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Campaign 2014: The Epic Struggle To Win The Senate And Change Nothing

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Re: Campaign 2014: The Epic Struggle To Win The Senate And Change Nothing

Rover said:
I am amused how a 2 or 4 point lead when its like 42-38 or something suddenly becomes an unassailable margin. That goes for any race no matter who's running.
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While not "unassailable" it is really good news for an experienced pol with a strong organization and a well-funded ground game when he's leading in October, even by a couple points. Exactly as you say, electorates do tend to revert to the lean, and incumbency carries lots of very helpful properties (up to and including flat out bribery of donors and constituents -- c.f. the Tory campaign in Scotland). The other thing is: with a high profile "divisive" pol like McConnell, if he hasn't convinced you he's incompetent and/or criminal all on his own then nothing the opponent does the last 30 days is going to move you.

The real surprise to me is especially with all the bad news this summer the GOP should be utterly, dramatically ROCKIN IT. What else could they reasonably have hoped for as a playing field? They're going to drag the carcass over the line with just enough margin to relieve the pressure to make uncomfortable changes. That has consequences up and down the chain. As horrible as the 80's were for the Democrats, the "blessing in disguise" is it was so embarrassing and obvious that it forced big changes. In contrast, the GOP is the frog in the pot.
 
Re: Campaign 2014: The Epic Struggle To Win The Senate And Change Nothing

First KS, now NC.

Things have come to a pretty pass when Republicans can't just repeat their empty-headed, unfactual talking points and expect to win. The party of "truthiness" is in for some tough times.
 
Re: Campaign 2014: The Epic Struggle To Win The Senate And Change Nothing

joecct said:
Can't you now register day of vote and file a provisional ballot?

In our state, I'd be checking the Baltimore cemetery census vs. the voting rolls.
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He's talking in general, not in his specific state. Many states require registration a few weeks in advance so that you can be listed on the voter rolls when you show up to vote. It's generaly done in order to speed up the process. Areas that don't require pre-registration, like MN, we often have slow moving lines in relatively small areas, like where I live. I had to wait an extraordinarily long time the last time I went to vote because my city has been growing rapidly, and we had a bunch of people registering to vote same-day. It got to the point that they broker established protocol that had been in place years, setup a line for people to bypass those still needing registration. That made it much better towards the end, but it also made me wonder if they could have caused any legal issues for votes cast at that polling station.
 
Re: Campaign 2014: The Epic Struggle To Win The Senate And Change Nothing

SJHovey said:
Just out of curiosity? Do you get an affiliate fee from Daily Kos? :p
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I recognize that right wing sites are more interested in preventing people from registering.
 
Re: Campaign 2014: The Epic Struggle To Win The Senate And Change Nothing

joecct said:
Just the dead and illegals plus those not resident in the voting district.
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And the blacks, and the browns, and the elderly, and college students, etc. etc etc. But, who's counting?
 
Re: Campaign 2014: The Epic Struggle To Win The Senate And Change Nothing

Whoa.

Outlier? Probably. Anomaly? Maybe. But oh, it would be funny.
 
Re: Campaign 2014: The Epic Struggle To Win The Senate And Change Nothing

Jimjamesak said:
Ah see, hardcore conservative logic dictates that because of Affirmative Action programs, all college kids are either non-white or rich liberal kids.
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That plus the educated are the enemy. Secular humanist learnin' is evil, I mean, they even tell you the Bible is a metaphor rather than a formal CONOPS.
 
Re: Campaign 2014: The Epic Struggle To Win The Senate And Change Nothing

I see the stereotypes are out in force today. Must be election season.
 
Re: Campaign 2014: The Epic Struggle To Win The Senate And Change Nothing

Dumbest person in Congress makes the news.

I must admit, this makes my petty and vindictive heart glad. I've met Tulsi, and she is, and I can say this without exaggeration, the stupidest person I've ever talked to. As in, she makes Louis Gohmert look like a genius and Sarah Palin look functionally literate. Her daddy bought her a seat in Congress and it being HI she will stay in it forever more unless she's primaried someday.
 
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