brassbonanza
Super Serial
Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th
CHN's simulations apparently have found ways for BU to fall out.
CHN's simulations apparently have found ways for BU to fall out.
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pairwise -- post jan 8th
- Thread starter mookie1995
- Start date
Patman
Rodent of Unusual Size
brassbonanza
Super Serial
Shirtless Guy
Old Dirty Basterd
Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th
Not after yesterday's results...
They now have the top 9 as locks, and 10-12 above 98.9% with Harvard and UML winning, that makes it nearly impossible for MTU or below to catch them without winning their own conference.
Not after yesterday's results...
They now have the top 9 as locks, and 10-12 above 98.9% with Harvard and UML winning, that makes it nearly impossible for MTU or below to catch them without winning their own conference.
brassbonanza
Super Serial
Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th
Not vouching for their credibility, but according to their updates today, they claim there's a non-zero chance BU ends up at 23.
http://www.collegehockeynews.com/ratings/probabilityMatrix.php
Not vouching for their credibility, but according to their updates today, they claim there's a non-zero chance BU ends up at 23.
http://www.collegehockeynews.com/ratings/probabilityMatrix.php
ticapnews
Never graduate.
Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th
That is the scenario I use to determine if teams need the AQ or not. I then tweak teams around them as needed. I only need to get them into the tournament in one scenario (however unlikely) before I assign them to a list. I have not been able to find a scenario to get either team into the tournament.
The BU question was raised to me on Facebook, however tiebreakers (H2H) give the advantage to BU in those scenarios meaning BU gets in and Harvard (etc) miss. I tried like the dickens to get BU out but could not find a scenario that gets them below 10th.
Just because I can't find a scenario doesn't mean one doesn't exist. There are several million permutations and I'm not a computer.
That is the scenario I use to determine if teams need the AQ or not. I then tweak teams around them as needed. I only need to get them into the tournament in one scenario (however unlikely) before I assign them to a list. I have not been able to find a scenario to get either team into the tournament.
The BU question was raised to me on Facebook, however tiebreakers (H2H) give the advantage to BU in those scenarios meaning BU gets in and Harvard (etc) miss. I tried like the dickens to get BU out but could not find a scenario that gets them below 10th.
Just because I can't find a scenario doesn't mean one doesn't exist. There are several million permutations and I'm not a computer.
Patman
Rodent of Unusual Size
Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th
do you at least have a USB port?
There are several million permutations and I'm not a computer.
do you at least have a USB port?
ticapnews
Never graduate.
Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th
In the race for the overall #1 position the teams still alive are
North Dakota
Quinnipiac
St Cloud
Boston College
Providence
Denver loses a comparison because of an earlier tie with Wisconsin so I can find no way to get them to #1, even with a superior RPI.
In the race for the overall #1 position the teams still alive are
North Dakota
Quinnipiac
St Cloud
Boston College
Providence
Denver loses a comparison because of an earlier tie with Wisconsin so I can find no way to get them to #1, even with a superior RPI.
mookie1995
there's a good buck in that racket.
dubbie31
58, 60, 61, 68, 69, 04, 05, 17, 22
ticapnews
Never graduate.
Even if UND SCSU QU PC & BC all lose in the conference quarters and DU wins. They lose the comparison with (I think) BU because of the common opponent category which they cannot change. If not for the tie vs Wisconsin they would split COp and win the comparison.
ticapnews
Never graduate.
When all is said and done they move back into the top 10 though. The wonders of PairWise.
mookie1995
there's a good buck in that racket.
Greatest ranking of teams ever seen by mankind
Not in all possible scenarios, of course. BU is very well positioned, but not yet a lock.
Shirtless Guy
Old Dirty Basterd
Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th
man, so sad that just about every result went against MTU as far as PWR is concerned...sweep and fall from 13th to 15th and possibly 16th if Cornell wins tomorrow.
Looking more and more like WCHA will be a one-bid league this year
man, so sad that just about every result went against MTU as far as PWR is concerned...sweep and fall from 13th to 15th and possibly 16th if Cornell wins tomorrow.
Looking more and more like WCHA will be a one-bid league this year
ticapnews
Never graduate.
Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th
It would break my heart if BU and Notre Dame both missed somehow
It would break my heart if BU and Notre Dame both missed somehow
I'd say very, very likely still. Contrary to CHN's results, they look in better shape to me than BU (though both are very likely). I personally don't have the tools to guarantee at this point that there aren't some edge cases that exclude them, but we can be fairly confident that at worst they'll land near the top of the bubble, so it would take a really bad cutline to exclude them.