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2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!

Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!

50.2% Harley Rouda 70,513
49.8% Dana Rohrabacher*69,913
63% of precincts reporting (249/395) *Incumbent
140,426 total votes
 
Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!

Feehan making a push with 91% reporting. Down by 109, reports nowsaying they haven't counted all of Brown county yet. Still nothing out of Mower.
 
Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!

Wow Nebraska passed Medicaid expansion.

Probably football fans needing mental health care

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-conversation="none" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Nebraska's Medicaid expansion ballot initiative has passed with 53% of the vote and 93% of precincts reporting. An estimated 90,000 people will gain health coverage as a result.</p>— Jeffrey Young (@JeffYoung) <a href="https://twitter.com/JeffYoung/status/1060060830757195776?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 7, 2018</a></blockquote>
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-conversation="none" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">The Idaho Medicaid expansion initiative has passed with 62% of the vote and 67% of precincts reported. Advocates say it will cover 62,000 people.</p>— Jeffrey Young (@JeffYoung) <a href="https://twitter.com/JeffYoung/status/1060063980285235201?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 7, 2018</a></blockquote>
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-conversation="none" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">The Utah Medicaid expansion vote, which would provide coverage to as many as 150,000 people, hasn't been called yet. But it's winning with 54% of the vote and 74% of precincts reporting.</p>— Jeffrey Young (@JeffYoung) <a href="https://twitter.com/JeffYoung/status/1060068989492252672?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 7, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!

50.3% Harley Rouda 74,422
49.7% Dana Rohrabacher* 73,602
70.1% of precincts reporting (277/395) *Incumbent
148,024 total votes

Cook Report guy on MSNBC says Comrade Rohrbacher is in all sorts of trouble...

As for Sconnie it is over...only chance Walker has is to call for a recount which isnt likely to get him over the hump.
 
Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">The race for Texas' 23rd district was called for Republican Will Hurd hours ago. But now, with 100% of precincts reporting, his Democratic opponent is up by 282 votes. That + more results: <a href="https://t.co/Oin81XSlmM">https://t.co/Oin81XSlmM</a> <a href="https://t.co/gNiGhgsm7n">pic.twitter.com/gNiGhgsm7n</a></p>— Los Angeles Times (@latimes) <a href="https://twitter.com/latimes/status/1060077706816221184?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 7, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

HAHAHAHAHA!!!
 
Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!

50.3% Harley Rouda 74,422
49.7% Dana Rohrabacher* 73,602
70.1% of precincts reporting (277/395) *Incumbent
148,024 total votes

Cook Report guy on MSNBC says Comrade Rohrbacher is in all sorts of trouble...

As for Sconnie it is over...only chance Walker has is to call for a recount which isnt likely to get him over the hump.

He signed a law in 2016 requiring it to be less than 1% for a recount. Oops
 
Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Democrats have won the Senate and governor races in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, the states that narrowly put Trump over the top in 2016.</p>— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) <a href="https://twitter.com/ddale8/status/1060071275933114368?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 7, 2018</a></blockquote>
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Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!

50.6% Harley Rouda Dem 86,588
49.4% Dana Rohrabacher* GOP 84,380
90.1% of precincts reporting (356/395) *Incumbent
170,968 total votes

Dasvidaniya Comrade :D
 
Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!

Update from the Pine Tree State

Democrats take back the Maine Senate and it looks like the governorship. Democrats hold the Maine house.

Angus King (I) easily wins re-election (currently 54.2% - 35.6% - 10.3%)
Chellie Pingree (D) is winning re-election easily in ME-1 (currently 58.1% - 32.5% - 9.4%)

ME-2 will be a nail-biter and likely decided by ranked choice voting. Right now a little more than half of the towns have reported and the democrat challenger and republican incumbent are neck and neck. There are two independents at 5.7% and 2.4%. We won't know the winner until those votes are re-allocated.

We might not know who won ME-2 until next week. The ranked-choice votes are fed into a computer program that eliminates last place candidates and reallocates their votes until someone has > 50%. This is done by the secretary of state in Augusta. Scanned ballots from the voting machines in all municipalities are transported to Augusta before the process begins.

maine is stupid! :p
 
Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!

As for Sconnie it is over...only chance Walker has is to call for a recount which isnt likely to get him over the hump.

After two elections and a recall, we finally get it right on this guy. Now for Johnson . . .

As to the U.S. House--How does that "win" look when compared to the typical midterm swing for the party not occupying the WH? Viewed in that historic light, does this result measure up as better or worse than the norm?
 
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After two elections and a recall, we finally get it right on this guy. Now for Johnson . . .

As to the U.S. House--How does that "win" look when compared to the typical midterm swing for the party not occupying the WH? Viewed in that historic light, does this result measure up as better or worse than the norm?

I’ll try to find the stats again but the median flip over the past 50 years has been something like 23 seats so this year will be more than average.
 
Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!

I'm heartened by a lot of the House wins last night and some of the Governors. Enough to not get too down about what happened in the Senate and some of the backwoods state's in this country that are dragging us all down.

Trump did not experience a big repudiation last night. Hopefully that makes him even more cocky going forward. I really don't believe he thinks that a "check" was elected last night on his Presidency. I give this as my evidence

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Those that worked with me in this incredible Midterm Election, embracing certain policies and principles, did very well. Those that did not, say goodbye! Yesterday was such a very Big Win, and all under the pressure of a Nasty and Hostile Media!</p>— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) <a href="https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1060141780878979072?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 7, 2018</a></blockquote>
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Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!

I’ll try to find the stats again but the median flip over the past 50 years has been something like 23 seats so this year will be more than average.

Thanks. That seems important, since the takeaway from a midterm flip of 15 seats could be positive, when it might actually predict trouble. There are the gubernatorial shifts too, which are a separate statistic.
 
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