IF MN can take at least 3 pts this weekend, I don't think they will need 8 wins of their last 12 games to secure home ice. My feeling is that with that leg up on UAA, they will only need to go 5-5 over those last 10 games for a 6th place finish.
SCSU is playing a hell of a lot better than how they started the year, but they are going to have a hard time gaining ground on anyone ahead of them given how brutal their remaining schedule is.
I've been saying since December, and my opinion hasn't changed, that CC is going to struggle down the stretch here.
Now if UAA gains ground on MN this weekend (as you alluded to), all bets are off. And really, squeaking into 6th place is an unsuccessful and unacceptable finish to the season for MN. As I previously stated, I think going 8-3-1 or 9-3 and finishing 5th has to be the difficult but attainable goal for the Gophers. But that means that this is a must-3pt (and nearly a must-sweep) weekend for MN. And I'll say it again, that's going to be a very tough task.
So I guess what I'm saying is, I agree. This is a huge weekend for both clubs. I doubt the fans at Mariucci will realize just how important this series is, and how much of a battle it should be. And I hope that lack of energy and buzz doesn't rub off on the Gophers.