RPI 2011-12 season

[burgie12]

Re: RPI 2011-12 season

With RPI splitting the season series with Colgate, the Engineers having two ties and Colgate only having one, a pair of Colgate wins (over Brown and Yale) pretty much guarantees them the tiebreaker over RPI.

If Colgate and Brown tie, then the RPI / Colgate tiebreaker would go down to Top 4 / Top 8 points. Since we're assuming that neither team would grab points against Harvard, Dartmouth, or Clarkson, it would go down to points against a Top 8 team. RPI should grab 8th place assuming they steal points from Princeton or Quinnipiac.

RPI can't win any three-way tie between the three teams.

 

[burgie12]

Re: RPI 2011-12 season

Cornell 32 - 40 [1-3]
--- Home Lock - 32+
Harvard 27 - 35 [1-6]
Clarkson 26 - 34 [1-7]
Dartmout 24 - 32 [2-7]
St. Lawrence 24 - 32 [2-7]
Quinnipiac 22 - 30 [2-7]
--- In - 20+
Princeton 18 - 26 [4-10]
--- Home Eligible - 24+
Brown 12 - 20 [7-11]
Rensselaer 12 - 20 [7-11]
Colgate 11 - 19 [7-11]
Union 6 - 14 [8-12]
--- Out - 13
Yale 2 - 10 [11-12]

Dartmouth holds 4th place due to their 2-3-1 record against Cornell, Harvard, and Clarkson (Top 4 teams). SLU's record is 1-3-1. So, a win against Cornell in the season finale can earn them a split in this regard (as long as Quinnipiac doesn't become a Top 4 team). Then, it would go down to Points vs Top 8. That's still highly in flux.

As we all know, Brown beat RPI in Troy and holds the tiebreaker there.

Remaining League Schedules:

---------------------------------------------
|              |    |F2/10|S2/11|F2/17|S2/18|
---------------------------------------------
| Cornell      | CR | @BN | @YA |  CK |  SL |
| Harvard      | HA | @RP | @UN |  BN |  YA |
| Clarkson     | CK | @PN | @QN | @CR | @CG |
| Dartmouth    | DA | @UN | @RP |  YA |  BN |
| St. Lawrence | SL | @QN | @PN | @CG | @CR |
| Quinnipiac   | QN |  SL |  CK |  UN |  RP |
| Princeton    | PN |  CK |  SL |  RP |  UN |
| Brown        | BN |  CR |  CG | @HA | @DA |
| Rensselaer   | RP |  HA |  DA | @PN | @QN |
| Colgate      | CG | @YA | @BN |  SL |  CK |
| Union        | UC |  DA |  HA | @QN | @PN |
| Yale         | YA |  CG |  CR | @DA | @HA |
---------------------------------------------

Cornell doesn't lose a tiebreaker to either Dartmouth or SLU (or a 3-way tiebreaker). If they drop into a tie with either team, they would split with both teams and they have not tied yet, so they would win any possible tiebreak.

Clarkson can fall into a tie with Princeton, which would come down to the Points vs Top 4 tiebreak criteria. If Quinnipiac stays out of the Top 4, then the Tigers can pass the Knights and push Tech down to 7th place.

Dartmouth, SLU, and Quinnipiac can all fall into 7th place by themselves, but they are all guaranteed a place in the postseason.

Princeton's ceiling is 4th place. The Tigers can get themselves into a tie with Clarkson, but they can't pass them and they would lose the resulting tiebreaker on Points vs Top 8. In fact, the loss against Union (a bottom-four team) actually makes all the difference right now.

Brown got swept by the Tigers, so they can't win a tiebreaker against Princeton. But, Colgate can win it against Princeton on Points vs Top 4 if SLU creeps into a home-ice position.

Brown can no longer make the playoffs without taking another point. There is a minimum of 13 points to get the honor of playing the Big Red.

 

[lugnut92]

Re: RPI 2011-12 season

Very unfortunate loss yesterday. Here are the updated "expected standings":

1. Cornell (39)
2. Harvard (34)
3. Dartmouth (31)
4. Clarkson (31)
-----
5. St. Lawrence (29)
6. Quinnipiac (27)
7. Princeton (23)
8. Colgate (14)
-----
9. Brown (14)
10. RPI (13)
11. Union (7)
12. Yale (2)

RPI is back out of the playoffs, and assuming Colgate beats Yale next week, we'll need at least two upsets in the next two games, and our best chance of winning is 23% against Princeton. Not looking good for us at all.

