Re: College Football 2015-16: The Big Ten Rises
Here's the thing, if we're looking at SOS (from the consensus) projected out and not accounting for updated ranks or conference championships, SOS near the top would be (average of FBS oppt ranks, lower is better:
Alabama 41.273
Clemson 56.091
Ohio St. 61.167
Oklahoma 52.667
Notre Dame 52.667
Oklahoma St. 55.818
Florida 60.083
Iowa 65.364
Baylor 58.364
TCU 54.727
So say the teams win out, get to the championship games. You'd have Alabama (Florida), Clemson (North Carolina @ 15) , and Ohio St (Iowa) duking it out in championship games. That would boost Alabama, Clemson, and Ohio State almost certainly giving all three berths into the playoffs. There's only one spot available between Oklahoma, Notre Dame, and OSU. Either OSU or Oklahoma will be knocked out the last week. If Oklahoma wins, they would be about tied with Notre Dame for record and SOS. If OSU wins, Notre Dame would likely have the SOS edge by a very slim margin but OSU would own the record. If it comes down to it, OSU should get in if the SOS is reasonably close.
As it stands right now, Ohio St. needs to win out or they should be the team left holding the bag. Only Iowa has a weaker schedule should they beat Ohio State. Alabama, Clemson, OU, Notre Dame, OSU, and Florida all have better SOSs and a similar record. I wouldn't be completely shocked if that would shut the Big Ten out of a playoff berth, especially if they both finish with one loss.