Assuming we have free and fair elections, the Democrats are now
favored to take both chambers.
RCP's aggregated Senate polls:
TX: Talarico > Paxton (Dem flip)
OH: Brown > Husted (Dem flip)
ME: Jackson > Collins (Dem flip)
AK: Peltola > Sullivan (Dem flip)
NC: Cooper > Whatley (Dem flip)
MI: El-Sayed > Rogers (Dem hold)
NH: Pappas > Sununu (Dem hold)
GA: Ossoff > Collins (Dem hold)
IA: Turek < Hinson (Rep hold)
Current caucus: Rep 53 Dem 47
With the above: Dem 52 Rep 48
If that holds Fetterman can switch and we would still hold the chamber.