 

[OnMAA]

Re: RPI 2011-12 season

Very unfortunate loss yesterday. Here are the updated "expected standings":

8. Colgate (14)
-----
9. Brown (14)
10. RPI (13)
11. Union (7)
12. Yale (2)

RPI is back out of the playoffs, and assuming Colgate beats Yale next week, we'll need at least two upsets in the next two games, and our best chance of winning is 23% against Princeton. Not looking good for us at all.

Colgate dropped a point vs Yale last night making thing more interesting. Right now there is a three way tie between Brown, Colgate and RPI, with Brown winning the Tiebreaker.

Colgate dropping a point vs Yale is less catastropic for them as it may seem, because everthing hinges on today's game between Brown and Colgate.

-If Colgate wins today, they are two points clear of Brown and RPI, less of a cushion than the three points it could have been, but most likely enough to get them the 8th place berth.

-If Brown wins, they will be two points clear of Colgate, one more than it would have been, but Brown would most likely get the birth anyways in this case, as they would hold all tiebreakers.

-If Brown and Colgate tie, Colgate will hold the all the cards, as they would win the tiebreaker over Brown with most wins. The only caveat would be that there are no margins left. Any point picked up by Brown in the last weekend could give them the final spot.

Long story short, RPI needs at least two, but most likely three more points to have a realistic chance of making it. At this point 16 is the magic number. 14 might be enough, but where it is tough for RPI is the tiebreakers. From what I can tell they lose all of them.

 

[burgie12]

Re: RPI 2011-12 season

Cornell 34 - 40 [1-3]
--- Home Lock - 32+
Harvard 29 - 35 [1-5]
Clarkson 28 - 34 [1-5]
Dartmouth 26 - 32 [2-6]
St. Lawrence 26 - 32 [2-6]
Quinnipiac 22 - 28 [4-7]
--- Home Eligible - 26+
--- In - 18+
Princeton 18 - 24 [6-9]
Brown 12 - 18 [8-10]
Colgate 12 - 18 [7-10]
Rensselaer 12 - 18 [7-10]
--- Out - 13
Union 6 - 12 [11-12]
Yale 3 - 9 [11-12]

Dartmouth holds 4th place due to their 2-3-1 record against Cornell, Harvard, and Clarkson (Top 4 teams). SLU's record is 1-3-1. So, a win against Cornell in the season finale can earn them a split in this regard (as long as Quinnipiac doesn't become a Top 4 team). Then, it would go down to Points vs Top 8. That's still highly in flux.

The Brown / Colgate / RPI tiebreaker is currently held by Brown (4 / 6 points vs 3 / 6 points (Colgate) vs 3 / 8 points (RPI)), giving them the final home-ice spot. Today's game between the Bears and Raiders will determine that tiebreaker. The winner of the game will hold the tiebreaker between the two (and in a three-way tie involving the Engineers). A tie will solidify Brown's hold on a three-way tie and will give Colgate the head-to-head win over Brown (based on wins). Colgate currently wins the head-to-head tiebreaker against RPI based on Points vs Top 8 teams (3 / 26 points vs 2 / 26).

Remaining League Schedules:

---------------------------------------
|              |    |S2/11|F2/17|S2/18|
---------------------------------------
| Cornell      | CR | @YA |  CK |  SL |
| Harvard      | HA | @UN |  BN |  YA |
| Clarkson     | CK | @QN | @CR | @CG |
| Dartmouth    | DA | @RP |  YA |  BN |
| St. Lawrence | SL | @PN | @CG | @CR |
| Quinnipiac   | QN |  CK |  UN |  RP |
| Princeton    | PN |  SL |  RP |  UN |
| Brown        | BN |  CG | @HA | @DA |
| Colgate      | CG | @BN |  SL |  CK |
| Rensselaer   | RP |  DA | @PN | @QN |
| Union        | UC |  HA | @QN | @PN |
| Yale         | YA |  CR | @DA | @HA |
---------------------------------------

Cornell can still drop to 3rd place (they can lose the tiebreaker to Clarkson since the Lady Knights already beat the Big Red and will play each other next Friday.

