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Business, Economics, and Taxes: Eat Cereal for Dinner

With smaller airlines sure...but if people aren't making big trips one of the majors is going to have issues. Especially when it comes to international flights.
Actually, cutting off trade between the US and other countries would have a bigger impact on airlines’ bottom line. Take a look at the layouts for long haul flights and you’ll see a massive amount of seats configured for business travelers. Business travel is the airlines’ bread and butter.
 
Actually, cutting off trade between the US and other countries would have a bigger impact on airlines’ bottom line. Take a look at the layouts for long haul flights and you’ll see a massive amount of seats configured for business travelers. Business travel is the airlines’ bread and butter.
Well we are about a month away from kissing that goodbye unless you are flying to the Middle East ;)
 
Well we are about a month away from kissing that goodbye unless you are flying to the Middle East ;)
Well, I would start selling Delta and AA stock.

The Middle East airlines like Emirates are about to go up, especially if Russia cuts off European airlines from their airspace.
 
Well, I would start selling Delta and AA stock.

The Middle East airlines like Emirates are about to go up, especially if Russia cuts off European airlines from their airspace.
Yeah. If Delta can somehow avoid bankruptcy during the depression they are the type of stock I would buy when it craters. Sooner or later people will travel abroad again.
 
What are you doing to prepare for a crash?
I liquidated my HSA investments. Straight money market now. (But I have a reason for this)

I have sold down my taxable investments by tax-loss harvesting my losing lots from the years and selling down gains to match. Sitting on cash for now.

I haven't pulled the trigger on the 401(k) but I'm not doing anything stupid yet because I still have a 20-year time horizon. But I'll move a modest portion to 4% money market depending on the markets tomorrow.

We have enough cash to fund the house payments and necessary spending for two years.

I've seen some people I respect recommend moving some cash to foreign banks but I think that's probably a bit too much for now.

I'll probably keep a SHTF fund in the figurative mattress in case we need to grab a go bag.
 
Foreign investment would have been my suggestion...but I think Europe and Asia are headed for trouble.

Right nothing is truly safe.
 
Foreign investment would have been my suggestion...but I think Europe and Asia are headed for trouble.

Right nothing is truly safe.
If the US economy craters, it's taking the rest of the world with it. Our economy is way too powerful and strong for a chain reaction not to happen.

The idea of moving money to foreign banks is an interesting one in that it protects you if they really are crazy enough to eliminate the FDIC (I really can't imagine even the "I'm concerned" GOPers to allow that to happen; even the sniff of the idea would send a panic to crash the banks).
 
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Actually, cutting off trade between the US and other countries would have a bigger impact on airlines’ bottom line. Take a look at the layouts for long haul flights and you’ll see a massive amount of seats configured for business travelers. Business travel is the airlines’ bread and butter.
Which was kind of the idea I had. For those of you who haven't flown long distance in a while, like me when I flew to Hong Kong last fall on United (about 11 years after I flew business class to Dubai on Delta), you'll be amazed how much more space on those type of flights are now taken up by business class seats.

BTW, there may already be a decline in demand for business class seats. My company, the fifth largest defense company in the country, changed it's travel policy at the end of last year. Basically, the long flights are now restricted to premium economy class. No longer business class. I wonder how many other companies have been/are doing this as well.
 
If the US economy craters, it's taking the rest of the world with it. Our economy is way too powerful and strong for a chain reaction not to happen.

The idea of moving money to foreign banks is an interesting one in that it protects you if they really are crazy enough to eliminate the FDIC (I really can't imagine even the "I'm concerned" GOPers to allow that to happen; even the sniff of the idea would send a panic to crash the banks).
If they kill the FDIC I would absolutely withdraw my money.
 
If they kill the FDIC I would absolutely withdraw my money.
You'll be too late by then if you wait till they actually kill the FDIC. The run would be instantaneous, and to get at the money, you would have to do it in person. Because if you did it online, where would you move the money too? I suppose if you had a foreign bank account already setup, you could do it, but the bank websites would probably be overloaded. And I suspect in minutes, the banks would collapse. I forget the exact figure, but the percentage of money the banks have (and if I remember my regulations, there is a minimum they must have) readily available to the amount they actually have (i.e,, cash vs. what they loaned out) is very small. It won't take much of a run on banks to deplete that cash.
 
From what was reported the inflation rate is going to go up another 2% this year to 4% and the tariffs are effectively an 1800 tax.

Given that and my losses in my retirement accounts this year is a net loss and I need every year to be net gain for my retirement. I'll probably not be able to retire ever at this point.
 
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