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Elections 2012 -- Carrion My Wayward Son!

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Re: Elections 2012 -- Carrion My Wayward Son!

To his credit at least is saying he stands for something even if trivial/obvious. Mitt's favorite comment for months has been, "I'm not going to get into that right now".
 
Re: Elections 2012 -- Carrion My Wayward Son!

Speaking of Ohio, evidently Al Gore is consulting His Chicagovaluesness' campaign there.

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/201...sues-ohio-over-early-voting-law-for-military/

And agreeing with the sanctons against Penn State in COLUMBUS is hardly the same as crossing the Edmund Pettus bridge, now is it? I doubt we'll see him take that weak sh*t to Happy Valley--"The NC$$ did the right thing in ripping your b*lls off." Any bets?
 
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Re: Elections 2012 -- Carrion My Wayward Son!

5mn_Major said:
That the most important institution in one of the most important battleground states deserved to get a near death penalty? When has Mitt taken a similar controversial stance that specifically targets yet could be damaging in a battleground state?

If this is such a slam dunk, you must be predicting Mitt to come out in favor of severe sanctions on Penn St. I'm not holding my breath.
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If His Transcriptlessness came out against farting in church, you'd swoon like a middle school girl at a Bieber concert. And offer comparisons to Patrick Henry.
 
Re: Elections 2012 -- Carrion My Wayward Son!

As someone who is pro farting in church, I'm not sure I could vote for him...
 
Re: Elections 2012 -- Carrion My Wayward Son!

5mn_Major said:
If this is such a slam dunk, you must be predicting Mitt to come out in favor of severe sanctions on Penn St. I'm not holding my breath.
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Severe? What those kids got at the hands of Sandusky was severe, Penn State got diddly in comparison. Obamas brave position is a total no brainer. Grasping at straws much?
 
Re: Elections 2012 -- Carrion My Wayward Son!

dxmnkd316 said:
Nah, I prefer the ones so loud it makes the entire congregation blush.
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The trick is after stepping on that duck, you look accusingly at the little old lady sitting next to you. Benny Hill had a decades long show business career, built significantly on the fact that farting is always funny.
 
Re: Elections 2012 -- Carrion My Wayward Son!

Old Pio said:
The trick is after stepping on that duck, you look accusingly at the little old lady sitting next to you.
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Re: Elections 2012 -- Carrion My Wayward Son!

Silver declares an upper bound for Obama.

Obama had 365 (+95) EV in 2008. Assume he wins no new states.

He loses 6 EV from electoral changes from 2008 through 2012. That gives him an upper bound of 359 (+89). Question is, can Romney flip 89 EV (he would almost certainly win a tie in the House)?

The obvious:

IN 11
NC 15

26 down, 63 to go.

After:

FL 29
VA 13
NE 1 (the district slot)

it starts to look very difficult for Romney to move anything else (absent a sea change, of course).

That would be 290 (+20).
 
Re: Elections 2012 -- Carrion My Wayward Son!

Colorado and Iowa look most likely to flip after those three currently, which moves it down to 275. So, in bad news for the people of the Worst State of the Union, Ohio then becomes the battleground. Sucks for them.

Edit: On a similar note, Silver has commented on how this has been a pretty static race nationally. Have we reached a point where this **** goes on so long that when you get down to it, the only undecideds left are people that are going to lunch on the 2nd Tuesday in November and decide that voting after work isn't worth the time anyway?
 
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Re: Elections 2012 -- Carrion My Wayward Son!

walrus said:
Obamas brave position is a total no brainer.
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One that Romney doesn't have the stones for?

bronconick said:
Colorado and Iowa look most likely to flip after those three currently, which moves it down to 275. So, in bad news for the people of the Worst State of the Union, Ohio then becomes the battleground. Sucks for them.

Edit: On a similar note, Silver has commented on how this has been a pretty static race nationally. Have we reached a point where this **** goes on so long that when you get down to it, the only undecideds left are people that are going to lunch on the 2nd Tuesday in November and decide that voting after work isn't worth the time anyway?
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Its not the only state...but if there is a state, Ohio is it.
 
Re: Elections 2012 -- Carrion My Wayward Son!

bronconick said:
Have we reached a point where this **** goes on so long that when you get down to it, the only undecideds left are people that are going to lunch on the 2nd Tuesday in November and decide that voting after work isn't worth the time anyway?
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I've completely lost perspective, both living in the DC area and being immersed in politics 24/7 with my wife's job, but supposedly there are still lots of undecideds out there. Whether they actually vote or not is another matter.

In the 290 scenario below, if Romney could flip OH (18) then any one other state (CO, NV, IA, even NH) would win it for him. You hafta think that gives Portman a big leg up in the veepstakes.
 
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Re: Elections 2012 -- Carrion My Wayward Son!

dxmnkd316 said:
Mitt Romney also hasn't come out against firing puppies out of cannons into the sun. Obviously he doesn't have the stones for that either.
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:cool:

Do we know where they stand on putting the lid down? And whether the TP should unspool over or under the roll? Drinking milk or OJ directly out of the container?
 
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Re: Elections 2012 -- Carrion My Wayward Son!

Old Pio said:
:cool:

Do we know where they stand on putting the lid down? And whether the TP should unspool over or under the roll? Drinking milk or OJ directly out of the container?
Click to expand...

So help me God, if one of them says underhand...

(Dear FBI, this is me joking.)
 
Re: Elections 2012 -- Carrion My Wayward Son!

Michael Tomasky on the (Possible) Coming Obama Landslide

...But whatever happens with that law, Pennsylvania has been trending back toward Obama lately. He now holds a lead there of nearly seven points, and he’s close to 50. And as I wrote the other day, Nate Silver now gives Barack Obama a slightly better chance of winning Montana than he does Romney of winning Pennsylvania. That tells you something.

So if Pennsylvania is off the boards, let’s look around. Imagine it’s election night, say 10:45 east coast time. Four eastern states haven’t been called yet: Ohio (18), Virginia (13), North Carolina (15), and Florida (29). Also, in some Western states, the polls haven’t closed, or the races are too tight to project just yet—Colorado and Nevada, say. Arizona has just been called for Romney. At this point, Romney actually leads, 188 to 182. In this scenario I’m assuming Obama has won Iowa (6), which is admittedly close but where his lead has been stable at three or four points, and New Hampshire (4), where Obama has a similar fairly small but stable lead, and Michigan (16), where the gap appears to be opening up a little.

So it’s a six-vote Romney edge. They’re feeling great up in Boston. Especially with the big Eastern four still up in the air. Right?

Not really. Let’s look at these West Coast states. Even though they’re still voting in California, obviously Obama is going to win it (55). And equally obviously, he’s going to win Washington (12) and Oregon (7), where neither side even bothered to spend a dime. Throw in Hawaii (4). Those 78 votes haul Obama up to 260. That’s something to keep in mind for election night: Whatever Obama’s number is at 10 pm Eastern, add those 78 EV’s—they’re a mortal lock, and a hefty insurance policy. If he wins Nevada (6) and Colorado (9), it’s over.

In other words, Obama can lose the big Eastern four—Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida: all of ’em!—and still be reelected.
 
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