Harvard can drop to 5th (but they have the easiest remaining schedule of any team and it is unlikely they will be dropping points).

Clarkson cannot drop below 5th place. The Knights could drop to a tie with Quinnipiac and would split the season series (with a loss today) and be even on ties. But, Clarkson enters with a 2-3-2 record (1 more game to play) against the teams that would make up the Top 4 while Quinnipiac has a 1-8-1 record (0 more games to play) against the Top 4. So, Clarkson cannot fall to 6th place.

Dartmouth and SLU can't drop below Princeton and clinch at least 6th place.

Quinnipiac can still drop to 7th but can no longer catch Harvard or Clarkson and so their ceiling drops to 4th.

Princeton can drop all the way to 9th if RPI and Colgate both win out and the Top 4 is made up of Cornell, Harvard, Clarkson, and SLU. Conversely, they can only pull themselves past Quinnipiac.

Brown can catch, but cannot pass Princeton. They also cannot win any three-way tiebreaker involving the Tigers. So, Brown can't finish any higher than 8th.

Colgate and RPI can both win a tiebreaker with Princeton, meaning they can (technically) finish in 7th.

Union cannot win any tiebreaker against Brown, Colgate, nor RPI, so they are destined to finish in the bottom two.

Tiebreakers of Interest: (winning teams listed first)
Colgate / Brown (variable) - A win by either team today guarantees them the tiebreaker win. A tie means a series split and reduces the tiebreaker to ECAC wins. If Colgate ties out (home vs SLU, Clarkson; definitely a serious task) and Brown wins one of their remaining two games (@Harvard, Dartmouth; even more of a serious task), then it would go down to Points vs Top 4 teams. Then, it would depend on which teams make up the Top 4. Presumably, Harvard and Dartmouth would both beat Yale and Harvard will beat Union today. That guarantees the Crimson a spot in the Top 4 and means that a Brown win over Harvard would be huge (both Clarkson and SLU would have to stay in the Top 4 just to give Colgate a chance in this tiebreaker). If, instead, it's a Brown win over Dartmouth, if Dartmouth can get themselves into the Top 4, then it's a guaranteed Brown win (because Cornell and Harvard would be cemented in the Top 4), but if Dartmouth is stuck in 5th (or worse), then Colgate wins. Back to the Cornell / Harvard / Clarkson / SLU scenario. The tiebreaker would go down to points vs Top 8. If this is a tie for 8th place (aka RPI doesn't sneak past both teams), then Colgate wins (4 / 28 points vs 3 / 28). If it's a tie for 9th place, then points vs Top 8 is also a split (6 / 32 points). The tiebreaker then continues to H2H goal differential (obviously a split with a pair of ties), then goal differential vs Top 4. Colgate, with their hypothetical pair of ties against Clarkson and SLU keep their goal differential at -22. Brown would have to beat Harvard by 5 goals in order to bring themselves up to a -22 goal differential. That's a really long-winded way of saying that if things go in exactly the right way, then this can be a mess. But, really, it's going to be decided this afternoon. If it isn't (for some bizarre reason), then Colgate is most likely to win this based on wins. If they can't pull that off (by tying their three remaining games), then they need both SLU and Clarkson to stay a Top 4 team. If that happens, then they'll win the tiebreaker (unless something even more bizarre happens). If Dartmouth can slide into the Top 4, then Brown wins.

Colgate / RPI (variable) - If this is a tie for 8th place, then RPI wins. If it's a tie for 9th, then Colgate wins. Alright, it's not that cut and dry. If this is a tie for 8th place that resulted from Colgate beating Brown and then losing out and RPI grabs exactly one win, then RPI wins on points vs Top 4 / Top 8. But, if RPI grabs a couple of ties instead of a win, then Colgate wins on ECAC wins. If Colgate can pull an upset next weekend AND that team stays in the Top 4 (which would be very difficult with such a cluster around 3rd place) AND RPI doesn't beat Dartmouth (or they do beat Dartmouth but Dartmouth drops out of the Top 4), then Colgate wins on Points vs Top 4. If Colgate can pull an upset next weekend AND that team doesn't stay in the Top 4, then RPI wins on Points vs Top 4 / Top 8. If it's a tie for 9th, then it depends on the makeup of the Top 4, but it is very likely that Colgate will win this tiebreaker.

