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Fun With Numbers: Pairwise, KRACH, and Otherwise '16-'17

Re: Fun With Numbers: Pairwise, KRACH, and Otherwise '16-'17

TonyTheTiger20 said:
You just wait, once global warming takes full effect and your precious lakes stop freezing over, the east will rise again!
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Bold prediction: Hockey East wins the title next year. Early indications are that it'll be Providence.
 
Re: Fun With Numbers: Pairwise, KRACH, and Otherwise '16-'17

TonyTheTiger20 said:
It's funny you mention that -- PC has been the 11th best team in KRACH since November 1st. 7th (!) since December 1st.
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IMO, they'd be the perfect HEA team to win it all. The rest of you wouldn't know if you should be happy or mad. And the rest of the country would just marvel at the ugly uniforms.
 
Re: Fun With Numbers: Pairwise, KRACH, and Otherwise '16-'17

I'm having some thoughts on the Pairwise and there's a chance things could shake out incredibly messy.

If UMD and UM end up #5 and #6 (not out of the realm of possibility at all, since there's a big gap from 6 to 7 and they both have to play ND x2 and UW x2 before the regular season is out), and if UW stays #1, you're almost definitely going to have:

#6 UMD/UM @ #1 Wisconsin
#8 @ #2 SLU/Clarky/BC
#7 @ #3 SLU/Clarky/BC
#5 UM/UMD @ #4 SLU/Clarky/BC

This is regardless of who the CHA champion is, whether they're eastern or not, because if they are #7, then #8 will be eastern and a bus trip to #2, and whether they are #8, then #7 will be eastern and a bus trip to #3.

"UM/UMD at 5/6 and UW at 1" are not even close to being "locks" -- 2 through 6 are still entirely a shuffle -- but if it does happen, that's a pretty messy bracket.
 
Re: Fun With Numbers: Pairwise, KRACH, and Otherwise '16-'17

The more I look at this bracket, the more I'm wondering where all the depth you talk about is. Maybe I've just got a bad case of apathy. :o
 
Re: Fun With Numbers: Pairwise, KRACH, and Otherwise '16-'17

ARM said:
The more I look at this bracket, the more I'm wondering where all the depth you talk about is. Maybe I've just got a bad case of apathy. :o
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Answer me this, if Wisconsin weren't in this tournament could you confidently eliminate anyone not from the CHA from having a chance? I couldn't. Even Cornell and Princeton are en fuego.
 
Re: Fun With Numbers: Pairwise, KRACH, and Otherwise '16-'17

More musings:

Of the 4 teams in the logjam for 2nd through 6th, UMD, UM, SLU, Clarkson, and BC all end with pretty tough schedules. BC's is probably the easiest of the bunch but it's deceptively tough -- after they play UConn this weekend (who is average, not terrible), the worst team they have left is #16 Vermont. Somehow PC is 15th in the Pairwise?!

Last 6 games (in reverse order of PWR)

UMD: SCSU, SCSU, NoDak, NoDak, Wisco, Wisco
UM: Kato, Kato, NoDak, NoDak, Wisco, Wisco
BC: UConn, UVM, PC, PC, NU, NU
SLU: DU, HU, QU, Colgate, PU, Cornell
Clarky: DU, HU, QU, Colgate, PU, Cornell

The parity this year is just bananas. I could not begin to guess who is going to finish where of these 5 teams. But, I am willing to bet you will see a tournament that will shake out as:

1 Wisconsin
2/3/4/5/6 BC/Clarky/MN/MN-D/SLU (alphabetical)
7 Cornell or Princeton (or I guess Colgate or Quinny, but I would bet on the first two)
8 CHA (though Bobby Mo could end up 7th without that much trouble)
 
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Re: Fun With Numbers: Pairwise, KRACH, and Otherwise '16-'17

TonyTheTiger20 said:
Answer me this, if Wisconsin weren't in this tournament ...
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Another one of those years where the sport would be a lot better off if we could just eliminate Wisconsin. There are a lot of teams out there that you could describe as, "average, not terrible."
 
Re: Fun With Numbers: Pairwise, KRACH, and Otherwise '16-'17

ARM said:
Another one of those years where the sport would be a lot better off if we could just eliminate Wisconsin.
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The sport, America, planet earth... you know what ARM, I think we finally agree about something! Let's just shoot the state of Wisconsin into the sun and get it over with.
 
Re: Fun With Numbers: Pairwise, KRACH, and Otherwise '16-'17

TonyTheTiger20 said:
The sport, America, planet earth... you know what ARM, I think we finally agree about something! Let's just shoot the state of Wisconsin into the sun and get it over with.
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I don't think Wisconsin is properly balanced for a good launch. We'll have to strap Ohio on as a counterweight.
 
Re: Fun With Numbers: Pairwise, KRACH, and Otherwise '16-'17

I just plugged in results for the rest of the regular season with making the "better team"* win every game, and this is the PWR that resulted:

1 Wisconsin 29-3-1 (.6704)
2 St. Lawrence 27-3-2 (.6390)
3 Boston College 26-3-4 (.6247)
4 Clarkson 26-4-4 (.6228)
5 Minnesota 24-6-3 (.6120)
6 Minnesota-Duluth 22-6-4 (.6110)
7 Robert Morris 23-3-6 (.5672)
8 Boston University (!!) 18-10-5 (.5531)
9 Princeton 18-8-3 (.5508)
10 Cornell 17-9-3 (.5507)
11 Colgate 22-9-3 (.5490)
12 Quinnipiac 20-9-5 (.5451)

(1) What an insane bracket you would have:

6 UMD @ 1 UW
8 BU @ 2 SLU
7 RMU @ 3 BC
5 UM @ 4 CCI

(2) Look at how CLOSE it is for 8th!

(3) I post this not to say this is what I think is going to happen but to say holy crap, the Pairwise is going to be completely insane this year...
 
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Re: Fun With Numbers: Pairwise, KRACH, and Otherwise '16-'17

Eeyore said:
I don't think Wisconsin is properly balanced for a good launch. We'll have to strap Ohio on as a counterweight.
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OH and not IL? No one likes IL.

And for the record, during MN's impressive run the last few years I never advocated nuking them or blasting them into the sun. Can't we all just tip a cap to the victor and just get along? What is society coming to. I thought the women's forum was a bastion from the hateful world. I guess I was wrong.

I vote to launch MA and MN. Much better balance than WI & OH. That felt good.
 
Re: Fun With Numbers: Pairwise, KRACH, and Otherwise '16-'17

Timothy A said:
OH and not IL? No one likes IL.

And for the record, during MN's impressive run the last few years I never advocated nuking them or blasting them into the sun. Can't we all just tip a cap to the victor and just get along? What is society coming to. I thought the women's forum was a bastion from the hateful world. I guess I was wrong.

I vote to launch MA and MN. Much better balance than WI & OH. That felt good.
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I'd be good with just CA...No need to balance that out since they already want to go. ;)
 
Re: Fun With Numbers: Pairwise, KRACH, and Otherwise '16-'17

EastFan1 said:
PC has a decent chance of outscoring BC and Minnesota this year.
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If the season lasted long enough, Union would have a decent chance of outscoring Minnesota. But as it is, I don't know that the Dutchwomen have enough games left to score the 91 that UM already has.
 
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