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RPI 2013/14 Part III: Maximum Overdrivel

Re: RPI 2013/14 Part III: Maximum Overdrivel

engineerhockeyfan said:
ECAC still gets no respect.
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Just seems odd to me that we play all of the top 6 rated teams-a total of 8 times-and the SOS is calculated as 32nd in the country. I am sure there is an explanation-there always is-but we also played #15, #17, #21 and #22 twice which makes 13 games against teams ranked well above us. ( I know-we also played Sacred Heart/Princeton/Dartmouth) But the majority of our games-whether we won or lost-were not against the bottom 10(only 4 games). I must be missing something-or this system for calculating SOS needs some tweaking.
 
Re: RPI 2013/14 Part III: Maximum Overdrivel

Hey that was a big one last night. I don't see any ECAC team that knocks my socks off (parity). I think Scotty's got his confidence back. I have seen more of commitment to blocking shots, finishing checks, etc. Nice to see Mark Miller score, he plays hard every shift. Go Red!!!!!!!
 
Re: RPI 2013/14 Part III: Maximum Overdrivel

AspyDad said:
Hey that was a big one last night. I don't see any ECAC team that knocks my socks off (parity). I think Scotty's got his confidence back. I have seen more of commitment to blocking shots, finishing checks, etc. Nice to see Mark Miller score, he plays hard every shift. Go Red!!!!!!!
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SLU offense was very impressive. They had us running around in the offensive zone all night.
It was a big win because we came from behind in the third period, not an easy thing to do against anyone.
Still need a lot of improvement if we are to make a run in the playoffs.
 
Re: RPI 2013/14 Part III: Maximum Overdrivel

Nice find ralph-of course i disagree with some of the comments about venues i have attended-but all in all-a lot of fun to read
 
Re: RPI 2013/14 Part III: Maximum Overdrivel

DrDemento said:
Nice find ralph-of course i disagree with some of the comments about venues i have attended-but all in all-a lot of fun to read
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I stumble across all sorts of stuff while waiting for recruits' games. :)

I am now wondering about which places you have been to that you disagree with them. Although the review of the HFH does not entirely agree with mine and there are minor errors (like the location of the visiting team's fans), it is clear that they have actually been there and around the arena.
 
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Re: RPI 2013/14 Part III: Maximum Overdrivel

AspyDad said:
Luv the game of the two guys you cite but JL is an assist machine, makes other players better!!!!!
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While he has had some terrific games, JL has been inconsistent and has yet to emerge as the scorer so many touted him as being while the RPI faithful waited three years for his arrival. That may be due to the numerous shoulder and hand injuries he has had.
Having said that, he has been a nice addition and will be missed if he is out for an extended period of time. Though the players ready to step in for him are competent, I don't believe they will not be able to spark the offense the way JL can when he is playing well.
 
Re: RPI 2013/14 Part III: Maximum Overdrivel

Jasma said:
While he has had some terrific games, JL has been inconsistent and has yet to emerge as the scorer so many touted him as being while the RPI faithful waited three years for his arrival. That may be due to the numerous shoulder and hand injuries he has had.
Having said that, he has been a nice addition and will be missed if he is out for an extended period of time. Though the players ready to step in for him are competent, I don't believe they will not be able to spark the offense the way JL can when he is playing well.
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I don't know if he was asked to be the set up guy or not, but he has passed up more shots than any other player on this team. For a guy who came in with his statistics, he should be scoring more.
I know that he has been a big assist man, but he is still a disappointment to me.
That said, he does make this team better and I hope for a quick return.
 
Re: RPI 2013/14 Part III: Maximum Overdrivel

engineerhockeyfan said:
I don't know if he was asked to be the set up guy or not, but he has passed up more shots than any other player on this team. For a guy who came in with his statistics, he should be scoring more.
I know that he has been a big assist man, but he is still a disappointment to me.
That said, he does make this team better and I hope for a quick return.
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Reason is because the plays are designed to set up one particular person (who shoots over the net most of the time), and everyone knows it. This is why we have the pass-pass-turnover power play. I don't know if it's a confidence issue, if the defending forwards are good at closing down lanes (which happens), or what, but we need to take more opportunities. Worst that could happen is a faceoff in the offensive zone, especially if the forwards are only looking to block the one guy.
 
Re: RPI 2013/14 Part III: Maximum Overdrivel

Ralph Baer said:
I stumble across all sorts of stuff while waiting for recruits' games. :)

I am now wondering about which places you have been to that you disagree with them. Although the review of the HFH does not entirely agree with mine and there are minor errors (like the location of the visiting team's fans), it is clear that they have actually been there and around the arena.
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I completely disagree with the review of Messa and somewhat with the review of Bake rink. The others I looked at were pro venues-MSG of course, the Devils, Islanders, Flyers, Montreal and Boston. In each case there was stuff i agreed with but plenty that i just did not. I thought the HFH review was pretty fair-and also fairly positive.
 