Brown / RPI - season series 3 v 1

Brown / Colgate / RPI (slightly variable) - A win or tie today for Brown gives them the win (5 points v 4 v 3 or 6 v 3 v 3) and then Colgate and RPI would be duking it out for 9th. More than likely, Colgate wins that tiebreaker. A Colgate win would give the Raiders the win (5 points v 4 v 3) and Brown wins the H2H tiebreaker against the Engineers.

I'll be able to provide a more accurate answer on the tiebreaker possibilities after today's games.

 

[OnMAA]

Re: RPI 2011-12 season

This is going down to the wire

Engineers are leading Dartmouth 3-2 after two.
Same score in Providence, Bears 3-2 over Raiders after two.

 

[GRussinko]

Re: RPI 2011-12 season

This is going down to the wire

Engineers are leading Dartmouth 3-2 after two.
Same score in Providence, Bears 3-2 over Raiders after two.

I have no idea where these Engineers have been all season but the latter half of the second period was absolutely dominant.

 

[OnMAA]

Re: RPI 2011-12 season

This is going down to the wire

Engineers are leading Dartmouth 3-2 after two.
Same score in Providence, Bears 3-2 over Raiders after two.

Brown wins 3-2 in a nailbiter.

 

[hab]

Re: RPI 2011-12 season

I have no idea where these Engineers have been all season but the latter half of the second period was absolutely dominant.

I really like the way that this team has developed since the Christmas break (conf record in first half was 1-5-2, and since break 5-7 and they have been competitive in their losses). Quite a contrast from last season where they had a terrible second half and backed into the final playoff spot. They still have to pick up at least one point next weekend but I think they will be up for it.

 

[rpi82]

Brown wins 3-2 in a nailbiter.

Great win over a very good opponent. It's been a long season, but it looks like the women are determined to play hard to the end. I usually go to the Q game but I will be in Troy next Saturday. I hope the ladies make me regret not being there when they upset a strong Bobcat team next weekend to make the playoffs. Let's go Red!!!

Side question: did Daniels and Jakubowski participate in Senior Day? Will they be returning next season?

 

[Ralph Baer]

Re: RPI 2011-12 season

Great win over a very good opponent. It's been a long season, but it looks like the women are determined to play hard to the end. I usually go to the Q game but I will be in Troy next Saturday. I hope the ladies make me regret not being there when they upset a strong Bobcat team next weekend to make the playoffs. Let's go Red!!!

Side question: did Daniels and Jakubowski participate in Senior Day? Will they be returning next season?

There was an article stating that Jakuboski will be returning. I don't know about Daniels.

 

[Hockeydad4two]

Re: RPI 2011-12 season

Daniels will be back.

 

[lugnut92]

Re: RPI 2011-12 season

New "Expected Standings":
1. Cornell (39)
2. Harvard (35)
3. Clarkson (32)
4. St. Lawrence (30)
-----
5. Dartmouth (30)
6. Quinnipiac (25)
7. Princeton (21)
8. RPI (15)
-----
9. Brown (15)
10. Colgate (12)
11. Union (6)
12. Yale (3)

So again we're leading Brown by a fraction of a point. Basically, this just means that we'll have a slightly better chance of getting a point next weekend than the Bears do. So hopefully we're able to pull out a win (or two) next weekend and Brown is kept pointless by Harvard-Dartmouth.

 

[Skate79]

New "Expected Standings":
1. Cornell (39)
2. Harvard (35)
3. Clarkson (32)
4. St. Lawrence (30)
-----
5. Dartmouth (30)
6. Quinnipiac (25)
7. Princeton (21)
8. RPI (15)
-----
9. Brown (15)
10. Colgate (12)
11. Union (6)
12. Yale (3)

So again we're leading Brown by a fraction of a point. Basically, this just means that we'll have a slightly better chance of getting a point next weekend than the Bears do. So hopefully we're able to pull out a win (or two) next weekend and Brown is kept pointless by Harvard-Dartmouth.

We'll do our part. I'm sure Dartmouth will be motivated to win to try and overtake SLU for home ice. Cornell is likely pulling for Brown to make it as it would make for an easier quarterfinal series.

