Re: Plattsburgh State Hockey 2014-15 - Bob's 26th work in progress ...
While I think Platty is a strong team, I have to wonder if you placing them so high has more to do with how good you think they should be vs their resume to date. Platty is 14-5-1 and was impressive in their win against Norwich. They've done an excellent job this year of beating teams they are "supposed" to beat. In fact, they are 10-1 against teams that currently have a losing record. Problem is, they are 4-4-1 against teams that currently have a winning record....and two of those four wins are against Brockport. Not so sure that looks like a team that belongs in the same conversation as Trinity, Babson and Amherst?
I've seen Hobart a handful of times, Elmira a couple, and Utica once. Have yet to see Naz, Neumann and Manhattanville live in person yet. Not sold on any of them as a "contender". Could they? Sure. Anyone can get hot, but after last weekend the whole league became eligible for a Pool C bid. Pool C for C-You next year. I would put most of the league in the "don't want to see come NCAA time" along with several others from different leagues.
As far as top 10, I don't think there are clear "Top 10" teams....but....
1a. Oswego is playing great, now. Can they continue or are they peaking at the wrong time? Playing much better as a team, and the offense is clicking. Unless Z-Man goes down with an injury or goes into a funk they will be tough. The loss to SNHU? Big deal. If they were out played by them I'd be worried. **** happens, goalies get hot.
1b. Norwich. If the good Norwich shows up, they are difficult to beat. Plain and simple. Their last 4 games, 4-0, 21gf-3ga, granted against mediocre at best teams.
While I have these at 1a 1b, I think anyone in the top 10 can beat these two teams on any given night and it NOT be considered a "major" upset.
2a. Trinity. Potential What Middlebury/Williams team will show up this weekend? Then the Maine pair at home the following. I don't want to put them here from their one game I saw them play against Hobart they were VERY unimpressive. But their stats are what they are, and that's what matters come selection time.
2b. Babson. Where has Murray gone? 2-4-2 in their last 8 vs DIII teams. 8 goals in their first 11 games, 26 in the last 10. Houston we have a problem. Not sure I really want them this high, but when Murray and the Babson defense is playing well, they win.
2c. Plattsburgh. I realize hockey is a team sport. I wont even speak about the Geneseo game. It's a loss, but not a deserving loss. 2nd, while I am not a Brady Rouleau "hater", Plattsburgh has 5 loses, all credited to Brady Rouleau record. I don't doubt his talent, but he went through a stretch where even a Tom Brady deflated football could have found the back of the net. Until Finney is healthy (if) Plattsburgh will go from the 1st tier group (OSU, NOR) to the 2nd tier group.
2d. Amherst. A hiccup game against Conn College and Amherst is 7-1-2 in the last 10 games. Don't sleep on Amherst.
3. UMass-Boston. Not impressed. Pathetic NC schedule. Struggling beating teams they shouldn't have an issue beating. Norwich and Oswego on average bury those said teams. UMB is needing come from behinds and OT's on a regular basis. (and no I'm not going with the "the ECAC East is a deep league", yea and passing the ball on the 1 yard line with Lynch in the backfield was the right decision)
3. Williams. They beat Plattsburgh, congrats. A game in which (as was previously mentioned) they were outshot 3:1. Just because you win, doesn't mean you're a great/better team. I was very unimpressed with Williams, they just finished on a goalie who was auditioning for the new Marvel Super Here, the Invincible Man..
3. Nichols. If this team wins the Northeast, I don't want to see them. Probably not a contender, but could be a spoiler for sure.
3. Geneseo. Obviously the SUNYAC auto bid is the only chance they have at getting in, but for that reason (and why I don't have any ECAC West teams in) they are still there. WHEN the Geneseo varsity teams shows up, they can compete and win (at Oswego, at Plattsburgh, Ties at Adrian), but when the JV team steps on the ice (swept by Potsdam, loss to Cortland) you get the .500 Geneseo team. Probably one of the more dangerous .500ish teams left out there
So there...there are 10 teams....
As far as Pool C goes. Unless Adrian gets upset in the tourney (sorry SNC, No Jake No Date) its a 1 bid league (baring Lake Forrest doesn't sweep Adrian which would be close to putting Adrian out of Pool C contention). The WIAC will get a Pool B, but does UWSP or UWRF Thunder Chickens going to get a pool C with at least 1 more loss to their resume on top of loses come post season? Not a guarantee in my mind. Oswego, Norwich are probably the only 2 who are a lock right now. SNC is close if they can go at least 4-1...but that's a huge hit....
While I think Platty is a strong team, I have to wonder if you placing them so high has more to do with how good you think they should be vs their resume to date. Platty is 14-5-1 and was impressive in their win against Norwich. They've done an excellent job this year of beating teams they are "supposed" to beat. In fact, they are 10-1 against teams that currently have a losing record. Problem is, they are 4-4-1 against teams that currently have a winning record....and two of those four wins are against Brockport. Not so sure that looks like a team that belongs in the same conversation as Trinity, Babson and Amherst?
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