psych
Well-known member
Well that is him just hedging because in 2022 in was under 1% with Masto defeating a legacy.
I would say 1% is likely the number, I just think Ralston is too caught up in the early numbers when Dems show, especially in Nevada, that they prefer to show up closer tot he date as opposed to Republicans.
(I got what you were saying, just wanted to point out he got called out specifically)
I guess I’ll just disagree with that person you’re quoting that he’s saying anything alarming or misleading. I thinks he’s appropriately pointed out the caveats of his analysis, based on current numbers, and that his analysis will shift as the composition of the electorate changes in the coming days, or doesn’t. I make time to use other data points so he’s just one voice of many, but I still trust him.