 

[pakidnyc]

We'll do our part. I'm sure Dartmouth will be motivated to win to try and overtake SLU for home ice. Cornell is likely pulling for Brown to make it as it would make for an easier quarterfinal series.

So, if Darty gets all 4 pts (wins over Brown and Yale) and St Lawrence gets 2 pts (win over Colgate), they'll be tied in pts. Who owns the tie-breaker (and why?) as they split the series?

Cornell will receive the regular season trophy next weekend and it will be Sr. Weekend!

 

[Skate79]

Re: RPI 2011-12 season

So, if Darty gets all 4 pts (wins over Brown and Yale) and St Lawrence gets 2 pts (win over Colgate), they'll be tied in pts. Who owns the tie-breaker (and why?) as they split the series?

Cornell will receive the regular season trophy next weekend and it will be Sr. Weekend!

I believe the tiebreaker involves records against the top three teams in the conference (Cornell, Harvard and Clarkson). Harvard swept SLU this year and split with Dartmouth. SLU swept Clarkson and lost to Cornell. Dartmouth split with Cornell and lost their season series to Clarkson (although one game ended in a tie). SLU plays Cornell this weekend and needs a win to capture home ice assuming they beat Colgate. Dartmouth needs to sweep this weekend and hope SLU loses to Cornell to capture home ice.

Not sure if this explains it or if I have the correct interpretation of the tiebreaker but it's my best guess at this point.

 

[burgie12]

Re: RPI 2011-12 season

I believe the tiebreaker involves records against the top three teams in the conference (Cornell, Harvard and Clarkson). Harvard swept SLU this year and split with Dartmouth. SLU swept Clarkson and lost to Cornell. Dartmouth split with Cornell and lost their season series to Clarkson (although one game ended in a tie). SLU plays Cornell this weekend and needs a win to capture home ice assuming they beat Colgate. Dartmouth needs to sweep this weekend and hope SLU loses to Cornell to capture home ice.

Not sure if this explains it or if I have the correct interpretation of the tiebreaker but it's my best guess at this point.

You are correct. SLU beating Colgate and losing to Cornell coupled with a Dartmouth sweep lands the Big Green in 4th and hosting the playoff series next weekend.

SLU only needs one point against Cornell (assuming they beat Colgate) to take home-ice.

If, instead, SLU beats Cornell and loses to Colgate, then Points vs Top 4 would be a split with both teams having a 2-3-1 record against Cornell, Harvard, and Clarkson.

If Colgate can follow up their win against SLU with enough points against Clarkson to finish in 8th, then Dartmouth will win the Points vs Top 8 tiebreaker. Otherwise, it's a guaranteed win for the Saints.


In other tiebreakers...
Brown has clinched both the head-to-head against Colgate and the three-way Brown / Colgate / RPI tie.

A Princeton / Brown / RPI tie would go in that exact order (5 points v 4 (RPI) v 3 (Brown)) with Brown winning the head-to-head match-up with RPI.

A Colgate / RPI tie will only break in the Engineers' favor in one of two ways. 1) Colgate ties Clarkson, ties SLU, and RPI earns no points. RPI wins on ECAC wins. (This would be a tie for 9th.) Or, 2) Colgate ties Clarkson, RPI earns one less point against Princeton / Quinnipiac than Colgate earns against SLU, and Dartmouth ends up in the Top 4. RPI wins on Points vs Top 4. If neither of those happen, then, since the Raiders lost a point to Yale, RPI will have earned one less point in games against Top 8 teams. If Dartmouth doesn't end up in the Top 4 then Colgate wins the Points vs Top 4 battle. If Colgate beats Clarkson, then it'll be a draw in Points vs Top 4 (but Colgate wins Points vs Top 8, as detailed before).



Cornell 36 - 40 [1-1]
Harvard 31 - 35 [2-4]
Clarkson 30 - 34 [2-4]
--- Home Lock - 30+
St. Lawrence 28 - 32 [2-5]
Dartmouth 26 - 30 [4-5]
--- Home Eligible - 26+
Quinnipiac 22 - 26 [6-6]
Princeton 18 - 24 [7-8]
--- In - 18+
Brown 14 - 18 [8-10]
Rensselaer 14 - 18 [7-10]
Colgate 12 - 16 [8-10]
--- Out - 13
Union 6 - 10 [11-12]
Yale 3 - 7 [11-12]

Brown holds 8th place based on H2H record (1-0-1 vs 0-1-1).

