Some interesting possibilities now...BU has clinched a bye because they can no longer finish worse than 5th. Providence has completed their schedule, so they can't catch us because we won 2-0 head-to-head (I'm assuming that's the first tiebreaker in a two-way tie). If Merrimack beats NU tomorrow night (and BU wins), you have a three-way tie for third place (BU, Merrimack and NU all with 44 points and all three teams will have 14 wins). Somebody else will have to figure out how that is broken. If NU wins (and BU wins), then we finish outright 3rd, 2 points behind Lowell (assuming they beat UNH). So depending on that aforementioned tiebreaker, it looks pretty good to get home ice for the quarterfinals, unless we somehow finish 5th, which would seem to be the least likely scenario (assuming we don't take 50 penalties tomorrow night and lose).

(Note of caution: watch out for BC)
(Annoying note: can we ever get a streaming service that consistently works?????)
Edit: I believe Merrimack loses the three-way tie due to their losing record vs NU, but BU and NU are even in both wins and head-to-head, so then it goes to winning %, which I believe would give BU the nod since NU has one more loss (well, it will be two more losses if we end up tied). So that would mean the top top three would be: UMass, UML and BU. (assuming UMass and UML win - if BC beats UMass then Lowell leapfrogs them, but we can't catch either so we'd still be third).
Thanks for trying, but you have made several incorrect statements. Here is my sort of full Todd.
[TABLE="width: 272"]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl66"]
Finish[/TD]
[TD]
Team[/TD]
[TD="class: xl66"]
Points[/TD]
[TD="class: xl66"]
Finish[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]
1[/TD]
[TD]
UMass[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]
46[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65"]
1-2[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]
2[/TD]
[TD]
Northeastern[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]
44[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65"]
1-4[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]
3[/TD]
[TD]
UMass-Lowell[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]
43[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65"]
2-5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]
4[/TD]
[TD]
Boston University[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]
41[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65"]
3-5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]
5[/TD]
[TD]
Merrimack[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]
41[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65"]
2-6[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]
6[/TD]
[TD]
Connectict[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]
38[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65"]
5-6[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]
7[/TD]
[TD]
Providence[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]
38[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65"]
7[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]
8[/TD]
[TD]
Boston College[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]
29[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65"]
8[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]
9[/TD]
[TD]
New Hampshire[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]
25[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65"]
9[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]
10[/TD]
[TD]
Vermont[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]
20[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65"]
10[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]
11[/TD]
[TD]
Maine[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]
16[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65"]
11[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
UMass holds the tiebreaker over both NU (2-0-0) and UML (2-0-1), so they will be the #1 seed if they either take one point from BC or NU loses 1 point vs MC. In the event of a 3-way tie for first the seeding would be #1 UMass, #2 UML, #3 NU.
To get the #1 seed Northeastern needs to win in regulation while UMass loses in regulation, otherwise a win in regulation gets them the #2 seed. If NU finishes tied with UML they lose the tiebreaker, so UML will be the #2 seed and NU the #3 seed. If NU loses in regulation then they would be tied with MC and possibly with BU. A 2-way tie with MC would go to the third tiebreaker, record against the first-place team(s). Both are winless against UMass so it would then go to the second place team(s). If UML finished second then MC would get the #3 seed and NU would get the #4 seed. If NU and MC finished ahead of UML the tiebreaker would be the same with UML still being used to break the tie if they finished ahead of BU. If BU finished tied with UML that wouldn't change the seeding with MC #3 and NU #4. If BU also won in regulation then it would be a 3-way tie. If all three finished ahead of UML then it would be MC #2, NU #3, BU #4, UML #5, but if UML finished second it would be UML #2, MC #3, NU #4, BU #5. There can also be a 3-way tie between NU, MC and UML. If you follow the wording of the tiebreaker procedures I believe that it would be UML #2, NU #3, MC #4. In a 4-way tie for second at 44 points with BU, NU, UML and MC, again following the wording I believe it would be MC #2, UML #3, NU #4, BU #5.
UMass Lowell will the #2 seed if they win in regulation and Northeastern loses a point to Merrimack (see above for tiebreaker positions). If UML loses and MC and BU win in regulation they would be the #5 seed. In a multi-way tie with 44 points see above. The could also finish in a 2-way tie with BU or MC, or a 3-way tie with both. If MC wins in regulation BU takes 2 points and UML loses then UML would be the #4 seed and BU the #5 seed. If MC finishes with less points than BU and UML then UML would be #3 and BU #4. If UML finished tied with MC and ahead of BU then MC will be the #3 seed and UML #4. If UML, BU and MC all finish tied it would be MC#3, UML #4, BU #5.
Boston University needs help to get home ice for the quarterfinals, but they have clinched a bye. The worst BU can finish is in a 2-way tie with UConn at 41 points. In that event BU would be the #5 seed and UConn the #6 seed. Oddly, if BU, MC and UConn finish in a 3-way tie at 41 points BU would be the #4 seed, UConn the #5 seed and MC the #6 seed. If BU and Merrimack finished tied it gets messy. If both lose today I believe BU would be the #4 seed and MC #5. If one wins in overtime and the other in a shootout, the overtime winner will be the #4 seed and the shootout winner the #5 seed. If BU wins in regulation and MC doesn't then BU would be the #3 seed if UML loses in regulation or the #4 seed otherwise. If BU gets 1 or 2 points and MC gets fewer then they will be the #4 seed.
Merrimack can finish as high as the #2 seed or as low as the #6 seed. Most of their finishes would involve tiebreakers already mentioned above. If MC gets 1 or 2 points and BU gets fewer then they will be the #4 seed (#3 if tied with UML). If MC finishes tied with UConn then UConn will be the #5 seed and MC #6.
Connecticut will finish as the #6 seed unless they win in regulation and MC loses in regulation, in which case they will be the #5 seed.
The first round matchups are almost set:
Maine at Connecticut or Merrimack
Vermont at Providence
New Hampshire at Boston College
Sean