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UMass Lowell 2015-2016 Season Thread II

Patman said:
then maybe our case is stronger than I'm willing to admit. Why the weird amount of MC sims?

oh, I see, its still running.

edit: are there leagues that still run 3rd place games? That'd be my only real constructive quibble... ties. I can't imagine a substantive impact... at least not this weekend.

edit: margin of error at roughly 16K calculations (still running)... 0.7%
Click to expand...

The NCHC has a 3rd place game.
 
Re: UMass Lowell 2015-2016 Season Thread II

Patman said:
then maybe our case is stronger than I'm willing to admit. Why the weird amount of MC sims?

oh, I see, its still running.

edit: are there leagues that still run 3rd place games? That'd be my only real constructive quibble... ties. I can't imagine a substantive impact... at least not this weekend.

edit: margin of error at roughly 16K calculations (still running)... 0.7%
Click to expand...

20,000 calculations done - still at 99%. I think our case is stronger than you thought. There's a huge gap in RPI between Lowell and Minnesota-Duluth. Even getting swept by BU (who is ahead of Lowell), won't hurt the RPI enough to drop them that much. At this point, unless you get a lot of upsets, and Cinderellas win 3 or 4 of the conference tournaments (i.e. the cut line jumps to 13 or 12), Lowell appears to be safely above the line.

Just keep winning and it won't matter what happens elsewhere.
 
Re: UMass Lowell 2015-2016 Season Thread II

ScottK said:
20,000 calculations done - still at 99%. I think our case is stronger than you thought. There's a huge gap in RPI between Lowell and Minnesota-Duluth. Even getting swept by BU (who is ahead of Lowell), won't hurt the RPI enough to drop them that much. At this point, unless you get a lot of upsets, and Cinderellas win 3 or 4 of the conference tournaments (i.e. the cut line jumps to 13 or 12), Lowell appears to be safely above the line.

Just keep winning and it won't matter what happens elsewhere.
Click to expand...

It's the 20,001 calculation that worries me. :D
 
ScottK said:
20,000 calculations done - still at 99%. I think our case is stronger than you thought. There's a huge gap in RPI between Lowell and Minnesota-Duluth. Even getting swept by BU (who is ahead of Lowell), won't hurt the RPI enough to drop them that much. At this point, unless you get a lot of upsets, and Cinderellas win 3 or 4 of the conference tournaments (i.e. the cut line jumps to 13 or 12), Lowell appears to be safely above the line.

Just keep winning and it won't matter what happens elsewhere.
Click to expand...

Yeah... The RPI gap is the big thing... What I usually do is assume the SOS criteria is fixed and see what two losses do to our winning pctg and the RPI,
 
Re: UMass Lowell 2015-2016 Season Thread II

In addition to the ticket deals floating around, UML is also keeping all residence halls and food services running throughout spring break. That's something you never saw prior to Meehan/Maloney becoming chancellor, always locked up tight by Friday night of break. Great way for students to still be around for this weekend's games, head home, and then come back for the Garden.
 
Re: UMass Lowell 2015-2016 Season Thread II

riverchief1 said:
In addition to the ticket deals floating around, UML is also keeping all residence halls and food services running throughout spring break. That's something you never saw prior to Meehan/Maloney becoming chancellor, always locked up tight by Friday night of break. Great way for students to still be around for this weekend's games, head home, and then come back for the Garden.
Click to expand...
One of the huge things I have loved to see.
 
Re: UMass Lowell 2015-2016 Season Thread II

riverchief1 said:
In addition to the ticket deals floating around, UML is also keeping all residence halls and food services running throughout spring break. That's something you never saw prior to Meehan/Maloney becoming chancellor, always locked up tight by Friday night of break. Great way for students to still be around for this weekend's games, head home, and then come back for the Garden.
Click to expand...

I think you'll see that pay off mainly on Friday, but by Saturday, most of the students are gone to Florida or Mexico.

Any word on how ticket sales are going?
 
Re: UMass Lowell 2015-2016 Season Thread II

bottomdweller said:
I think you'll see that pay off mainly on Friday, but by Saturday, most of the students are gone to Florida or Mexico.

Any word on how ticket sales are going?
Click to expand...

No word on sales yet. In terms of the students, I've actually been quite impressed the last few years that even though they've been on break, many still show up for the quarterfinals and the semis at the Garden. No comparison to years past when few students could be found. Totally due to the culture that's been created on campus and in the community surrounding the program that wasn't present prior to Meehan coming on board. Thus the two attempts to kill the hockey program and what seems like just a distant bad nightmare nowadays.
 
Re: UMass Lowell 2015-2016 Season Thread II

riverchief1 said:
No word on sales yet. In terms of the students, I've actually been quite impressed the last few years that even though they've been on break, many still show up for the quarterfinals and the semis at the Garden. No comparison to years past when few students could be found. Totally due to the culture that's been created on campus and in the community surrounding the program that wasn't present prior to Meehan coming on board. Thus the two attempts to kill the hockey program and what seems like just a distant bad nightmare nowadays.
Click to expand...
I called today to inquire. The UML peeps need to really hype this series for the good guys; too many seats left for my liking :(
 
Re: UMass Lowell 2015-2016 Season Thread II

XC, Track and Field have a pair of brothers. This is really cool. The little guy with hockey is a doll.
 
Re: UMass Lowell 2015-2016 Season Thread II

A couple of Michigan Tech fans wrote their own Pairwise Predictor, so you don't have to wait until Monday to use the ones from CHN or USCHO: http://pairwise.techhockeyguide.com/

I already got us up as high as 8th in one scenario. Anyone find a better one?
 
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