Remaining League Schedules:

---------------------------------
|              |    |F2/17|S2/18|
---------------------------------
| Cornell      | CR |  CK |  SL |
| Harvard      | HA |  BN |  YA |
| Clarkson     | CK | @CR | @CG |
| St. Lawrence | SL | @CG | @CR |
| Dartmouth    | DA |  YA |  BN |
| Quinnipiac   | QN |  UN |  RP |
| Princeton    | PN |  RP |  UN |
| Brown        | BN | @HA | @DA |
| Rensselaer   | RP | @PN | @QN |
| Colgate      | CG |  SL |  CK |
| Union        | UC | @QN | @PN |
| Yale         | YA | @DA | @HA |
---------------------------------

Cornell officially clinches first place.

Harvard and Clarkson can be caught by St. Lawrence, but not Dartmouth (Clarkson went 1-0-1 vs Dartmouth and holds that tiebreaker if it comes into effect. SLU joining in and making it a three-way tie would not enable Dartmouth to leapfrog Clarkson.).

St. Lawrence can pass both or either of the Crimson and Knights, but can be passed by the Big Green.

Dartmouth can only pass SLU. They swept Quinnipiac and cannot drop to 6th.

Quinnipiac has pigeonholed themselves into 6th (they lose the tiebreaker to Dartmouth and would beat Princeton on a tiebreaker). They have nothing left to play for next weekend.

Princeton swept Brown and holds that tiebreaker, but would lose the tiebreaker against RPI if it came to that. A three-way Princeton / Brown / RPI tie breaks in that exact order.

Brown can tie, but cannot pass Princeton. They can be caught by Colgate.

RPI can catch and pass Princeton (but would lose a three-way tie). They can also be caught by Colgate.

Colgate can catch each of the two teams ahead of them.

Union can still be caught by Yale (technically).

 

[burgie12]

Re: RPI 2011-12 season

Cornell 36 - 40 [1-1]
Harvard 31 - 35 [2-4]
Clarkson 30 - 34 [2-4]
--- Home Lock - 30+
St. Lawrence 28 - 32 [2-5]
Dartmouth 26 - 30 [4-5]
--- Home Eligible - 26+
Quinnipiac 22 - 26 [6-6]
Princeton 18 - 24 [7-8]
--- In - 18+
Brown 14 - 18 [8-10]
Rensselaer 14 - 18 [7-10]
Colgate 12 - 16 [8-10]
--- Out - 13
Union 6 - 10 [11-12]
Yale 3 - 7 [11-12]

Brown holds 8th place based on H2H record (1-0-1 vs 0-1-1).

Remaining League Schedules:

---------------------------------
|              |    |F2/17|S2/18|
---------------------------------
| Cornell      | CR |  CK |  SL |
| Harvard      | HA |  BN |  YA |
| Clarkson     | CK | @CR | @CG |
| St. Lawrence | SL | @CG | @CR |
| Dartmouth    | DA |  YA |  BN |
| Quinnipiac   | QN |  UN |  RP |
| Princeton    | PN |  RP |  UN |
| Brown        | BN | @HA | @DA |
| Rensselaer   | RP | @PN | @QN |
| Colgate      | CG |  SL |  CK |
| Union        | UC | @QN | @PN |
| Yale         | YA | @DA | @HA |
---------------------------------

Best-case scenarios:
Cornell (1st Place)
Already clinched

Harvard (2nd Place)
1) Win out
2) Earn one win and one tie
3) Earn two points (can be by a single win or two ties) AND have Clarkson NOT win out
4) Earn one point AND have Clarkson earn two or less points
5) Get swept AND have Clarkson earn zero or one points AND have SLU NOT win out

Clarkson (2nd Place)
1) Win out AND have Harvard earn two or less points
2) Earn one win and one tie AND have Harvard earn zero or one points
3) Earn two points (can be by a single win or two ties) AND have Harvard get swept AND have SLU NOT win out

St. Lawrence (2nd Place)
1) Win out AND have Harvard get swept AND have Clarkson earn two or less points

