead to disappointment for fans.
That said, it certainly seems that Union is better than they were last year. It's just that they aren't really as close to Clarkson as one game might make it seem. Shoot for a playoff spot next year.