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2024 Elections: One Last Chance for Democracy

https://www.threads.net/@coxwithane/...GIJjheukZ5NYtA

Protip: If you're going to have a super lame, super negative booth at the MN State Fair called "Never Walz", right within sight of the DFL booth that is packed with happy people and sold out of most merch on the first day, perhaps you might wanna have your web domains locked down, because otherwise some smart, IT savvy guy might just buy them for $10 apiece and redirect them to a Harris- Walz donation site. ChooseJoy
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Yes that happened...and the site calls you a moron before redirecting you. The GOP especially in MN is so out of their depth it's hilarious.
 
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538 swing states (from Harris perspective):

Code: 
    8/15    18    24
WI  +3.7   2.9   3.8
MI  +3.0   2.6   3.4
PA  +2.4   1.4   1.8
-----------------------
AZ  +1.1   1.3   1.4
GA  +0.3  -1.0  -0.5
NV  even  -1.0   0.6
NC  -0.5  -0.3   0.1
 
dxmnkd316 said:
Harris' ceiling is probably closer to 320 now.
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That is how I feel as well. No I'm not saying she will get there...but she has a lot of paths right now.

On election night if she wins North Carolina its going to be a very good night. Hell if it is even a smidge better than Biden did there it will likely end up just like 2020.
 
Handyman said:
That is how I feel as well. No I'm not saying she will get there...but she has a lot of paths right now.

On election night if she wins North Carolina it's going to be a very good night. Hell if it is even a smidge better than Biden did there it will likely end up just like 2020.
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Exactly my thoughts
 
The Harris Campaign has announced they raised like $82 million during the convention pushing the total to $540 million since launch. After the acceptance speech they had their best fundraising hour since the first day. But the Times wants you to know that "Joy is not a strategy". (one third were first time donations)

WaPo Fact Check: The chances they raised $540 million on the nose is highly unlikely. They probably raised $539.XX million or $540.01 million but there is almost no chance they hit that number exactly. Ruling: PANTS ON FIRE!

(politofact would be even worse which is why I unfollowed them on socials...and dont get me started on the AP these days)
 
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I think the Rust Belt (WI-MI-PA) is the most likely path. If she drops one of those states that's indicative of other problems, but she can recover with Sun Belt West or GA. I think NC would imply she already had won through other routes and it would be gilding the lily.

The problem is Dump tends to outperform the polls with uneducated whites. Either the pollsters aren't reaching them or they get out to vote for their Messiah in greater numbers than predicted. So WI-MI-PA aren't independent trials. If the margins get close that factor could flip them all, and then it's the 2016 nightmare again.
 
Obviously Dump and the Crazy Pants part of the GOP will scream about stolen elections and other lies. But it would be really nice if the popular vote and EV count was large enough that the rest of the GOP peaced out on him and let him be dragged away to rot in prison.
 
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Honestly I think if it is a blowout they will just yell louder. "Everyone said it will be close" will he tbe reason.

The GOP won't peace out until he is dead.
 
Handyman said:
Honestly I think if it is a blowout they will just yell louder. "Everyone said it will be close" will he tbe reason.

The GOP won't peace out until he is dead.
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Obviously. "74 million voted for Trump in 2020! No one ever had more! The 81 million that gave him the finger was AI and part of the 3am ballot dump in Wisconsin.
 
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