Dartmouth (4th Place)
1) Win out AND Cornell beats SLU AND Clarkson earns at least one point
2) Win out AND SLU ties Colgate AND SLU ties Cornell AND Clarkson earns at least one point
3) Win out AND SLU beats Cornell AND Colgate beats SLU AND Colgate finishes in 8th place AND Clarkson earns at least one point
4) Win out AND have SLU earn zero or one points
5) Earn one win and one tie AND SLU earns zero or one points
6) Earn exactly one win AND SLU gets swept

Quinnipiac (6th Place)
Already clinched

Princeton (7th Place)
1) Earn any point
2) Get swept AND Have RPI NOT win out
3) Get swept AND Have RPI win out AND Brown win out

Brown (8th Place)
1) Win out
2) Earn one win and one tie AND have RPI NOT win out
3) Earn two points (can be by a single win or two ties) AND have RPI earn two or less points
4) Earn one point AND have RPI earn zero or one points AND have Colgate NOT win out
5) Earn zero points AND have RPI earn zero points AND have Colgate earn two or less points

RPI (7th Place)
1) Win out AND Princeton gets swept AND have Brown NOT win out

Colgate (8th Place)
1) Win out AND Brown earns zero or one points AND RPI earns two or less points
2) Tie Clarkson AND beat SLU AND Brown gets swept AND RPI earns exactly one point AND SLU beats Cornell
3) Tie Clarkson AND beat SLU AND Brown gets swept AND RPI earns exactly one point AND SLU earns more points against Cornell than Dartmouth does against Yale (requires the near miracle of Yale beating Dartmouth)
4) Tie Clarkson AND beat SLU AND Brown gets swept AND RPI earns zero points
5) Beat Clarkson AND tie SLU AND Brown gets swept AND RPI earns zero or one points

Union (11th Place)
1) Earn any point
2) Have Yale NOT win out

Yale (11th Place)
1) Win out AND have Union get swept

Other intriguing scenarios:
St. Lawrence (Home-ice)
1) Win out
2) Earn one win and one tie
3) Beat Colgate AND lose to Cornell AND have Dartmouth NOT win out
4) Tie both Colgate and Cornell AND have Dartmouth NOT win out
5) Beat Cornell AND lose to Colgate AND have Dartmouth NOT win out
6) Beat Cornell AND lose to Colgate AND have Colgate not finish in 8th
7) Earn exactly one point AND have Dartmouth earn two or less points
8) Get swept AND have Dartmouth tie both Yale and Brown
9) Get swept AND have Dartmouth earn zero or one points

RPI (In)
1) Win out AND have Brown NOT win out
2) Earn one win and one tie AND have Brown earn two or less points
3) Earn two points (can be by a single win or two ties) AND have Brown earn zero or one points AND have Colgate NOT win out
4) Earn exactly one point AND have Brown get swept AND Colgate ties Clarkson AND Colgate beats SLU AND SLU does not beat Cornell AND Dartmouth earns at least as many points against Yale as SLU does against Cornell
5) Earn exactly one point AND have Brown get swept AND Colgate earns two or less points

 

[lugnut92]

Re: RPI 2011-12 season

That fourth scenario for RPI getting in makes my head spin. I assume it boils down to us tying Colgate and Dartmouth staying in the top four?

 

[Ralph Baer]

Re: RPI 2011-12 season

Cornell 36 - 40 [1-1]
Harvard 31 - 35 [2-4]
Clarkson 30 - 34 [2-4]
--- Home Lock - 30+
St. Lawrence 28 - 32 [2-5]
Dartmouth 26 - 30 [4-5]
--- Home Eligible - 26+
Quinnipiac 22 - 26 [6-6]
Princeton 18 - 24 [7-8]
--- In - 18+
Brown 14 - 18 [8-10]
Rensselaer 14 - 18 [7-10]
Colgate 12 - 16 [8-10]
--- Out - 13
Union 6 - 10 [11-12]
Yale 3 - 7 [11-12]

Brown holds 8th place based on H2H record (1-0-1 vs 0-1-1).

