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Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of letters

Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

A chip, and a chair...

The Pairwise is pretty weird this year. Look at the comparisons won --

If BC jumps Cornell, we'll STILL be 8th and out. We'll have 29 comparisons won and BU/Cornell will both have 30.
If Ohio State jumps BU, we're STILL 8th and out. We'll have 28, and BU/OSU will both have 29.

It would take BU getting passed by both teams below them for us to move up into 7th. It would surprise me if BU lost two of their last four regular season games, so BC really has to hope to get that BC/BU semifinals matchup.
 
Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

... BC really has to hope to get that BC/BU semifinals matchup.
BC owes it to the hockey gods to win the HEA, or it really just belongs at home with the other 11 loss teams. Given the 2-3 record against mid-tier teams from the WCHA and ECAC, they don't look to be any more deserving than a team like last year's Cornell.
 
BC owes it to the hockey gods to win the HEA, or it really just belongs at home with the other 11 loss teams. Given the 2-3 record against mid-tier teams from the WCHA and ECAC, they don't look to be any more deserving than a team like last year's Cornell.
I don't know about that. If BC runs the table and loses to the #3 team in the country in the conference final, it would be hard to argue that BC isn't at least a top 7 team.
 
Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

... it would be hard to argue that BC isn't at least a top 7 team.
Cornell was a top 7 team; didn't do the Big Red much good. Northeastern didn't look like the No. 3 team in the country today. Really sloppy with the puck. At least BU seemed more interested in playing defense, other than the first PP goal, where they kept backing up and just gave away the first shot.

I fully understand that BC has top-5 talent. It just doesn't play like it very often.
 
Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

Jesus, I have no idea what USCHO is doing. They have BC ahead of BU and they're including all the games. And none of the RPIs are even close.

Their Pairwise is just a disaster this year. w t f.
 
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Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

What a ridiculous weekend. Legitimate four way battle for that home-ice quarterfinal spot now.
 
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Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

What a ridiculous weekend. Legitimate four way battle for that home-ice quarterfinal spot now.

There's plenty of time for all of them to lose another 2-3 games.
 
Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

Clarkson, Cornell, BC, BU and Princeton - one of them is going to get home ice for the NCAAs, and one of them (at least) won't make the tournament at all. And we have no idea which is which.

Crazy.

(Adding, if you were ever going to argue for a 12 team tournament, this would be your year.)
 
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Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

I did a bracketology even though things are changing with pretty much every game played, because why not: https://www.bcinterruption.com/bost...n-college-bc-wisconsin-minnesota-northeastern
What? We don't get ice cream with our bracketology??? I'm going to blame the NCAA for that!!! Otherwise, thanks Grant. :)
 
Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

Your Bracketology Ice Cream of the Week is STRAWBERRY

I see that the USCHO Pairwise/RPI numbers now match yours. Attention to detail wins again!
 
Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

I see that the USCHO Pairwise/RPI numbers now match yours. Attention to detail wins again!

Yes! Nicole Haase did some harassing to the powers that be to finally get them to correct their numbers -- they even have the eligible teams right!
 
Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

But they don't even mention ice cream, so your place will always be secure. :)
 
Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

But they don't even mention ice cream, so your place will always be secure. :)

Well that's a relief :D
 
Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

Conference tournament odds!

Based on KRACH and factoring in reseeding rules:

WHEA:
46.68% Northeastern
21.81% Boston College
15.00% Boston University
11.23% Providence
3.45% Merrimack
1.02% New Hampshire
0.63% Connecticut
0.19% Vermont

WCHA:
51.27% Minnesota
41.26% Wisconsin
4.71% Ohio State
2.09% Minnesota Duluth
0.51% Bemidji State
0.16% Minnesota State
0.01% St. Cloud State
0.00% Bye

ECAC:
31.90% Cornell
16.39% Colgate
31.38% Clarkson
16.81% Princeton
2.01% St Lawrence
0.41% Quinnipiac
0.84% Harvard
0.26% RPI

CHA:
35.08% Robert Morris
36.95% Mercyhurst
9.92% Syracuse
3.22% RIT
13.76% Penn State
1.05% Lindenwood
 
Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

Just for kicks, here's another hypothetical BCS Rankings:

Rank | USCHO | USA | Computer | BCS Rating | Team Name
1 | 0.9867 | 0.9895 | 0.9500 | 0.9754 | Minnesota
2 | 0.9133 | 0.9105 | 0.9500 | 0.9246 | Wisconsin
3 | 0.7800 | 0.8000 | 0.8000 | 0.7933 | Northeastern
4 | 0.6400 | 0.6158 | 0.6500 | 0.6353 | Clarkson
5 | 0.6800 | 0.6842 | 0.5250 | 0.6297 | Cornell
6 | 0.3800 | 0.4526 | 0.5750 | 0.4692 | Boston College
7 | 0.3600 | 0.4053 | 0.3000 | 0.3551 | Princeton
8 | 0.3067 | 0.3158 | 0.4000 | 0.3408 | Boston University
9 | 0.2133 | 0.1263 | 0.2000 | 0.1799 | Ohio State
10 | 0.2267 | 0.1842 | 0.0500 | 0.1536 | Colgate
11 | 0.0133 | 0.0158 | 0.0750 | 0.0347 | Providence
12 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0250 | 0.0083 | Minnesota Duluth

The top 5 are the same as the PairWise, but turn of the century college football would switch around the logjam of teams from 6-12.
 
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