Re: RPI 2013/14 Part III: Maximum Overdrivel

turk181 said:
When was the last time you were at HFH Doc?.....for hockey.
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After our 26 year streak ended in 2001 we have only been up twice and not since 2006-2007. We are hoping to change that for next season. If RPI gets to LP this year-we might be there with them. Our Adirondack home is only 45 minutes from the rink and we are expecting to be up at the house around that time.
 
Re: RPI 2013/14 Part III: Maximum Overdrivel

engineerhockeyfan said:
I don't know if he was asked to be the set up guy or not, but he has passed up more shots than any other player on this team. For a guy who came in with his statistics, he should be scoring more.
I know that he has been a big assist man, but he is still a disappointment to me.
That said, he does make this team better and I hope for a quick return.
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JL's game is exactly that-passing up shots to give others a better chance. if he is out for any length of time we will suffer-faceoffs are crucial and he is quite good when it counts. His forte has been to open up the ice-and lord knows we need that some nights, especially in the clutch and grab ECAC games. Often times a players stats belie the true value and effectiveness. A lot depends on what line you are put on and what lines you are asked to skate against. I still like the pairing of JL and Haggerty a lot but have not gotten to see it much lately.
 
Re: RPI 2013/14 Part III: Maximum Overdrivel

DrDemento said:
JL's game is exactly that-passing up shots to give others a better chance. if he is out for any length of time we will suffer-faceoffs are crucial and he is quite good when it counts. His forte has been to open up the ice-and lord knows we need that some nights, especially in the clutch and grab ECAC games. Often times a players stats belie the true value and effectiveness. A lot depends on what line you are put on and what lines you are asked to skate against. I still like the pairing of JL and Haggerty a lot but have not gotten to see it much lately.
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I dont disagree Doc - JL is clearly in a setup role - but often times his shot is the best shot. You never see the top teams (shall remain nameless) passing up half the shots JL does... you can be selfless to a fault and I think JL is guilty of it a bit. I'm not knocking him at all, just wish he'd shoot more. As the Great One (speaking of knowing a thing or two about assists) said " You miss 100% of the shots you don't take." I sure do hope JL is back soon.
 
Re: RPI 2013/14 Part III: Maximum Overdrivel

Ok. So Jim Dahl’s site got me to thinking after the St. Lawrence game about the chances for Rensselaer to get an NCAA At Large bid. They have 8 regular season games to go and at least 2 games in the first round of the ECACs. I have done some back of the envelope calculations which do not take into account the bonus points. Mind you this is not a rigorous Monte Carlo simulation but rather based upon inspection of the comparisons as they now stand, keeping all other teams constant except for Rensselaer and their next 8 known opponents. As an aside it should be noted that after the first Beanpot game today, the PWR and RPI have a correlation of 0.9994 so it can be assumed with some accuracy that RPI comparisons are going to determine the PWR between two teams unless one has swept head-to-head. At this writing Rensselaer is 27th in the PWR with 32 won comparisons and has an RPI of just over .51; an examination of the PWR rankings shows that to have a reasonable chance at an At Large, one probably needs to achieve an RPI of .54 or better.
Here are the expected results given the following records for the remaining regular season games:
• 8-0-0, 46 PWRs, #13 Rank, RPI about .540
• 7-0-1, 45 PWRs, #14 Rank, RPI about .536
• 7-1-0, 42 to 43 PWRs, #16-#17 Rank, RPI about .532
• 6-1-1, 40 PWRs, #19 Rank, RPI about .528
Given the AHA autobid and assuming only one other tournament upset, it seems Rensselaer would need to go at least 7-0-1 to be inside the bubble at the end of the regular season. To not lose position going forward, Rensselaer would need to post at least a positive playoff slate. What is clear is that a first round playoff loss would mean certain elimination even with an 8-0-0 finish as they would most likely fall to #16 or worse. Finishing 3-2 with a second round playoff loss is the minimum needed, but only if they go at least 7-0-1 down the stretch.
One loss or two ties to the end of the season would require getting to Lake Placid. One loss and one tie in the remaining regular season would probably require getting to the ECAC Championship game (11-3-1 as a minimum). That’s the way I see it (would really like to see R. Hamilton, J. Dahl or any of the other computer wizards produce something more definitive).
. . . . Or preferably Rensselaer could win in Lake Placid and wait comfortably for the selection show for their next playing site and opponent.
 
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