Remaining League Schedules:

---------------------------------
|              |    |F2/17|S2/18|
---------------------------------
| Cornell      | CR |  CK |  SL |
| Harvard      | HA |  BN |  YA |
| Clarkson     | CK | @CR | @CG |
| St. Lawrence | SL | @CG | @CR |
| Dartmouth    | DA |  YA |  BN |
| Quinnipiac   | QN |  UN |  RP |
| Princeton    | PN |  RP |  UN |
| Brown        | BN | @HA | @DA |
| Rensselaer   | RP | @PN | @QN |
| Colgate      | CG |  SL |  CK |
| Union        | UC | @QN | @PN |
| Yale         | YA | @DA | @HA |
---------------------------------

Best-case scenarios:
Cornell (1st Place)
Already clinched

Harvard (2nd Place)
1) Win out
2) Earn one win and one tie
3) Earn two points (can be by a single win or two ties) AND have Clarkson NOT win out
4) Earn one point AND have Clarkson earn two or less points
5) Get swept AND have Clarkson earn zero or one points AND have SLU NOT win out

Clarkson (2nd Place)
1) Win out AND have Harvard earn two or less points
2) Earn one win and one tie AND have Harvard earn zero or one points
3) Earn two points (can be by a single win or two ties) AND have Harvard get swept AND have SLU NOT win out

St. Lawrence (2nd Place)
1) Win out AND have Harvard get swept AND have Clarkson earn two or less points

Dartmouth (4th Place)
1) Win out AND Cornell beats SLU AND Clarkson earns at least one point
2) Win out AND SLU ties Colgate AND SLU ties Cornell AND Clarkson earns at least one point
3) Win out AND SLU beats Cornell AND Colgate beats SLU AND Colgate finishes in 8th place AND Clarkson earns at least one point
4) Win out AND have SLU earn zero or one points
5) Earn one win and one tie AND SLU earns zero or one points
6) Earn exactly one win AND SLU gets swept

Quinnipiac (6th Place)
Already clinched

Princeton (7th Place)
1) Earn any point
2) Get swept AND Have RPI NOT win out
3) Get swept AND Have RPI win out AND Brown win out

Brown (8th Place)
1) Win out
2) Earn one win and one tie AND have RPI NOT win out
3) Earn two points (can be by a single win or two ties) AND have RPI earn two or less points
4) Earn one point AND have RPI earn zero or one points AND have Colgate NOT win out
5) Earn zero points AND have RPI earn zero points AND have Colgate earn two or less points

RPI (7th Place)
1) Win out AND Princeton gets swept AND have Brown NOT win out

Colgate (8th Place)
1) Win out AND Brown earns zero or one points AND RPI earns two or less points
2) Tie Clarkson AND beat SLU AND Brown gets swept AND RPI earns exactly one point AND SLU beats Cornell
3) Tie Clarkson AND beat SLU AND Brown gets swept AND RPI earns exactly one point AND SLU earns more points against Cornell than Dartmouth does against Yale (requires the near miracle of Yale beating Dartmouth)
4) Tie Clarkson AND beat SLU AND Brown gets swept AND RPI earns zero points
5) Beat Clarkson AND tie SLU AND Brown gets swept AND RPI earns zero or one points

Union (11th Place)
1) Earn any point
2) Have Yale NOT win out

Yale (11th Place)
1) Win out AND have Union get swept

Other intriguing scenarios:
St. Lawrence (Home-ice)
1) Win out
2) Earn one win and one tie
3) Beat Colgate AND lose to Cornell AND have Dartmouth NOT win out
4) Tie both Colgate and Cornell AND have Dartmouth NOT win out
5) Beat Cornell AND lose to Colgate AND have Dartmouth NOT win out
6) Beat Cornell AND lose to Colgate AND have Colgate not finish in 8th
7) Earn exactly one point AND have Dartmouth earn two or less points
8) Get swept AND have Dartmouth tie both Yale and Brown
9) Get swept AND have Dartmouth earn zero or one points

RPI (In)
1) Win out AND have Brown NOT win out
2) Earn one win and one tie AND have Brown earn two or less points
3) Earn two points (can be by a single win or two ties) AND have Brown earn zero or one points AND have Colgate NOT win out
4) Earn exactly one point AND have Brown get swept AND Colgate ties Clarkson AND Colgate beats SLU AND SLU does not beat Cornell AND Dartmouth earns at least as many points against Yale as SLU does against Cornell
5) Earn exactly one point AND have Brown get swept AND Colgate earns two or less points

All I can say is, you've used "less" where you should have used "fewer" unless there is a way that I don't know about to earn fractional points.