Re: Campaign 2016 Part XII: What Have We Done To Deserve This?
Trump wins if Hillary thinks she's won the election on Labor Day.
The GOP needs to pick 4 or 5 issues that have common agreement with the majority of Americans and hammer them daily.
Reform the Tax Code
Illegal immigration and its affect on jobs.
Jobs leaving the USA
Reform PPACA. Can it live up to the promises made by the current administratio as it is written, or does it need to be scrapped and rewritten?
I can't think of a single issue the GOP could credibly claim right now that would help them expand their party while also holding on to their base. The GOP problem is that their base has separated out from the rest of the electorate. The gap that used to be between Dems and Republicans is now between casual Republicans and base Republicans.
It's not like they have an obvious solution which they are not taking. They have a really awful decision to make: slam the door on the base, move two standard deviations to the center, and start competing for the middle again. This is their only long term move but in the short term it's going to REALLY hurt. They ought to have done it after 2008, but the 2010 midterm gave them a false sense that they could still bluff it out. Now here they are 6 years later, still bluffing, only at the top of the ticket a riverboat gambler has called their bluff.
Their solace is the Democrats will eventually overreach. Even though the Dems have barely even recrossed the center line back to the left yet, we will, and eventually we will go too far, and the GOP will once again be able to capture the middle. But the sooner the GOP gets off their duff the shorter a turnaround they have to endure. Had they moved with alacrity after 2008 they might even be almost done by now; instead, not having started, and letting the rot set it in even deeper, it could now take them a decade or more.
By all means, take your time. 5-4 is OK, 6-3 would be better, but heck, if you insist I'll hold out for 9-0.