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2024 Elections: One Last Chance for Democracy

Handyman said:
Well that is him just hedging because in 2022 in was under 1% with Masto defeating a legacy.

I would say 1% is likely the number, I just think Ralston is too caught up in the early numbers when Dems show, especially in Nevada, that they prefer to show up closer tot he date as opposed to Republicans.

(I got what you were saying, just wanted to point out he got called out specifically)
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I guess I’ll just disagree with that person you’re quoting that he’s saying anything alarming or misleading. I thinks he’s appropriately pointed out the caveats of his analysis, based on current numbers, and that his analysis will shift as the composition of the electorate changes in the coming days, or doesn’t. I make time to use other data points so he’s just one voice of many, but I still trust him.
 
dxmnkd316 said:
There is zero chance that Biden, the commander in chief until January, would allow his last act as commander in chief to be allowing nazis to actually steal the election.
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I mean it’s always possible that he is as senile as everyone says he is…which would then hopefully trigger the 25th amendment…where Kamala takes power, which would look really terrible. Yeah, that’s going to be a Michael Bay film in 2026.
 
dxmnkd316 said:
Just drove through a nice part of Woodbury and saw eight Harris signs and zero Trump signs

He's so ****in cooked if rich white suburbia is this blue this year.
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That’s where the teenage abortions are

ETA: That came off for more glib than I intended.
 
psych said:
I mean it’s always possible that he is as senile as everyone says he is…which would then hopefully trigger the 25th amendment…where Kamala takes power, which would look really terrible. Yeah, that’s going to be a Michael Bay film in 2026.
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Oh boy...
 
psych said:
I guess I’ll just disagree with that person you’re quoting that he’s saying anything alarming or misleading. I thinks he’s appropriately pointed out the caveats of his analysis, based on current numbers, and that his analysis will shift as the composition of the electorate changes in the coming days, or doesn’t. I make time to use other data points so he’s just one voice of many, but I still trust him.
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It's more just a commentary not to pay too much attention one way or another to early voting.
 
Handyman said:
It's more just a commentary not to pay too much attention one way or another to early voting.
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I’m paying attention to it probably about as much as you are. Your original post called me out specifically for using Ralston as a reference for early voting in Nevada because some Republican pollster on TV said he’s doing something that frankly, having read Ralston’s early voting blog since 2018, he isn’t doing and hasn’t done. There isn’t a running shtick. Dude’s a numbers cruncher. Like Bonier and TargetSmart, who he cites getting data from.
 
psych said:
I mean it’s always possible that he is as senile as everyone says he is…which would then hopefully trigger the 25th amendment…where Kamala takes power, which would look really terrible. Yeah, that’s going to be a Michael Bay film in 2026.
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If the nazis try to steal the election, there are very few scenarios where the right thing won't look terrible. But by that point, the first shots (figuratively) would have already been fired by the other side.

The president took an oath to protect the constitution and if that means using the power of the United States derived from constitutional powers, so be it.
 
psych said:
I’m paying attention to it probably about as much as you are. Your original post called me out specifically for using Ralston as a reference for early voting in Nevada because some Republican pollster on TV said he’s doing something that frankly, having read Ralston’s early voting blog since 2018, he isn’t doing and hasn’t done. There isn’t a running shtick. Dude’s a numbers cruncher. Like Bonier and TargetSmart, who he cites getting data from.
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Oh you misunderstand, I wasn't calling you out...I only mentioned you because you mentioned him. I wasn't criticizing you or him just saying this guy used Ralston as an example of how hyper-focusing on early voting can lead to anxiety and overanalyzing things the wrong way. Like people who focus on the PWR in December.

And I didn't mean you are paying too much attention, Dowd said guys like Ralston do which is a mistake in his mind. Unless you have the raw data it just doesn't make sense and NC proves that.

Sorry about that didn't mean to make you feel attacked.
 
Handyman said:
I don't even know what I am supposed to be upset about :(
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I am upset. That r's decimated the education system so badly that we are where we are now. It's not 100% a MAGA person's fault that they deny evidence and science and rely on the feelings of someone like dumpy. Their "leaders" made sure they were not taught to think.

Let alone they think that it's ok that they can insult anyone in pretty bad ways- they targets should be able to just take it; but when they are insulted because of the choices they make, then the world is going to end and they are the most upset people in the world.

Our education system should be better than producing people like that.
 
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