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NHL 2012: Playoffs! Pick Your Overtime Winners!

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Re: NHL 2012: Playoffs! Pick Your Overtime Winners!

These are the Kings everyone picked to win the Pacific to start the season.

Dammit.
 
Re: NHL 2012: Playoffs! Pick Your Overtime Winners!

Howard vs Huet in the US v France World Championship game...
 
Re: NHL 2012: Playoffs! Pick Your Overtime Winners!

Based on Bradley-Terry rankings (i.e., KRACH) found here, the updated (after 5/3) most likely outcomes are:

West: LAK in 4 (42.5%), PHX in 6 (23.0%)
East: NYR in 5 (37.2%), PHI in 7 (22.4%)

Overall winning probabilities:
West
STL 11.0% - LAK 89.0%
PHX 62.8% - NSH 37.2%

East
NYR 83.2% - WAS 16.8%
PHI 39.0% - NJD 61.0%

As always, KRACH is not a perfect predictive system. In fact, it's not predictive at all; it's retrodictive. Home-ice advantage, momentum, and the like can not be accounted for reliably, so they are ignored.

Remarks: I hate the Kings even more. Also, the fun thing is happening with PHI-NJD.

Next Round possibilities:
Code: 
-------------------------
|WEST |    HOME         |
|CONF.|-----------------|
|FINAL| STL | PHX | NSH |
|-----------------------|
|A|PHX|6.89%|XXXXX|XXXXX|
|W|---|-----------------|
|A|NSH|4.07%|XXXXX|XXXXX|
|Y|---|-----------------|
| |LAK|XXXXX|55.9%|33.1%|
-------------------------

-------------------------
|EAST |    HOME         |
|CONF.|-----------------|
|FINAL| NYR | PHI | NJD |
|-----------------------|
|A|PHI|32.4%|XXXXX|XXXXX|
|W|---|-----------------|
|A|NJD|50.8%|XXXXX|XXXXX|
|Y|---|-----------------|
| |WAS|XXXXX|6.56%|10.3%|
-------------------------
 
Re: NHL 2012: Playoffs! Pick Your Overtime Winners!

Based on Bradley-Terry rankings (i.e., KRACH) found here, the updated (after 5/4) most likely outcomes are:

West: LAK in 4 (42.5%), PHX in 5 (47.3%)
East: NYR in 5 (37.2%), PHI in 7 (22.4%)

Overall winning probabilities:
West
STL 10.9% - LAK 89.1%
PHX 85.4% - NSH 14.6%

East
NYR 83.2% - WAS 16.8%
PHI 39.0% - NJD 61.0%

As always, KRACH is not a perfect predictive system. In fact, it's not predictive at all; it's retrodictive. Home-ice advantage, momentum, and the like can not be accounted for reliably, so they are ignored.

Remarks: One game days are weird. Also, I still hate the Kings.

Next Round possibilities:
Code: 
-------------------------
|WEST |    HOME         |
|CONF.|-----------------|
|FINAL| STL | PHX | NSH |
|-----------------------|
|A|PHX|9.34%|XXXXX|XXXXX|
|W|---|-----------------|
|A|NSH|1.60%|XXXXX|XXXXX|
|Y|---|-----------------|
| |LAK|XXXXX|76.0%|13.0%|
-------------------------

-------------------------
|EAST |    HOME         |
|CONF.|-----------------|
|FINAL| NYR | PHI | NJD |
|-----------------------|
|A|PHI|32.4%|XXXXX|XXXXX|
|W|---|-----------------|
|A|NJD|50.8%|XXXXX|XXXXX|
|Y|---|-----------------|
| |WAS|XXXXX|6.55%|10.3%|
-------------------------
 
Re: NHL 2012: Playoffs! Pick Your Overtime Winners!

So, anyone else rooting for 3-4 OT so they can move the game to NBCSports so NBC can show 2-3 hours of C-list NBC celebs showing up at the Kentucky Derby again?
 
Re: NHL 2012: Playoffs! Pick Your Overtime Winners!

That should be a game for AO, but it won't be.
 
Re: NHL 2012: Playoffs! Pick Your Overtime Winners!

joecct said:
He's a repeat offender for leaping into an opponent. He'll get one plus, or should, based on Raffi Torres.
Click to expand...

At first I thought 2 games, but on replay, I changed to one.
 
Re: NHL 2012: Playoffs! Pick Your Overtime Winners!

IIHF Final:

USA 4 CAN 3 OT
Jack Johnson with the OT Winner on the PP (Tavares Delay of Game 59:59). Thanks to TSN Toronto radio for giving live coverage of the game.
 
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